Already starting the homework for Noche UFC next week ๐
A few numbers I keep coming back to:
๐ถ Blaydes +175
๐ถ Grasso +185
๐ถ Ige +270
๐ถ Elliott +180
๐ถ Rafa Garcia +135
๐ Moreno EVEN
None are picks or official plays yet.
I just want to know one thing with each dog:
How many realistic ways can they actually win this fight?
Thatโs where we start.
#UFCNoche
@realkevink I like his game but he needs to strike more when on top. Instead of hunting for sub, needs to start dropping elbows and getting opponent to open up more.
You can love a fighter and still hate the moneyline.
MVP was a perfect example today. We liked him to win, but instead of laying the juice, we went with his most likely path.
Stay at range. Win minutes. Get to the cards.
MVP by Points +120. Cash. ๐ฐ
Thatโs what Iโll be looking for with some of these big favorites next week. I might love them to win, but Iโm not laying -400 or -500.
Letโs figure out how they win and see if the price makes sense.
#UFCParis
๐ถ AXEL SOLA UP NEXT.
Weโve got Sola ML +130 | 2U
Ziam is slick and experienced, but Solaโs pressure and grappling are exactly why we flipped our original pick earlier this week.
Make it physical. Close the distance. Make Ziam work every minute.
Time for the dog to cash. ๐ฐ
#UFCParis
๐ถ SOLA KNOCKS HIM OUT COLD.
Axel Sola ML +130 | 2U โ +2.6U
We flipped to Sola earlier this week because we loved the matchup at plus money.
Then he goes out and absolutely shuts the lights off. ๐ฅ
Officially a profitable night for The Fight Market. ๐ฐ๐
#UFCParis
๐ฐ BIGGEST PLAY OF THE NIGHT CASHES.
MVP by Points +120 | 3U โ +3.6U
Was it exciting? Absolutely not ๐
But we didnโt bet on entertainment. We bet on MVP to stay elusive, win minutes and get his hand raised on the scorecards.
Ugly cash spends the same. ๐ฏ
#UFCParis
๐ฏ MVP UP NEXT.
Weโve got MVP by Points +120 | 3U
Ruziboev is dangerous, but MVP is a nightmare to solve at range. The movement, timing and awkward entries make him incredibly difficult to pin down cleanly.
Donโt need the highlight reel tonight. Touch him up, stay elusive and stack rounds.
MVP by Points +120. Biggest play of the card. ๐ฐ
#UFCParis
๐ฏ MVP UP NEXT.
Weโve got MVP by Points +120 | 3U
Ruziboev is dangerous, but MVP is a nightmare to solve at range. The movement, timing and awkward entries make him incredibly difficult to pin down cleanly.
Donโt need the highlight reel tonight. Touch him up, stay elusive and stack rounds.
MVP by Points +120. Biggest play of the card. ๐ฐ
#UFCParis
๐ถ Punahele Soriano up next.
Weโve got Soriano ML +190
1.5U
Donchenko is dangerous, but Soriano has been through a much tougher UFC schedule. Real power, legitimate wrestling and multiple ways to make this ugly.
This is exactly the kind of dog I want my money on.
#UFCParis
๐จ ADDING A PLAY
๐ฅ Kurtis Campbell by KO/TKO +250
1.5U
We already have Campbell by TKO as the pick. At +250, l like the price enough to make it a bet.
Stay technical, let Peek bring the chaos, then punish the openings.
#UFCParis
๐ฅ Losene Keita up next.
Weโve got Keita by KO/TKO -110 for 1.5U.
The speed and explosiveness should be the difference here. Naimov is tough, but giving Keita extended exchanges on the feet is playing with fire.
Looking for violence ๐ฅ
#UFCParis