🩸 HUGE WARNING:
🇺🇸 Warren Buffett says that we have never had people in a more gambling mood than now
He warns that the US dollar could collapse and admitted he doesn't understand most of the stock market anymore.
$380,000,000,000 in cash is his answer because he believes things are about to get MUCH worse.
95yo man who has survived every crash, every war, every crisis of the last six decades just told you the market is a casino...
Despite a 52% decline from the cycle top and some indicators at cycle bottom levels, the long-term holder needle hasn't really moved.
Their levels are still showing the highest offloading and the least interest in buying.
And looking at the track record, they know their stuff.
Interestingly, at the same relative RMC RSI in each cycle, Bitcoin was 1 month out from reaching cycle bottom prices or retesting the RMC Moving Average.
42.5k in a month? Maybe.
Would that be the cycle bottom? Also maybe, in the same way that June 2022 was the cycle bottom but retested the moving average again in November 2022 at lower prices (16.5k).
🚨 THIS IS VERY STRANGE
History shows that every time Silver peaks, BTC is next:
2011: Silver peak → BTC $2 to $1,100
2016: Silver peak → BTC $600 to $20,000
2020: Silver peak → BTC $10,000 to $69,000
2026: Silver just hit a new ATH ($121)
Retail is panicking and dumping.
That is your buy zone.
The same players who pumped Silver are now rotating into Bitcoin.
We’ve seen this movie before: same institutions, same manipulation, different asset.
Reversal zone: $65K – $70K
Turn on notifications. I’ll call the exact moment when the rotation is complete.
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Теперь вы точно должны знать.
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Current bear market stats:
Highest drawdown: 52%
Length of correction: 186 days
Average bear market stats:
Highest drawdown: 82%
Length of correction: 391 Days
The absolute most consistent thing about Bitcoin has been the Halving Cycle, almost as consistent as the people who say it's going to change/break at every high and low.
Returns have diminished each cycle; it is also assumed that drawdowns will diminish each cycle too, but I don't think that's the case.
I see plenty of takes on X claiming that the cycle bottom is in here, again defying the cycle and calling for a low 25% less than the chushiest bear market in half the time.
Like last cycle, I firmly believe you will start to see a lot of "firsts" or "Bitcoin has never done this before! It's over!" Like breaking below the 200 Week MA, or going below previous ATHs in 2022.
Different, but not different.
90% of traders lose money.
Here’s why: 🧵👇
Overtrading
No stop loss
Emotional decisions
And the biggest mistake:
Trying to get rich fast
Real traders:
– manage risk
– stay patient
– think long-term
Fix this → change everything
If I had to start crypto from zero in 2026, I’d do this:
Start with spot (NOT futures)
Use small capital
Focus on learning, not profit
Most beginners skip this…
Learn risk management
Avoid hype coins
Track your trades
Your first goal = survival
Not profit
👉 Start simple.
Really cool to see Sentio’s AI analytics assistant turned my natural language into onchain dashboards & SQL queries on the fly. https://t.co/hvqIoo6R0t