Interesting convective set-up Monday night to keep an eye on, as an unstable warm moist airmass streams in ahead of cold front moving in from the west, modest deep-layer shear but quite strong low-level shear toward SE England and low LCLs could support a tornado if thunderstorms develop.
During Tuesday, further thunderstorms could develop widely with surface heating in sunny spells, as an upper trough follows cold front steepening lapse rates.
Happy retirement Captain Guinness.
This is one of my fav photos of the 2024 Cheltenham Festival after Captain Guinness had won the Champion Chase.
Captain Guinness and the lads all smiling for a selfie. Brilliant.