TheSportsTerminal.com

Terminal-style sports analytics: NFL • CFB • MLB • NBA • NHL. Projections, simulations, live scores, odds & edges. Ad-free command center for your teams.

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Mike Evans is going off the board at pick 54 and our board has him 98th among receivers, a 44-spot gap. Chris Godwin and Jayden Reed are getting the same treatment, both going 40-plus spots ahead of where we'd take them. The room is drafting the name, not the target share.

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Georgia sits at 96.6 percent to make the playoff, the clearest team in the field. Ohio State is well behind at 88.9 percent, yet carries the higher title odds, 23.7 to Georgia's 21.3. Getting in and winning it are two different simulations.

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Lions' Jared Goff is 220 yards clear at the top of our passing board. After that it's a pileup: Dak Prescott through Caleb Williams at ten span just 319 yards, with gaps as thin as 1 and 7 yards separating them. One real QB1, then a coin flip nine deep.

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Six lines have moved this season and every one of them moved exactly 3 points, flipping who's favored. Bills-Texans went from Bills -1.5 to Texans -1.5. Rams-Seahawks did the same in Week 16, now Seahawks -1.5. Nothing partial about any of these moves.

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Raiders' Chigozie Anusiem and Seahawks' Jake Bobo both landed on season-ending IR with knee injuries, Anusiem hurt in Thursday's preseason game and Bobo in Friday's joint practice. Bo Nix and Geno Smith both returned from injury the same window and each threw a touchdown.

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Deshaun Watson says the Browns fans' boos feel personal, not about play. The play is the issue for us: our board has him at 2,512 passing yards and 15.1 touchdowns, with a range running from 48 to 3,606 yards. That's a floor that assumes he barely takes the field.

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Amon-Ra St. Brown's floor is 211.3 on a 279.9 projection, the tightest gap of this group. Ja'Marr Chase is right behind him, 214.5 on 286. If you can't afford a zero at receiver, that's the tier you draft from.

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Saquon Barkley, Kyren Williams and Breece Hall headline a seven-back tier running 170.9 to 188.8 points. Travis Etienne sits alone just below at 160.6. Seven backs you can shuffle, then a real drop to one.

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Is it time to move on from Dak Prescott after this year if he can’t get it done? Joe Milton III may be the answer.

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What a half for Joe Milton III 🤩

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Missouri's Ahmad Hardy tops our rushing board at 1,230 projected yards, just 16 clear of Georgia Tech's Justice Haynes. He's already out for the opener. That's a number built on a season he hasn't started yet.

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Puka Nacua is our WR1 at 317.9 projected points and he's listed questionable today. He's still going third overall. Christian McCaffrey, our RB5, is also questionable with an undisclosed issue and going seventh. Neither injury is moving the room.

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Puka Nacua projects for more raw points than Bijan Robinson, 317.9 to 313.5. But value over replacement flips it, Robinson at 222.9 to Nacua's 216.5. Running backs are just scarcer, and that's the whole case for taking one first.

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Alabama named Keelon Russell its starter for 2026. He threw for 143 yards as a backup last season, and our board has him at 1,959 with 14.3 touchdowns behind that. Add 181 rushing yards on top. That's the gap between mop-up duty and the job.

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Ravens' Rashod Bateman is under NFL review after a family violence arrest. He was on track for 445 receiving yards, up from 224 last season, with a wide 96 to 785 range. How much of that is still in play?

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Who should the Steelers’ QB1 be in 2027?

Will Howard
Drew Allar

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Cardinals at Chargers is the outlier on this week's board, a 10.4-point spread when nothing else clears 7.5. Browns-Jaguars and Saints-Lions are the next widest, and then five games bunch inside a single field goal of each other. One real mismatch, seven coin flips.

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Colts' Alec Pierce is out with an ankle injury. Shane Steichen says he's moving around well and hopes to have him back soon. Pierce is our WR20 at 157.2 projected points, going off the board at ADP 64, worth 5.7 points above a replacement at the position.

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Raiders have the toughest schedule for quarterback fantasy points in the league, 15.2 allowed per game against a 16.3 average. Chiefs and Broncos aren't far off at 28th and 29th. Dolphins' number gets even tighter in the playoff weeks, down to 13.6.

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Drew Allar is the future for the Steelers.

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What a throw by Drew Allar 👏

NYJvsPIT on @nflnetwork
Stream on @NFLPlus

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Imagine if Nick Chubb wouldn’t have spent his prime on the Browns.

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Former four-time Pro Bowl running back Nick Chubb announced his retirement from the NFL at age 30.