The IMF sees global growth at 3.1% in 2026 and 3.4% in 2027, with inflation at 4.7% this year. Resilience is the headline. Net energy importers are cooked.
@antibearthesis Ok wait ... think a little. Who in their right mind would lend you at 3% when they could be buying the bills themselves? Assuming the US doesn't default on its debt ofc ..
The 2-year treasury note almost hit 5% this week. Sticky inflation and hawkish Fed almost guarantees another hike later this month. A 50bp hike isn't my base case - but wouldn't be surprised.
@DudeWhoInvests Assuming the US doesn't default over the next 30 years, you're also forgetting about the time value of money. Assuming a constant 3% inflation rate which is probably quite conservative that $112k would actually be worth closer to $45k. That before taxes.
I am all for decentralization, however I struggle to believe how crypto can be:
1.) Cheap enough
2.) Accessible enough
3.) Generally accepted
to be used as world-wide currency. I would welcome anyone that can change my mind. #crypto#btc#eth#sol
"He was a tool of the boss, without brains or backbone" - Kafka, The Metamorphosis.
I've recently read this beautiful novella, and it made me think about the horrendous reality most of us live in. What is left of a man when his job becomes a priority over his health? #capitalism
@elonmusk This was obvious from the beginning, Elon. Trump wants a positive stock market, artificially reaching new highs every couple of months/weeks.
A hawkish fiscal policy will not boost the market and will result in less confidence in the administration.
4 Essential Functions of Government according to Milton Friedman:
1) Defense from foreign enemies.
2) Protect the individual citizen from abuse/coercion by other citizens.
3) Define the rules.
4) Judicial System: Mechanism for adjudicating disputes around the meaning of rules.