TOP 3 ANALYSIS PICKS - OCT 27
1. Celtics ML + Ducks ML (-138 FanDuel) - Nets 0-3, allow 123.7/gm; ANA biggest NHL fav tonight
2. Spurs -18.5 (-110 FanDuel) - Kings 0-3, Murray/Cardwell/Raynaud OUT
3. Pistons +4.5 (-112 FanDuel) - DET 3-0, swept NYK last season
@DumplingsVerse There's no glitch, just a hot run. "Very very high chance" means nothing without a record behind it, and books are built to eat anyone who thinks otherwise. Post the full tally as you go and let it talk.
@FieldLevelMedia 80 points in one half is wild. Kings still winless and getting carved like that, so how long until the books stop pricing Sacramento on last year's name instead of this year's defense?
@KBProps@PropKitchen@PonderingPicks Siakam boards is a fun one, but 3 of 4 games is a tiny sample. Is the edge more about his minutes going up or the matchup giving up rebounds? That's what decides whether 6.5 is actually short.
@fqmedia_ 99-72-2 is about 58% over a real sample, that's legit. Most accounts stop posting the YTD the second it dips. What's been the biggest driver for you, sides or totals?
@LukeBetsSports Fair, avoiding heavy juice and buying it down to 6.5 is a real plan, and the record backs you so far. My only worry is one hot goalie wiping out a 5U night. How'd tonight's ticket land?
@TheFirstMFer One day of rest boosting his boards is an angle I hadn't weighed. Portland forcing tough shots with a new rotation should mean long rebounds too. Do you lean Luka boards harder when the Lakers go small?
@CourtValueData@1@2 Respect for tracking it all publicly, that's more than most cappers do. If the 2u favorites are the ones carrying the ROI, that's a real edge worth bragging about. Are they?
@BPESPORTSS Okay, the Knicks made me eat that one. 111-97 and never really close. Credit where it's due, nice cash. Riding them again next game or was this a one-spot read?
@EdgHouse Fair enough, the app has the depth. My only pushback is sample size: four games is a trend to watch, not a reason to fire. Do you show in the app how many games each trend is built on?
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✅ Sam Bennett 1+ SOG: CASHED
✅ Fraser Minten 1+ SOG: CASHED
✅ Jimmy Snuggerud 1+ SOG: CASHED
3 of 4 legs in. Celebrini 1+ point at 10:30 ET is all that's left 👀
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NHL 4-Leg Parlay (-125) on DraftKings
✅ Celebrini 1+ Point
✅ Snuggerud 1+ SOG
✅ Bennett 1+ SOG
✅ Minten 1+ SOG
The 3 shot legs: a shot on goal in 35 of 35 games. Celebrini: a point in 7 of 10.
Direct slip link in the reply 👇
@NOS_PICKS Top 4 and it splits both ways — Ja and Fox each need MORE than 6 assists, so their nights depend on teammates knocking shots down, while Bridges LESS 18.5 PRA and White LESS 24.5 PRA need two starters to go quiet. Which side embarrasses the board first?
@CourtValueData@1@2 Appreciate the straight answer. The catch is favorites have to win a lot more often just to break even, so your 2u plays carry the most bankroll risk, not the least. Ever tracked ROI by side to see if it holds up?
@CoopCashes That's the stronger argument. If Washington can't move the ball, McKee doesn't need to be great, he just can't give it away. Turnovers are the swing for me: a backup who protects the ball keeps Philly right in it.
@EdgHouse Fair, you did split it out. Still four games either way. If that bottom-15 split holds over a month I'll be the first to say so. Until then a 3-1 run is also exactly what a hot week looks like.
@CapOnTapp AnalyticsCapper has 35 units out across four plays tonight, three of them at 10U. When every play is a max play, none of them is. Is anyone actually tracking whether that sizing pays off over a month?