Holding my tech names at about 60% of portfolio. Not sure if this bounce is relief into further downtrend, or start of local bottom. Either way, options strategy I’m thinking about ⬇️
Short term calls on strong (non infra) businesses with earnings catalysts imminent. Like $LLY and $SPOT, and a few others. These companies are down today.
If infra keeps popping? Catalysts still arrive and repricing seems imminent.
If infra falls? Market rotates into these strong businesses once again.
Win win? NFA
I’m definitely not throwing a $NBIS weekly call lotto out before close. I would definitely not do that, it’s very risky, and I’d definitely stay away from doing that…
I’m definitely not throwing a $NBIS weekly call lotto out before close. I would definitely not do that, it’s very risky, and I’d definitely stay away from doing that…
Other consideration is $QQQ breaking through 200 day (which has happened twice is trump presidency), and finding support around $636.
Levels in watching for bounce:
1. $663 (most immediate support)
2. $655 (same drawdown % as march)
3. $636 (long term support below 200d)
$NBIS at support and 200 day. As are many high betas. Fed won’t raise, but with trump escalating, I don’t know if we’re out of the woods. Long term, these are strong accumulation levels for those that missed the big runs earlier this year.
I’m 30% cash still. Won’t deploy until bad news stops sending us lower. When trump escalates and we don’t go lower, that’ll be my sign to deploy.
I think we could still see $655 on $QQQ potentially, but I doubt lower…
Market makers love blowing through big support levels to get the fish out, so don’t be surprised if we break key levels briefly.
Good luck to everyone in Nasdaqistan
$NBIS at support and 200 day. As are many high betas. Fed won’t raise, but with trump escalating, I don’t know if we’re out of the woods. Long term, these are strong accumulation levels for those that missed the big runs earlier this year.
I’m 30% cash still. Won’t deploy until bad news stops sending us lower. When trump escalates and we don’t go lower, that’ll be my sign to deploy.
I think we could still see $655 on $QQQ potentially, but I doubt lower…
Market makers love blowing through big support levels to get the fish out, so don’t be surprised if we break key levels briefly.
Good luck to everyone in Nasdaqistan
$RKLB -13% today. Feels overdone.
Opened $100 calls @ $2.90 sept exp
We’ll see how market shakes out, exp 60 days out, maybe one more big flush where I grab some more, tbd. Nfa
Time to start watching $KRKNF again for an entry. Robotics theme picking up. Dropped meaningfully from highs.
Would like to see it bounce at $4.25ish, invalidated below $4.10