@ChrisCoop_ I don’t disagree there’s a general concern for a contract like this. I just think Tucker is harder to project with those typical metrics because his profile is unusual for a star player. And maybe that’s part of your point. I’d hope whoever signs him for that $ has better data.
@ChrisCoop_ Your argument might be that Tucker is not really an elite hitter at all because you think those baseline batted ball metrics define an elite hitter - I’m not sure I buy that either (measurement fallacy), but that’s a more interesting argument than saying there’s a trend here.
@ChrisCoop_ Kyle Tuckers first full MLB season was 2021. None of those numbers have shown a meaningful trend over those seasons, and in fact, some were at their peak in 2024. His elite skill is plate discipline/approach. Always has been. You aren’t identifying a meaningful trend.
@mike_petriello Yup - I see some debating va Kyle Tucker, and whatever you think of Tuckers shortcomings, he’s been much more consistent - they floornis a year-in, year-out very good player for the next several yrs. I have no idea what to expect from Bellinger.
@MattMcCarthy985 You mean the NBA finals with Oklahoma City and Indianapolis vs two of the biggest markets in North America? Or last years World Series with the Yankees and Dodgers?? That context seems relevant, much more so than a pitch clock.
@michaelschwab13 I’m sure people like this are important in an organization. But fans really have no idea from the outside & when we guess, we are usually wrong. The orioles supposedly hired Luhnow’s brain trust and they haven’t been near as successful in replicating the results.
@ACresci7 Snell throws his fastball almost half of the time, always has, and has managed to have a pretty decent career doing so. People are using this quote from Smoltz just to be contrarian for the sake of being contrarian.
@pitchprofiler Snell threw his fastball almost 45% of the time this yr and has NEVER thrown it less than that. It has always been the pitch he’s thrown the most. So we have exactly zero data on Snells other pitches w/out the fastball as the dominant pitch. And yet he’s been pretty damn good
@DodgersAndrew The playoff run made everyone forget the Dodgers played in a Wild Card series for a reason. They haven’t been dominant all year, the pitching getting healthy late has fueled this run. But the roster is very top heavy, with a lot of that top end looking tired/old.
@RabidW00kie@rationalyankee Don’t know enough to say either way about Pettite’s usage. I do know that Pettitte is a far more likeable guy and I have no doubt that’s helped his cause (and there’s nothing wrong with that - that’s the way most things work).
@rationalyankee The Pettitte-Clemens dynamic is interesting. Pettitte is not a HOF, but he admitted using HGH, immediately gave a genuine apology, and I feel like that’s largely erased from his legacy. And then there’s Clemens…
@Honestly_Jake I don’t think you know how “regression” works nor do you know how to interpret FIP in a context like this. But whatever makes you feel better.
@CrizzlePope@LiveSCS Fair response and I’ll agree that your ownership is wasting this window. You have very good cost controlled pitching and shouldn’t be bargain hunting for bats every year. But the rest of the AL West appreciates it.
@CrizzlePope@LiveSCS Mariners fans celebrating “player accolades” while other teams are playing for things people remember. All the best moments for this franchise are about consolation for not being good enough (imagine winning 116 regular season games and not coming close to WS appearance).
@rationalyankee This is fair to an extent, but some of us are old enough to remember where it was just expected that the Yankees had first choice of free agents and set the market - there was no other team close. That’s not the case now and probably annoys some Yankees fans to no end.
@mike_petriello My money is on them being serious suitors for Kyle Tucker. He makes a lot of sense for them and fits nicely with their timelines as well (in his prime now, should be productive for several more years).