Tyler Pratt

[Tyler Pratt @TPr47413111]

@CarlosLozadaWP Where would you have put Georgia? I could see them behind Cincy but with 3 ranked wins vs 0 for ND, and a better loss (#1 vs #4), what’s the case for ND?

[Tyler Pratt @TPr47413111]

@csilverandgold Competence is domain specific. Trump almost perfectly divorces the competence needed to win office from the competence needed to govern.

[Tyler Pratt @TPr47413111]

@BenjySarlin @shadihamid It sounds like he’s describing this well known experiment on job market discrimination: https://t.co/yrspjnjPYh

[Tyler Pratt @TPr47413111]

@washingtonpost I’m glad you’re keeping up the fact checking in the new administration, but this is a stretch.

[Tyler Pratt @TPr47413111]

@pbump @CillizzaCNN @normative This is the distinction Plato drew between wisdom and rhetoric

[Tyler Pratt @TPr47413111]

@IsaacDovere Ted Cruz is an asshole but this is a dumb criticism.

[Tyler Pratt @TPr47413111]

If the probability of each event is independent, you calculate it by removing all other possibilities: 1 - prob(both events) - prob(neither event). 1-(.05*.03)-(.95*.97)=.077 or 7.7%

[Ashley Parker @AshleyRParker]

And, more importantly, how do you calculate this? (I thought it was compound probability, but now I’m reconsidering...)

[Tyler Pratt @TPr47413111]

@NateSilver538 This is neat. Does toggling a state affect only predictions for that state, or induce changes in how other states are predicted? In other words, does setting PA for Trump mean simply that he wins there, or that he’s doing well enough more broadly to win PA?

[Tyler Pratt @TPr47413111]

@MattZeitlin What you describe is not a function of the electoral college, but stems from most states using a winner-take-all method of awarding electoral college votes. The electoral college does not require that.

[Tyler Pratt @TPr47413111]

@Fahrenthold Or do you mean EU council pres

[Tyler Pratt @TPr47413111]

@Fahrenthold 8? Have they confirmed a Putin invite?

[The New York Times @nytimes]

"Rarely has the reputation of a leader fallen so far, so fast." Aung San Suu Kyi: Nobel laureate, democracy icon and defender of ethnic cleansing. https://t.co/zStaK75X3N

[CNN Communications @CNNPR]

@realDonaldTrump It's not CNN's job to represent the U.S to the world. That's yours. Our job is to report the news. #FactsFirst 🍎

[Senator Bob Corker @SenBobCorker]

It's a shame the White House has become an adult day care center. Someone obviously missed their shift this morning.