@athein1 I wouldn’t use much of anything in Florida as a data point. Pinellas registered voters ignoring independents:
2020 R 250k, D 255k
2024 R 244k, D 208k
It’s changed. I’d be extremely hesitant to say Pinellas has shifted right (which it has) and extrapolate from that.
@brithume “We must be accurate, and we must be believed to be accurate.”
Let’s not give him too much credit here. They are arguably failing at both requirements.
@DataRepublican Interesting. NPA share of total registered voters in both 2020/2024 has been pretty constant, just under 26%.
Maybe they show up in IPEV closer to Election Day.