In February I told readers to watch one ServiceNow metric
In April the company deleted it
The $NOW thesis now runs on two clocks, and one of them resolves July 22
Plus where Bloom stands after my call with @SammyKoppelman of Hunterbrook
$BE
https://t.co/CvVwiRmuTo
We are getting to the point where they might call the American bluff and start sinking named warships. Everyone understands what has been proven in the Black Sea.
US has directly struck Kharg Island oil infrastructure (western jetty pumping station + pipelines) — first confirmed hit on Iran’s core export terminal; fires visible via satellite. #OOTT
"The Trump administration, now Intel’s largest shareholder, has also taken a hands-on approach to the company... This type of state capitalism is unprecedented"
https://t.co/FgtHmgqU0s
This may be a bit technical for those who don't spend a lot of time on trade and capital flows, but Brad Setser continues to argue (plausibly, in my opinion) about discrepancies in China's trade data that may understate domestic imbalances.
https://t.co/LDpmmIS7sK
Sure, it’s “interesting” if obviously false #s can be interesting. But now that UBS made this asinine table that doesn’t deal with different retirement systems at all (not that this is easy), the left and will be repeating “the Portuguese are richer than Americans” until doomsday (an arrival they live to hasten).
Long before the equity analysts start revising EPS estimates down, b4 book/bill ratios crest in semis, anecdotes from direct experience call into question the exuberance built into future cash flow expectations. At a certain point, enough of these accumulate to tip the narrative.
Today I'm sharing something I've been building toward for years: The Agentic Economy, a treatise on the convergence of intelligence and the economy.
As AI agents take on the work of the firm and value moves natively on open, programmable networks, the agentic economy and the onchain economy turn out to be the same economy, seen from two sides.
It's a personal work. Enter at whatever depth you like: a 60-second thesis, a short read, the full treatise, an audiobook, or visual maps.
https://t.co/fvaCMLWl3f
..."When nothing seems to matter". How is it that a creaking republic lets a mediocre strongman and those best described as his Three Stooges commandeer a superpower...
< https://t.co/GUypQS5gO2 >
2026-07-12 4/END
Saudi Arabia has been stagnant for ages and instead of using its immense, finite oil wealth to capture the market in a long-term, geopolitically relevant, high value industry (like Taiwan and chips) they're blowing it on vanity projects and second tier sports teams.
Incredible.
the Ken Griffin / Goldman interview is massively under-discussed for many reasons, greatest of which is it's a perfect example of Anglo-Modernity
there is no companies but through sovereignty, american state capacity now rests inside of GS/Citadel/Allen rather than state/fed
Treasury QE is not as powerful as its promoters and its critics think.
In fact you really have to strain and squint just to find identifiable impacts on the Treasury market
QE effects more relevant further out the risk spectrum, where markets are less liquid and less elastic