Alt of@Straits_Trader

🎯Trading HK stocks with a plan.
What I'm watching, where I'd enter & when I'd walk away.
👇 Start with my pinned post.
⚠️ Never ask for money.

[Alt of@Straits_Trader @Straits_Trader2]

Trading is an art. I’d like to show you more than just profits@Straits_Trader

[Straits_Trader @Straits_Trader]

https://t.co/kbN5VGvV2n

[Alt of@Straits_Trader @Straits_Trader2]

20 September | Weekend Market Wrap

🔴 Hong Kong tech is recovering and Bitcoin is bouncing. Is money starting to flow back into risk assets across the board?

① Hong Kong Stocks
On Friday, the HSI rose 0.60% to 24,750.78, while the Hang Seng Tech Index gained 2.20% to 4,405.50. Total turnover reached around HK$266.5 billion, up 43.6% from the previous session.

Tech led the rebound, but Alibaba gained 4% while Tencent fell 1.6%, showing that the sector is still split. The HSI also finished slightly lower for the week. One strong session on higher turnover isn’t enough to confirm a trend reversal.

② ETFs
Southbound investors recorded net purchases of around HK$1.193 billion on Friday. Yet they net sold roughly HK$2.26 billion of the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong, while buying heavily into Baidu.

My take: Investors are making different calls on individual stocks and the broader market. Southbound inflows don’t automatically mean investors are bullish across the board. Likewise, southbound selling of an ETF doesn’t necessarily mean the fund itself saw net redemptions.

③ Crypto and Derivatives
Bitcoin moved back above US$80,000 on Friday morning, US Eastern time. US Bitcoin ETFs recorded around US$160 million in inflows on Thursday, suggesting some recovery in risk appetite.

However, HSI night futures closed at 24,678, around 73 points below the cash index, without showing the same strength. Crypto and Hong Kong stocks are still moving differently. A Bitcoin rally alone doesn’t tell us that Hong Kong will open higher on Monday.

④ My Take
🔴 For now, money appears to be moving selectively, rather than lifting every asset together.

Tech stocks, index ETFs and crypto are telling different stories. Instead of rushing into the hottest theme, I’m watching whether the rebound lasts and whether buyers step in on pullbacks. If your holdings aren’t moving, first check whether your reasons for buying still hold. Don’t let FOMO make the decision for you.

⑤ What I’m Watching Next
Can the HSI reclaim and hold the 24,800–25,000 area? Will more tech stocks join the rally? Will ETF flows continue in the same direction? Can Bitcoin hold US$80,000? I’m also watching whether developments in the Middle East push oil prices higher again.

🔴 Next week, will you chase the rally or wait for a pullback to see if buyers are still there?

Follow 👉 @Straits_Trader for updates on my portfolio and trading ideas.
solana:3aSu9uuDLiWkBQGycJDDSubZEPb6YJjDzULPWZkJn8ic #HongKongETF #Crypto #OptionsTrading

[Alt of@Straits_Trader @Straits_Trader2]

The Bank of Japan has raised rates to 1.25%, the highest since 1995. It’s also the sixth hike since Japan ended its negative interest rate policy in March 2024. So why did the yen fall?
① The hike was already priced in. The decision met expectations. Without an extra surprise, there may be little reason for fresh buying.
② The outlook for further hikes fell short of some investors’ expectations. The vote was split, leaving the market concerned that the BOJ would remain cautious about raising rates further.
③ The US is raising rates too. Higher rates in Japan don’t necessarily mean the gap with US rates will narrow quickly. Dollar assets still offer attractive interest returns.
It’s like a company reporting higher profits, only for its share price to fall. If the market was expecting more, even good news can trigger a sell-off.

[Alt of@Straits_Trader @Straits_Trader2]

@ZxHp3Mm2u85Zrno @Julian67495006 Opportunities come to those who wait.

[Alt of@Straits_Trader @Straits_Trader2]

https://t.co/IFQgpCyNFD, which I recommended earlier, continues to rise on higher volume. Congrats to everyone who profited from the move!
🎯Follow me and learn a little about finance every day
$0100.HK

[Alt of@Straits_Trader @Straits_Trader2]

https://t.co/l6r8hpICPr

[Alt of@Straits_Trader @Straits_Trader2]

https://t.co/kR50G6QlKk

[Alt of@Straits_Trader @Straits_Trader2]

https://t.co/TwiVXXMBlF Tencent Holdings
Buying opportunity: ✅
Wait and watch: ❌
https://t.co/4hoNVWy6gV Kingboard Laminates
Buying opportunity: ✅
Wait and watch: ❌
https://t.co/M6aO0wnNDy MiniMax
Buying opportunity: ✅
Wait and watch: ❌

https://t.co/sM7bD4d4Ik Lenovo Group
Buying opportunity: ✅
Wait and watch: ❌
https://t.co/VpVR32bpOI GenScript Biotech
Buying opportunity: ❌
Wait and watch: ✅
https://t.co/nFxbvlsGOw https://t.co/PIX0O6YoEM
Buying opportunity: ❌
Wait and watch: ✅

https://t.co/IVUu1Yq3BU SMIC
Buying opportunity: ❌
Wait and watch: ✅
https://t.co/q2VYCztKZe Xiaomi
Buying opportunity: ❌
Wait and watch: ✅
https://t.co/dhPCKOr4f7 AIA Group
Buying opportunity: ���
Wait and watch: ✅

https://t.co/rG2qpU2gxs HKEX
Buying opportunity: ❌
Wait and watch: ✅

[Alt of@Straits_Trader @Straits_Trader2]

https://t.co/ORdTLPmTz5

[Alt of@Straits_Trader @Straits_Trader2]

@FYOYdoyqAfXqcvU Build up your experience over time, and you too can use it to build substantial wealth.

[Alt of@Straits_Trader @Straits_Trader2]

https://t.co/S8cbZ36szX

[Alt of@Straits_Trader @Straits_Trader2]

My question is how much of the appeal comes from Chinese bonds, and how much comes from a stronger yuan. Annualising recent currency gains and adding the coupon can make FX returns look like steady income. For a dollar-based investor, does the trade still work if the yuan stops rising—or reverses?

[Alt of@Straits_Trader @Straits_Trader2]

@norinoririnto Bullish in the short to medium term.

[Alt of@Straits_Trader @Straits_Trader2]

https://t.co/wHmtqqs68Y

[Alt of@Straits_Trader @Straits_Trader2]

@Jack_ChenBK Monitor the extent to which capital follows the trend.

[Alt of@Straits_Trader @Straits_Trader2]

https://t.co/R0Tf1P5n5L

[Alt of@Straits_Trader @Straits_Trader2]

https://t.co/awZBCeNux9

[Alt of@Straits_Trader @Straits_Trader2]

https://t.co/4pDo9js44K

[Alt of@Straits_Trader @Straits_Trader2]

@ho531216 Even when the index performs poorly, there are still individual stocks that rise; one shouldn't just look at the surface.

[Alt of@Straits_Trader @Straits_Trader2]

Yesterday’s bounce, gone today. Keep waiting on HK stocks?👇👇👇

[Straits_Trader @Straits_Trader]

https://t.co/UpbAmMNR8j

[Alt of@Straits_Trader @Straits_Trader2]

Hold on to (https://t.co/lPGBIJOCbm) TENCENT. Follow me so you don’t miss my trading plans.👇👇👇

[Straits_Trader @Straits_Trader]

🚀🚀🚀14 Sep:
HSI rose 0.45% to 24,918, but Hang Seng Tech edged lower. Healthcare stood out; autos had bright spots, while tech was mixed.

My take: a welcome pause in the selling, but too early to call a reversal.

Turnover was HK$192.6bn, down about 16% from Friday. This could mean less selling or weak buying interest. The next session should give us more clues.

Holding a laggard is tough: wait and miss other opportunities, or chase a winner and risk a pullback?

I’d ask: is my stock lagging due to rotation, or has my reason for buying changed? That matters more than my break-even price.

https://t.co/joqaDAZXM0 and https://t.co/AKwZb10jtY remain holds in my view.

🚀If the index keeps rising but your stocks don’t, would you wait or reassess? What would change your mind?