TECHNOLOGY: CAN THE SECTOR RETURN TO AN UPWARD TRAJECTORY?
The sector has been consolidating since mid-May, as has the S&P 500 itself.
For the market to move decisively higher again, the technology sector will need to
break above its June highs.
FED, CORPORATE EARNINGS, AND MIDTERMS AS MARKETS SHOW RESILIENCE
Corporate earnings remain strong, with analysts continuing to revise their 2026
and 2027 estimates upward.
The AI investment cycle remains in full swing, with strong demand for
computing infrastructure
Model Portfolios in USD
Global Growth USD recorded a decline of -2.91%, but continues to show an exceptionally strong overall year-to-date return of +9.87%.
Income USD was the strongest strategy of the month, posting +2.40% and raising its year-to-date return to +7.24%.
THE S&P 500'S EXCESSIVE CONCENTRATION MAY BE HIDING A MESSAGE
The index's high concentration is not necessarily a worrying sign. It is better for investors to ask why this high concentration involves specific companies and whether these stocks is supported by fundamentals.
DOW JONES AT NEW RECORD HIGHS
While the semiconductor and memory sectors are seeing significant swings, and July has started
with sharp losses, the overall picture is not worrying.
For example, the Dow Jones is hitting new record highs,
We believe, however, that all of this analysis is largely irrelevant, as it fails to account for the scenario in which the war ends — a possibility that is already being set in motion. Oil has returned below $70, there are signs pointing toward deflation in July
The RBI's FCNR(B) changes could be one of the most attractive fixed-income opportunities for NRIs in years.
I shared my thoughts with @EconomicTimes on why Gulf-based investors may want to take a closer look
@XSpotwealth
THE MAIN U.S. STOCK MARKET INDICES CONTINUE TO BREAK RECORDS
U.S. stocks continued their rally for a sixth consecutive week, with three of the four major indices reaching new highs. The S&P 500 rose by +2.0%, the Nasdaq climbed +4.0%, and small-cap stocks gained +1.5%
For the first time since 2022, retail investors did not buy the dip, reflecting the fear triggered by the war in Iran. However, as we have said many times, the current bull market is clearly driven by the growth in corporate earnings.
SHOCK PROFITS FROM THE MAG 7 ARE PUSHING THE INDICES TO NEW ALL-TIME HIGHS
With the indices trading at all-time highs, interest during the past week shifted
once again to corporate earnings, as almost all of the Mag 7 companies reported first quarter results
THE MAIN SCENARIO FOR OIL
According to most analyses, banks believe that the more optimistic scenario will prevail—the one that views the current situation as a temporary disruption in the energy supply chain rather than a permanent damage.
ARE MARKETS PRICING IN THE END OF THE
WAR?
Substantial sell-offs in gold and silver, alongside notable stability in Bitcoin.
These may be early moves by large players who anticipate a positive development on the Iran war front at some point in the near future.
MARKETS ARE NOT FEELING THE PRESSURE
This is not the first time that markets have largely disregarded a new military operation, even when it involves Iran - a country with nuclear capabilities and a highly unpredictable profile.
AN EXTREMELY SUPPORTIVE ENVIRONMENT FOR EQUITIES
Key factors include:
1) Economic confidence indicators have improved.
2) Manufacturing data came in better than expected.
3) The labor market is showing notable resilience.
4) U.S. GDP was revised upward.
2026: THE YEAR BEGINS WITH THE MOOD TO CONTINUE THE CURRENT BULL MARKET
The decline of the dollar, as well as the generally sustained excellent investor sentiment, has begun to create capital flows toward markets that have lagged behind in recent years.
2026: AGGRESSIVE START – WHAT DOES HISTORY SHOW WHEN THERE ARE MIDTERM ELECTIONS?
All of the above is reflected in GDP, which grew by 3.8% in the second quarter, 4.3% in the third quarter, and, according to estimates, is expected to rise to 5.1% in the fourth quarter.
📈 Year-to-Date Highlights (USD Portfolios):
Fixed Income: +7.98%
Income Plan: +17.37%
Global Growth Plan: +21.41% —still outperforming both the S&P 500 and MSCI World
@XSpotwealth
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