HowlinSilenc

Chilled guy 🇿🇦 Crypto 💯 Upland Real Estate (visit: - I enjoy good food & cold beer 🌱✌

[GTA 6 NEWS @GTAVInewz]

Less than 10 days until the possible release of the GTA 6 trailer.

[ben @videotech]

It may appear Rockstar Games are gearing up to sunset the Social Club and launch a new platform. Today the new changes to the Rockstar Games websites brought a new change to the naming scheme of the Social Club to the 'Rockstar Games Platform''.

[Elon Musk @elonmusk]

Congratulations team @SpaceX team!

[HOW THINGS WORK @HowThingsWork_]

The future is here!

[GameStop @gamestop]

We'll keep you posted, GTA fans!

#GameStop #GTA6

[Tyler Todt @tyromper]

Four years ago my family cancelled:

•Hulu
•Netflix
•HBO GO
•Cable TV
•Deleted all “news” apps

We unplugged from what SOCIETY told us was important & focused ONLY on what we knew was important.

•Faith
•Fitness
•Family
•Finances
•Friendships

Here’s the results:

[Crypto Tea @Cryptotea]

The Simpsons NFT episode

[Sahil Bloom @SahilBloom]

When I was a kid, my grandfather told me the story of the Blind Men and the Elephant:

(everyone needs to hear this)

Six blind men are brought to examine an elephant that has come to their village.

The first man touches the trunk and says that the elephant is like a thick snake.

The second man touches the tusk and says that the elephant is like a spear.

The third man touches the ear and says that the elephant is like a fan.

The fourth man touches the leg and says that the elephant is like a tree.

The fifth man touches the side and says the elephant is like a wall.

The sixth man touches the tail and says the elephant is like a rope.

Each of the blind men is convinced that he is right and that everyone else is wrong.

American poet John Godfrey Saxe’s version of the story concludes with a simple, beautiful line:

Each was partly in the right, And all were in the wrong.​

So, oft in theologic wars, The disputants, I ween, Rail on in utter ignorance, Of what each other mean, And prate about an Elephant, Not one of them has seen!

The moral of this story is that the information we have about the world represents a tiny fraction of the information available, yet we use it to form a view of how the world works.

The world is always infinitely more complex than our narrow observation windows would allow us to understand.

I'm reminded of David Foster Wallace's famous This Is Water speech in 2005 (emphasis mine):

"The point here is that I think this is one part of what teaching me how to think is really supposed to mean. To be just a little less arrogant. To have just a little critical awareness about myself and my certainties. Because a huge percentage of the stuff that I tend to be automatically certain of is, it turns out, totally wrong and deluded."
You can either choose to (A) cling to the notion that your view is the absolute truth or (B) embrace a degree of humility about your views and open your mind to change.

The goal of Path A is to preserve the notion of our own intelligence. The goal of Path B is to broaden and improve our view of reality by acquiring new and better information.

We should all choose Path B...

"It ain't what you don't know that gets you into trouble. It's what you know for sure that just ain't so.” ― Mark Twain

At the end of every quarter, ask yourself what you've changed your mind on recently.

If you can't think of anything, that's a bad thing.

Fighting back against perspective blindness and opening your mind to new ideas is a tried and true path to consistent, compounding growth.

The next time you want to reject an alternative viewpoint without thinking, remember the story of the Blind Men and the Elephant:

The world is much more complex than any of us can possibly understand.

[HowlinSilenc @Tarcstar]

@_SuccessMinded_ Illuminati

[Fascinating @fasc1nate]

What were the 9 realms of Viking mythology? https://t.co/nDzFg3curR

[Springboks @Springboks]

❤🏉
#StrongerTogether #Springboks #RWC2023 #RSAvTGA

[HOW THINGS WORK @HowThingsWork_]

How things work: Free parking 🅿️

[Massimo @Rainmaker1973]

A zoetrope music box ispired by Hayao Miyazaki's Totoro and its famous Catbus (ネコバス, Nekobasu)

[📹 marvelous_media_engine]

[Sahil Bloom @SahilBloom]

A young statistician saved their lives.

His insight (and how it can change yours):

During World War II, the U.S. wanted to add reinforcement armor to specific areas of its planes.

Analysts examined returning bombers and plotted the bullet holes and damage on them (as in the image below).

Based on this analysis, they came to the conclusion that adding armor to the tail, body, and wings would improve their odds of survival.

But a young statistician named Abraham Wald noted that this would be a tragic mistake.

By only plotting data on the planes that returned, they were systematically omitting the data on a critical, informative subset:

The planes that were damaged and unable to return.

Abraham Wald recognized a key fact:

• "Seen" planes had sustained damage that was survivable.
• "Unseen" planes had sustained damage that was not survivable.

Wald concluded that armor should be added to the *unharmed* regions of the returning planes (the areas without bullet holes on the image below).

His profound logic:

Where the survivors were unharmed was actually where the planes were most vulnerable.

Based on his insight, the military reinforced the engine and other vulnerable parts, significantly improving the safety of the crews during combat and saving thousands of lives.

Abraham Wald had identified a cognitive bias called "Survivorship Bias":

The error resulting from systematically focusing on survivors (successes) and ignoring casualties (failures) that causes us to miss the true base rates of survival (the actual probability of success) and arrive at flawed conclusions.

We see examples of Survivorship Bias all around us:

1. We read books on the common traits of successful people, but fail to consider all of the unsuccessful people who possessed those same traits.

2. We applaud the belief when we hear that an entrepreneur took out a second mortgage and succeeded, but fail to consider all of the entrepreneurs who did the same and went bankrupt.

3. We study the cultural strategies of the most successful companies, but fail to consider all of the companies that followed those same strategies and fell apart.

When we fail to consider the range of outcomes and the hidden evidence, we develop a skewed (and often incorrect) view of reality.

It cannot be avoided altogether, because the vast majority of books and history are written by and about the survivors and victors, but wherever possible, consider the unseen evidence.

Remember: What is unseen often has just as much value as what is seen.

***

If you enjoyed this or learned something, follow me @SahilBloom for more in future!

[Cale 🥬 @CaleCrypto]

If you put out negativity, you will attract negativity.

When that negativity comes back to you and you're already feeling negative, it makes it that much easier to respond with even more negativity, thus creating a negativity loop.

The trick is to be honest with yourself right when you notice you're feeling negative. Don't blame other people and don't lie to yourself.

Do a little introspection to see what triggered the negativity, learn from it, then let it go.

🌞

[GameSpot @GameSpot]

Cyberpunk 2077 Update 2.0 Is Here, And The Patch Notes Are Bigger Than Adam Smasher https://t.co/4vjtswPsEu

[Massimo @Rainmaker1973]

A man in China's Guangdong set up an underwater football field in his fish tank and trained his goldfish to play football
https://t.co/51TF05UGkp

[GameSpot @GameSpot]

Sea Of Thieves Is Finally Adding PvE Servers Called Safer Seas https://t.co/zEBquMbyRs