PIαи Ƈ

Creator of the Bitcoin Quantile Model

[David @DavidFischer]

Tonight I declare before everyone that Jesus Christ is my Lord and Savior!

Repost if you’re with me!

[Pope Leo XIV @Pontifex]

As we begin our journey through #Lent, let us ask the Lord to grant us the gift of true conversion of heart, so that we may better respond to His love for us and share that love with those around us.

[PIαи Ƈ @TheRaIPIansC]

@JeddyMutheu @Shavin_ 🤣

[Collins @Koganda_254]

@citizentvkenya When a foreigner listens to William speak, they might think Kenya is led by a calm, open-minded president. But sit with him long enough and you realize something else entirely: a man who confuses criticism with hatred, disagreement with noise, and accountability with disrespect.

[wambui @wambuijoan2024]

This is Alice nganga, the Thika town mp. During the anti-finance bill protests, where she voted yes to the bill, Kenyans started a campaign to kick out all MPs who voted yes in 2027.

In response, Alice nganga went on a live video with millions of money and boasted to Thika residents how she does not need re-election, because she has used their CDF money to make some personal investments. She further said the money she has made from the CDF kitty is enough to keep her and her family going, even if she is not re-elected. She openly said she has stolen enough.

The good people of Kiambu have forgotten. They want to replace Matangi with this thief. They want to entrust billions of money given to the county through the equitable share to this woman?

I'm now seeing fools calling her mama Simba. How soon do we forget?? Eloi!

[Plan C @TheRealPlanC]

New Bitcoin Uncharted tomorrow 👀

[Plan C @TheRealPlanC]

No caption needed.

[Plan C @TheRealPlanC]

Bitcoin Uncharted

The data-driven weekly Bitcoin show

you need to be watching.

[Aiopeson @Aiopeson]

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Wear it and maintain your elegance no matter the place or time.

[Plan C @TheRealPlanC]

More Bitcoin signal,

bookmark and follow Sminston.

[Plan C @TheRealPlanC]

Math Models > TA, $30,000 Bitcoin party cancelled. $60,000 was a gift.

[Plan C @TheRealPlanC]

If people understood this math, they would understand the odds of going to $30,000 are near zero.

The odds of going even below $50,000 are extremely small.

1st Quantile Today

April 5, 2009 = $53,574
Genesis = $58,050

[Plan C @TheRealPlanC]

Here is the explain it to me like I am a 13-year-old 🤣

[Plan C @TheRealPlanC]

Bitcoin Quantile Model

How stable is the 1st Quantile floor?

I did a deep dive... INSANE RESULTS!

522 weekly fits over the last 10 years to see how much the slope changed.

The answer is essentially zero change for 10 years.

The same underlying mathematical pattern that defines the Bitcoin Quantile Model lower bounds has been completely stable since 2016.

[Plan C @TheRealPlanC]

Here is the explain it to me like I am a 13-year-old 🤣

[Captain Creps @CaptainCreps]

The special edition Dunk Low "Year of the Horse" just touched down at Nike!

SHOP NOW 👇

[Plan C @TheRealPlanC]

1st Quantile Today

April 5, 2009 = $53,574
Genesis = $58,050

I also compared two starting points: the Genesis block, the one most people use, and Satoshi's birthday, April 5th.

There is a meaningful difference in the stability. I also tested out-of-sample results using 10 years of training data to predict the last 5.5 years.

April 5th (Satoshi's Birthday) outperformed Genesis by a large margin.

By definition, this is not curve fitting, as I did 19 out-of-sample test splits.

I will be putting out an article soon with the full results, but it is fascinating.

[Plan C @TheRealPlanC]

Was $60,000 Bitcoin the low for 2026?

[Plan C @TheRealPlanC]

I would say 80% chance the low is in.