Stows

Crypto & Forex Trader · Scalping & Chart Analysis · Trading since 2019
admin: @AlienTradingLab

[Stows @StowsXBT]

$BTC HTF outlook
Why I'm expecting a new ATH beyond BSL:
x = 48,900 (sellside liquidity, where stops get hunted)
y = 126,000 (buyside liquidity, institutional target)
R = y - x = 77,100 (range - total price displacement)
Target = y + (R × 0.272) = 147K
BSL isn't the ceiling. It's the launchpad.

[Stows @StowsXBT]

closed position +1,2R

[Stows @StowsXBT]

$XAGUSD - short trade

E: 73,88
Sl: 75,13
Tp: 69,35

[Stows @StowsXBT]

$BTC - Update

The expansion model continues to play out. First drop 30.78%. Second drop 38.71%. The third leg is now in motion. Target remains the same. 48.71% region.

[Stows @StowsXBT]

Market moves in expansion, not linear steps.

1st drop: -30.78%
2nd drop: -38.71%
Factor = 38.71 / 30.78 = 1.258

Next drop = 38.71 × 1.258 ≈ 48.7%

➡️ Expected: -48% region

Acceleration → liquidity cascade → potential capitulation.

[Stows @StowsXBT]

$BTC - Weekly Update

As marked on the chart, price reacted from the exact levels I pointed out and dropped. It will continue to drop further. The bear market is not over yet.

[Stows @StowsXBT]

$BTC weekly outlook

[Stows @StowsXBT]

$USDT.D - Update

The structure played out exactly as expected. No full tap into STL. Price came within 4.1% and bounced. USDT.D is now pushing toward ATH. As always, USDT.D strength = downside pressure on $BTC. The narrative has not changed.

[Stows @StowsXBT]

$USDT.D

Comparing 2022 and current 2026 structure.

In both cases, we see a similar pattern
Initial move up, pullback into support, then continuation toward range highs.

Right now, USDT.D is sitting at a key area again.
If this follows the same path as 2022, another push toward ATH is very likely.

Similar to 2022, I am not expecting a full tap into the STL level.
Back in 2022, price came within ~6.7% of STL.
This year, I expect a shallower approach, around ~4%.

A full tap into STL would change the narrative.
That would likely imply BTC pushing toward the 90K region, signaling a potential end to the bearish phase.

And as always
USDT.D strength = downside pressure on $BTC

If dominance continues higher, BTC downside scenarios remain on the table.

[Stows @StowsXBT]

$BTC - OI + CVD + Heatmap - Update

The path of least resistance played out exactly as expected. Price dropped, OI kept rising, CVD is now at -94B. Shorts were right. The structure hasn't changed.

[Stows @StowsXBT]

$BTC OI + CVD + Heatmap

Price is dropping, OI is rising, CVD is deeply negative. Shorts are piling in. The liquidity heatmap confirms it. There is a significant liquidity pool sitting below current price around the $70K zone. The path of least resistance is still to the downside. Watch carefully.

[Stows @StowsXBT]

close position +3R

[Stows @StowsXBT]

$ZEC - long trade

E: 545,00
Sl: 526,50
Tp: 800,00

[Stows @StowsXBT]

close position +1R

[Stows @StowsXBT]

$XAUUSD - Scalp Long Trade

E: 4.450
Sl: 4.423
Tp: 4.545

[Stows @StowsXBT]

Before every major trade decision, ask yourself:

1. What data could prove me wrong?
2. What is the strongest argument against my thesis?
3. What is my track record on this?
4. Am I overconfident?
5. What is the actual probability of my prediction being correct?

[Stows @StowsXBT]

@Sykodelic_ Cool story, bro.

[Stows @StowsXBT]

@QableCharacters

[Stows @StowsXBT]

$ZEC is one of the strongest privacy coins on the market right now. CVD sitting at 1.174B. OI normalized after the pump. Structure is clean. $H pumped 10x from its lows. $ZEC already did 7x but the CVD structure suggests this is far from over. $700 is the next major liquidity zone. Once that clears, the real move begins. Privacy coin narrative is just getting started.

[Stows @StowsXBT]

$ZEC liquidation heatmap is telling a clear story. $190 to $270, steady long entries, massive pump. $300 to $420, same pattern, even bigger pump. Now the same accumulation is happening again between $500 and $620. The pattern has played out twice already. A third time is loading. $700 is just the beginning.

[Stows @StowsXBT]

$OTHERS.D - Update
Honestly, I wasn't expecting this trendline to break. There is serious capital flowing into altcoins right now. A green weekly close here would signal that alts are set for significant moves in the coming weeks.

[Stows @StowsXBT]

$OTHERS.D - Weekly
Been bleeding since 2022. Lower highs. No real reversal.
Structurally, until we reach the 2019 lows, I don't expect any significant moves or major entries into alts.
BTC.D still elevated. USDT.D not cooperating. The rotation hasn't started.
It's not time yet.

[Stows @StowsXBT]

$BTC - Update

The PO3 played out perfectly. Consolidation. Manipulation. And now price is pushing straight into the target zone. Enjoy the ride up. 🐻

[Stows @StowsXBT]

$BTC

Flipped the chart for the bulls.
Here's your PO3.
Consolidation. Manipulation. And yes, that green zone is your target.
Enjoy the ride up. 👊

[Stows @StowsXBT]

$BTC OI + CVD + Heatmap

Price is dropping, OI is rising, CVD is deeply negative. Shorts are piling in. The liquidity heatmap confirms it. There is a significant liquidity pool sitting below current price around the $70K zone. The path of least resistance is still to the downside. Watch carefully.

[Stows @StowsXBT]

$BTC Reclaimed 77K, But Is It Real?

OI is falling, CVD is still negative.
No real buyers here, just shorts getting squeezed.

There's a massive liquidity pool sitting at 78K-78.5K.
Don't be surprised if we sweep it before any real move.

Wait for OI to confirm before rushing into longs.