Thoamas

Thomas
U.S. equity strategies & market structure
Trends, selective ideas & personal strategy notes

🤖 AI intraday quant
📊Market intelligence
📝 Strategy notes

[Thoamas @Thoamas_Data]

Hi, I’m Thomas.

Markets move fast. I focus on finding where capital is flowing before the crowd notices.
📊 Earnings
🚀 Momentum
💡 Emerging themes

Sharing what I see, as I see it.
👇 Follow for market insights
💬 https://t.co/3K0x32uQ1l

[Thoamas @Thoamas_Data]

$SPCX Will the SPCX open higher or fall back?

[Thoamas @Thoamas_Data]

$SPCX
Largest IPO in U.S. history.
$75B raised.
~$1.77T valuation.
Wall Street:
"How high can it go?"
Me:
"Can we talk about the business for a second?"
🚀 Launches
📡 Starlink
🛡️ Defense

[Thoamas @Thoamas_Data]

Governments are increasing space spending.
Commercial space activity continues to expand.
$RDW is positioning itself across multiple high-growth segments.

[Thoamas @Thoamas_Data]

$AAOI
My reason for holding it is simple: it builds optical connections, enabling AI chips to transfer data between data centers. As AI scales to 500,000 GPUs and beyond, copper cables will become the bottleneck, while fiber optic cables act as conduits for data transmission, ensuring data can be transmitted fast enough to meet the needs of training and inference.

[Serenity @aleabitoreddit]

Just some reflection, my core high conviction ideas from 2025 aged super well!

From
$ALAB: $97-> $372
$LITE: $330 -> $904
$AAOI: $30 -> $175

And others like $NBIS, $RKLB, and $TSM!

This was back when I had close to no followers!

I got some nuances slightly off before more information was made public. Lost conviction on ALAB along the way with optical transitions.

But this was back when AAOI and others were small $3B companies (~$14B now).

So maybe some others in the same range today like $SIVE should get some more attention?

But I’m happy a lot of them aged super well.

And I think a large part of my recent following growth is just other seeing my ideas like $AXTI get validated over time.

[Thoamas @Thoamas_Data]

Markets are most prone to overestimating short-term impacts and underestimating long-term trends during unexpected events.

Today everyone is discussing the situation in the Middle East, but I'm more concerned with:
Has the demand for AI changed?
Has the demand for optical modules changed?
Has the growth logic of $AAOI changed?

At least for now, the answer I see is no.

#AAOI

[Thoamas @Thoamas_Data]

My thoughts on $AAOI:
The demand for AI optical modules is already evident.

What I'm pondering is: as cloud giants fully push into 800G and move towards 1.6T in the future, can $AAOI continue to deliver on its performance?

We can see:
• AI infrastructure investment is still accelerating.
• $AAOI has successfully entered the 800G cycle.
• The company's growth is increasingly reliant on AI computing power demand, rather than the traditional telecom market.
• If management continues to deliver on its guidance, there is still room for further valuation improvement.

Of course, the risks are also obvious:
Market expectations for $AAOI are now much higher than a year ago.

Therefore, $AAOI is no longer a "discovery opportunity" trade, but a "validation and execution" trade; execution is the key to determining the stock price.
As long as AI CapEx continues to grow, and $AAOI continues to gain more market share, I am more inclined to view pullbacks as opportunities.
#AAOI

[Thoamas @Thoamas_Data]

AI clusters require more optical connectivity.

Network speeds keep moving higher.

$AAOI sits directly in that upgrade cycle.

My takeaway:

The debate is about timing.

#AAOI is positioning for scale.

[Thoamas @Thoamas_Data]

Yesterday the overall market was weak, but 688017 showed good stability, and it continued to strengthen in pre-market trading today. This made me take another careful look at the earlier analysis by Serenity, the “stock goddess.” Many so-called “stock gods” only do post-event reviews, but truly valuable analysis is the kind that can identify opportunities through data, industry logic, and capital behavior before market consensus has formed. At least in the case of 688017, her view is being gradually validated by the market. What do you think—this is driven by fundamentals, or a resonance of capital flows? #Serenity @aleabitoreddit

[Thoamas @Thoamas_Data]

💥Looking at the analysis of the $AAOI chart, you'll understand how to trade. Now, the analysis is accurate. Congratulations again to our community members who bought in.

$SNOW $SMCI $NVDA $PLTR $MRVL $DRAM $TSEM $MU $GFS

[Thoamas @Thoamas_Data]

Last Friday, $AAOI successfully formed a strong rebound after testing its support level once again — proving that our analysis was completely correct.

As mentioned earlier, the 20-day moving average remained the key support zone and the best buying opportunity during the pullback. Now, the stock price has rebounded to around $180, showing strong momentum once again.

With the trend continuing to strengthen, AAOI now has the potential to break into new highs ahead. Let’s look forward to the next breakout together.

[Thoamas @Thoamas_Data]

Last Friday, $AAOI successfully formed a strong rebound after testing its support level once again — proving that our analysis was completely correct.

As mentioned earlier, the 20-day moving average remained the key support zone and the best buying opportunity during the pullback. Now, the stock price has rebounded to around $180, showing strong momentum once again.

With the trend continuing to strengthen, AAOI now has the potential to break into new highs ahead. Let’s look forward to the next breakout together.

[Thoamas @Thoamas_Data]

Last Friday, $AAOI successfully formed a strong rebound after testing its support level once again — proving that our analysis was completely correct.

As mentioned earlier, the 20-day moving average remained the key support zone and the best buying opportunity during the pullback. Now, the stock price has rebounded to around $180, showing strong momentum once again.

With the trend continuing to strengthen, AAOI now has the potential to break into new highs ahead. Let’s look forward to the next breakout together.

[Thoamas @Thoamas_Data]

At this point, AAOI has found effective support at the 20-day moving average and is poised for a rebound, with the possibility of reaching a new high!

[Thoamas @Thoamas_Data]

Congratulations to everyone who joined the $SIDU trading strategy!

You've already secured an impressive 60% profit — outstanding work! Stay sharp and keep a close eye on the trading signals next Tuesday for the next opportunity.
$PL $FJET $HOVR $SPCE $PRZO

[Thoamas @Thoamas_Data]

🚀 $SIDU is worth watching!

Currently at a low level, it has huge potential. We recommend buying in batches!

Target price: $5-$6.8

[Thoamas @Thoamas_Data]

Good morning 🌞

The appeal of China’s QDII funds continues to strengthen — particularly those tracking the Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, and major U.S. tech stocks. Accumulate as much as possible and maintain consistent dollar-cost averaging. Don’t pause now.

[Thoamas @Thoamas_Data]

At this point, AAOI has found effective support at the 20-day moving average and is poised for a rebound, with the possibility of reaching a new high!

[Thoamas @Thoamas_Data]

💥US Stock Trading Strategy (May 12)

📌 Stock Code: $IREN

🎯 Buy Price: $55-$55.5

✅ Target Price: $70-$75

📌 Reasons for Buying:

$IREN possesses multiple themes: AI, high-performance computing power, and Bitcoin. Therefore, the market often assigns it higher valuation flexibility, especially during periods of AI market activity, when funds tend to speculate on "computing power + energy" concepts. Furthermore, it has recently received strong investor interest and is expected to experience an upward trend.

[Thoamas @Thoamas_Data]

🚀 $SIDU is worth watching!

Currently at a low level, it has huge potential. We recommend buying in batches!

Target price: $5-$6.8