This is a significant operational achievement for Iran. The AR-327 radar at Bahrain’s highest point is a very important piece of the regional missile defense and battlefield awareness architecture. What you need to realize to see the significance of this hit is this:
Radars are the easiest thing to target bc they’re fixed addresses that emit such powerful electromagnetic signals. This makes very vulnerable. And because they are so operationally important, they have to be very strongly defended by interceptor systems. There is almost certainly a multi-layer ballistic missile defense-in-depth to defend this particular radar.
Now if you recall, the Iranians managed to hit at least 14 US radars across the region, include four AN/TPY-2 (THAAD) and at least one AN/FPS-132. This happened in the first two days of the war when the Iranians fired off hundreds of missiles. In that case, they were able to defeat the interceptors and hit the best-defended hard-kill targets like radars because of the size of the salvos.
Now they’ve bagged a big radar kill. The math shows that, even with a CEP of 5m, Iran would’ve needed something like a salvo of 12 missiles.
So the possibilities are: (1) they did fire a dozen missiles at this radar, (2) they fired a hypersonic missile with terminal maneuvering that could not be intercepted, (3) the interceptor inventories are running so low that US policy has shifted from firing 10 interceptors at each inbound missile to firing far fewer; maybe as few as just one or two.
Regardless of which of these hypotheses is correct, this is a very serious setback for the US. It may explain why the Iranians did not attack high value targets like warships or try hard to get birds on the apron (my Ben Gurion nightmare). They went after the eyes. There may have been more hits.
So the kinetic aspect of this war of position is a counter-radar war, a two-sided one. Maybe this is why Trump taco’d on his latest threat. He was probably told by the military that had he kept going, the US would get blinded before Iran does.
I did a bit of research on this and it turns out he's German, the song is shit and the royal family paid hush money to cover Andrew's involvement with Epstein.
36-year-old Darren Medhurst, who was filmed by Young Bob setting a bin on fire and rolling it towards police officers, has been jailed for three years and three months.
Darren has 51 previous convictions for 96 offences, including burglary and shoplifting.
‼️ My interpretation of this morning's unhinged-POTUS meltdown post is that the Iranians must have done some serious damage to US assets in last night's missile strikes.
This is a scenario where blundering hubris can easily escalate to major disaster.
Escalation dominance is not an end in itself. It is bc Iran wants to consolidate its new power position that it wants to establish escalation dominance. The counter-escalation yesterday failed to convince the US. If this is still the proximate goal for Tehran, they have to escalate dramatically.
BREAKING: Iran's IRGC says it has now also struck the US Al-Azraq airbase in Jordan with long-range missiles, hitting 4 targets including F35 hangars and the command control center, along with a drone attack on the US Ali Al-Salem Base in Kuwait, per Tasnim.
BREAKING: Taybeh, the last Palestinian Christian village in the West Bank, is on fire!
Local residents report that Israeli settlers torched the fields.