@kashkingdiscord I tend to look at season splits or, in the case of early season, look at prior season splits, rather than career. But same principle as what you're asking here. I don't want recency to be everything, just strong consideration.
Tonight, we climb. ๐ช๐
MFing Picks for Lakers vs. Trail Blazers:
Deni Avdija O 22.5 points
Jrue Holiday O 3.5 assists
Luka Donฤiฤ O 7.5 rebounds
Austin Reaves O 1.5 threes
4-leg SGP | +875
Four NBA player props. One sack of cash hanging above the ring.
More NBA picks, player projections, matchup data & predictive analytics at https://t.co/hltITSG0GY
Follow @ModelingForge for daily NBA projections and MFing Picks.
Who grabs the briefcase tonight? ๐
Trick or treat? Weโre taking the props. ๐๐
Tonightโs NBA MFing Picks:
LeBron James 6+ rebounds
Tyrese Maxey 4+ rebounds
Pascal Siakam 4+ assists
Jamal Murray 6+ assists
4-leg parlay | +484
More NBA picks, player props, projections & matchup data at https://t.co/hltITSG0GY
Follow @ModelingForge for daily NBA projections and MFing Picks.
Which leg is handing out the candy tonight? ๐ฌ
I don't, it's hard to know what the rotation looks like night to night these days with coaches doing load management and playing analytics. I tend to play split trends and recency more than anything. 3 games in to this season and Luka has hit 8 boards in 2 out of 3 games. Without LeBron around I also think his rebound and assist stats will generally see a little bump from last seasons averages.
It's a few things, if you look at Luka's splits he tends to be slightly more active on the boards than his averages when playing on one day of rest. Portland is also learning how to play together with some new faces which can lead to some tough shots going up. This leg and the Jrue leg are the two I feel the least conviction in.
MFing Victory. ๐น๐
The CowboysโEagles Monday Night Football +730 SGP is officially CASHED:
โ George Pickens 50+ rec yds
โ CeeDee Lamb 60+ rec yds
โ Ryan Flournoy 25+ rec yds
โ Saquon Barkley 50+ rush yds
โ Makai Lemon 25+ rec yds
โ Dallas Goedert 40+ rec yds
6 legs. +730. All green.
Looks like we survived the Gremlins after allโฆ
or did we? ๐
More NFL picks, player props, projections & matchup data at https://t.co/hltITSG0GY
Follow @ModelingForge for the next MFing Picks card.
Whatever you doโฆ donโt feed the picks after midnight. ๐น๐
MFing Picks for Cowboys vs. Eagles on Monday Night Football:
George Pickens 50+ rec yds
CeeDee Lamb 60+ rec yds
Ryan Flournoy 25+ rec yds
Saquon Barkley 50+ rush yds
Makai Lemon 25+ rec yds
Dallas Goedert 40+ rec yds
6-leg SGP | +730
More NFL picks, player props, projections & matchup data at https://t.co/hltITSGyww
Which leg turns into a Gremlin tonight? ๐
Whatโs your favorite scary prop? ๐ช๐
MFing Picks for Chiefs vs. Seahawks on Sunday Night Football:
Kenneth Walker III 70+ rush yds
Kenneth Walker III anytime TD
Patrick Mahomes 10+ rush yds
Jaxon Smith-Njigba 80+ rec yds
Cooper Kupp 15+ rec yds
AJ Barner 15+ rec yds
6-leg SGP | +773
More NFL picks, player props, projections & matchup data at https://t.co/hltITSGyww
Which leg survives the night? ๐
Big Trouble in the Sunday Slate. ๐๐ฅ
MFing Picks | 6-leg NFL parlay +774
Cardinals vs. Broncos
โข Kendrick Bourne 25+ receiving yards
โข Trey McBride 50+ receiving yards
Packers vs. Lions
โข Christian Watson 60+ receiving yards
โข Matthew Golden 60+ receiving yards
โข Sam LaPorta 40+ receiving yards
Rams vs. Raiders
โข Kyren Williams 50+ rushing yards
Six NFL player props. Three games. One Sunday card.
More NFL picks, player projections, matchup data and predictive sports analytics at https://t.co/hltITSGyww.
Which leg is causing the most trouble? ๐
๐ DraftKings NFL DFS Perfect Lineup โ Sunday Slate
ModelingForge projects this lineup for 198.8 DK points while using $49,900 of the $50K salary cap:
RB Bijan Robinson โ $8,500 | 33.1
RB Derrick Henry โ $7,900 | 30.7
QB Jordan Love โ $6,000 | 30.6
WR Christian Watson โ $7,000 | 30.1
TE George Kittle โ $5,700 | 24.2
WR Caleb Douglas โ $4,000 | 15.3
WR Chris Godwin Jr. โ $4,300 | 14.8
FLEX Kyle Pitts Sr. โ $4,000 | 11.0
DST Bengals โ $2,500 | 9.0
How does the Perfect Lineup tool work?
It takes ModelingForgeโs NFL player projections and searches for the highest-projected valid DraftKings DFS lineup that fits within the $50,000 salary cap and roster requirements. For Classic contests, the DST slot is budgeted using the slateโs average DST salary so the optimizer can focus on finding the strongest combination of QB/RB/WR/TE/FLEX value.
The result: a data-driven look at how our projections would allocate the entire DraftKings salary cap.
๐ Explore the full NFL DFS projections, player values and Perfect Lineup tool at https://t.co/hltITSG0GY
Who from this lineup is making your Sunday DFS build?
Bonjour. Paris is burning and our picks are on fire. Itโs a MFing Picks morning ๐ฅ๐ซ๐ท ๐
Our Same Game Parlay for Steelers vs. Saints:
โข Jaylen Warren 20+ Rec Yards
โข Rico Dowdle 5+ Rec Yards
โข Germie Bernard 40+ Rec Yards
โข Tyler Shough 10+ Rush Yards
โข Chris Olave 60+ Rec Yards
โข Devaughn Vele 30+ Rec Yards
SGP: +820
The Paris game will be a riot. More picks, projections, protests, and predictive tools at https://t.co/hltITSG0GY.
Which leg do you feel best about? ๐
The Saturday Signal control room is LIVE. ๐บ๐
ModelingForge AP Top 25 CFB projections:
#18 LSU 30โ22 Auburn
#8 Texas Tech 32โ26 Cincinnati
#23 SMU 37โ17 Cal
#1 Miami 38โ16 Pitt
#6 Indiana 28โ20 Michigan
#24 Northwestern 33โ24 Rutgers
#13 Alabama 33โ19 Texas A&M
#11 Tennessee 29โ27 South Carolina
#2 BYU 30โ21 UCF
#15 Iowa 28โ20 Minnesota
#9 UCLA 33โ18 Michigan State
#21 Boise State 33โ19 Washington State
#12 Kentucky 34โ22 Vanderbilt
#19 Texas 30โ25 #7 Ole Miss
#25 Arizona 33โ21 Iowa State
#16 USC 28โ24 Wisconsin
#10 Utah 32โ26 #14 Houston
Every game includes our projected score, Vegas spread, O/U, weather, venue and matchup signal.
๐ก Full College Football projections + analysis: https://t.co/hltITSG0GY
Which Saturday Signal call are you buying โ and which one are we getting wrong?
Make it a Blockbuster night. ๐ฌ ๐
MFing Picks for Patriots vs. Bears on Thursday Night Football:
Rhamondre Stevenson 30+ rush yds
Demario Douglas 30+ rec yds
Hunter Henry 25+ rec yds
DโAndre Swift 10+ rec yds
Rome Odunze 30+ rec yds
Colston Loveland 30+ rec yds
6-leg SGP | +783
NFL player projections, matchup data & more โก๏ธ https://t.co/hltITSG0GY
NBA Opening Night finale: Thunder vs. Spurs. ๐ฎ๐
MFing Picks | +746
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander O 29.5 PTS
Ajay Mitchell O 11.5 PTS
Devin Vassell O 11.5 PTS
Devin Vassell O 3.5 REB
Powered by NBA Court Vision โ player projections, matchup data & advanced NBA analytics at https://t.co/hltITSG0GY
Sticks in hand. Who are you locking in?
LeBron James makes his Philadelphia 76ers debut on NBA Opening Night. ๐๐
MFing Picks for 76ers-Knicks:
LeBron James O 15.5 points
Jaylen Brown O 20.5 points
OG Anunoby 15+ points
Mikal Bridges O 13.5 points
4-leg SGP | +816
Full NBA projections + player data powered by NBA Court Vision: https://t.co/hltITSGyww
NBA Tip Off is here โ and so is NBA Court Vision. ๐
MFing Picks for Celtics-Pistons:
Jayson Tatum O 26.5 points
Jayson Tatum O 8.5 rebounds
Cade Cunningham O 23.5 points
Cade Cunningham 8+ assists
4-leg SGP | +585
Nothing says NBA action like tipping off a marquee matchup in the middle of the day on a Tuesday.
Court Vision is ModelingForgeโs new NBA predictor built for player prop projections, matchup analysis, trends and deeper game data.
See the game. Predict the edge.
Full NBA projections: https://t.co/hltITSGyww
Another MFing VICTORY โ with a little insurance. ๐๐ก๏ธ
Terry McLaurinโs injury knocked out one leg, but Bet Protect+ knocked it out of the parlay too.
+980 โก๏ธ +672 โก๏ธ CASHED โ
White โ
Diggs โ
Purdy โ
McCaffrey โ
Kittle โ
McLaurin ๐ก๏ธ VOID
Commanders vs. 49ers MNF player props delivered.
More NFL models + picks at https://t.co/hltITSG0GY