My simple argument for regime change.
Top Pane: SPY
Middle Pane: SPY:VT with a 52 week simple moving average
Bottom Pane: The slope of the SPY:VT 52 week simple moving average
SPY recently hit its deepest rate of underperformance since the inception of VT and SPY:VT is now below a declining 52 week moving average, has made a lower high, and lower low. This is a downtrend by my standards - and therefore US vs. ROW is guilty until proven innocent.
Reviewing all the other times NFLX re-tested a prior major top...
Reliably a bottom when RS was above the coincident prior major high. Not reliable when RS below, but indeed was once a bottom.
So you can play with the lower probability outcome, or like the last time it bottomed with RS below this level, you can wait for it to break above and still capture the meat of the move.
@jaysinjailagain@D_The_Husband ugh I need to start my grappling career in earnest. tbh kickboxing is infinitely more enjoyable to drill for me but if I’m honest if I had to defend myself I would want to grapple/clinch and be a menace with elbows and knees.
@FranVezz Not really. I bet you could have traded it in February.
Volatility expands and contracts. It’s currently contracting for this stock. If and when it expands again, it will take on a very different character.
@PrattyCharts Would be funny if Megacap announcing a slowdown in capex caused them to rally. While everyone would think it means AI is “so over” it would actually mean they will generate cash again.