Last cycle I was able to sell all of my #Bitcoin at 54k in April 2021.
My coins bought at 16.5k this cycle are sitting patiently, on the ready.
When data says time is up, I'll be more than happy to pass them over to someone who believes models will be broken.
Greed is coming
Don’t fuck this cycle up… AGAIN.
A thread of helpful tips. 🧵 👇
Almost everything is breaking multi year bear market trend ranges to the upside.
Your only goal is to get in a position and ride the trend until it gets euphoric.
This is the market condition where you can typically get a win rate of 90%+ with an RR over two.
The key is to buy support when you get the dips and the pull backs. This comes down to emotional mastery and your ability to execute when you get the proper trade set up.
Remember- ABS. Always be scanning. Find the trades around your style.
Don’t over leverage yourself where you’ll get spooked on every little pull back.
#Bitcoin spot ETF approval will bring in a wave of new money looking for ‘the next bitcoin.’
#Ethereum spot ETF approval will giga pump Eth and the ERC-20 ecosystem, especially the tools that every project relies on.
Then the money will trickle to the ETH L2’s and their ecosystems.
Solana continues to dominate market share just because it has a great narrative around it and they’re constantly making the blockchain better and faster.
This may be an actual rival this market cycle just because they have a rival amount of dev and vc support in the ecosystem.
There will be AI narrative that pumps that sector, then gaming coins, then there will probably be a big regulation story with the DOJ that will cause decentralized exchange tokens to pump hard as well.
Real world assets (RWA’s) are also getting some pretty major traction that I would dive in to as well.
Airdrops for protocols and dApps that pay users a % of profits for staking or holding the token will be huge. I have 6-7 spot bags paying out pretty healthy right now from fees.
Mess around with protocols on all the ecosystems (naming protocols, swaps, dex’s, NFT’s, yield farms, LP on dex’s, etc) to get in on those.
If your shitcoin spot bags pump hard… just remember to take SOME profit at least and let the rest ride. I like 60-70%.
If it can change your life or pay off debt, do it. I promise you will not regret it when the market gets frothy.
Set part of it aside for taxes so you don’t get caught with your pants down from your gains next year.
Last, but not least, follow some OG accounts that know what they are doing for trading and finding quality altcoins that have a team following the market that post a lot of alpha.
Here is a helpful list of people I like to follow to give a wide range of opinions on the market:
@CryptoGodJohn@bitbitcrypto@ShardiB2@Nebraskangooner@truecrypto@joemccann@elliotrades@ZssBecker@TraderMercury
@jordan_weaver18
@SalsaTekila
@EmZ_xbt
Most importantly. Don’t rely on others for your trades and your investments. Be accountable to yourself and don’t let others opinions dictate whether you hodl or sell.
That’s for you to decide.
This is your shot to make it. Don’t fuck it up again.
At this exact point in other cycles on the monthly diamond parabolic SAR, it was only about 1 week before #Bitcoin would flip the indicator, and form the cycle mid-top.
Our current price for this = $37,398
In 2012, the cycle mid-top occurred directly at the diamond meetup, in the other cycles, price has come above.
The cycle mid-top is typically at the .786 Fibonacci retrace (not shown) this cycle is about $48,000.
But, maybe we stop a bit short of this with the parabolic SAR boundary.
Price is extremely close, this says it's time to pay attention for the very near future.
The Ichimoku Cloud is one of the only #Bitcoin indicators that let us look into the future with leading Spans.
2 months ago, I showed a cross in late October calling for rise, and it couldn't have been more spot-on.
A target now looms, $43,268 which is the top of the previous red cloud that has been hit or nearly hit every cycle. (purple dashed lines)
In BitTime black cycles (1 and 3) this came before the cross, and in the White cycle (2) it came after.
Our current cycle is a white cycle which could imply the purple dashed line is next.
It definitely seems like higher prices are looming.
From this cross, the cloud also tells us about how long we have left until our next rise is over. This has been anywhere from 7 - 13 weeks.
A middle ground of 10 weeks says that our next rise could be complete by early January.
Well done Ichimoku!
I've been doing a lot of #Bitcoin cycle top experiments lately, and I keep seeing right around the same price... 130k.
Here again, we see a price of 138k.
These trends start at the bottom from the first early top (yellow dot)
The trend is then drawn across diagonal support that carries the most data points.
Doing this has found the the price of the last two cycle tops exactly, and with our trend from last cycle, gives us a price of about 138k.
I am prepared for lower prices, but the stars are aligning at 130k for Bitcoin this cycle!
+/- 21 days from Nov 28th, 2025 according to my halving cycles Theory, most likely December according to my BitTime model.
Don't worry you're not crazy... #Bitcoin has been going sideways for a long time.
In fact, we just set a record for the most time spent in phase 2 at now almost 8 months!
But can you see that this time still isn't different?
There was a cycle that was different, it's called cycle 3. And I think there are way too many comparisons to it given it created an early mid-top, and had a black swan in the middle.
This sandwich 🥪between phases 2 and 3 is served up cold every cycle, creating long sideways periods.
2019 tried to skip it and went back to the gulag in a 9-month sideways transition.
What does this mean? Nothing new to see here, phase 5 brewing... ☕️
It’s been 93 days, in other words 3 months, since the #XRP lawsuit pump. Nearly 100 days.
Can we agree your favorite YouTube TA experts did not get it right when they said, “This is it. $10 Soon. Break out coming any day or week now.”
I think we can. I think you’re at a loss if you FOMO bought. Also, nothing wrong with $10 long term. XRP is a coin everyone should have. Great potential. But do you know the basics? When to accumulate? How? How to set a price target? How to take profits? How to take profits if your price target is wrong and it’s never hit?
If you haven’t made millions in crypto, maybe consider listening to people who have. What if you make that kind of money instead of watching YouTube videos and liking tweets?
‼️SURVIVING A BEAR MARKET GUIDE‼️
Below I have structured a few points as to what I personally do in a Bear market to stay on top of my game. I hope you find some points helpful that I have shared for you all 👇
1. Emotional Resilience
In a bear market, emotional control is paramount. Declining portfolios can spark fear, however, succumbing to panic-selling often leads to realizing losses that might have been avoided with patience and strategic planning. Understand that markets are cyclical, and downturns are a natural part of the process. We capitalise on the down trends
2. Research and Analysis :
Use the quieter bear market period to conduct intensive research on assets that piqued your interest during busier, bullish times. Analyzing projects, assessing technologies, and delving into whitepapers now will prep you for more informed decision-making when the market turns.
3. Identifying Value :
Bear markets often present buying opportunities for discerning traders. With prices depressed, it’s an opportune time to accumulate quality assets at a discount, provided they have solid fundamentals and promising use cases. This isn’t “catching a falling knife”; it’s strategic acquisition.
4. Set and Respect Stop-Losses and Risk Management :
Implementing and adhering to stop-losses prevent steep losses in a downturn. A stringent, non-emotional adherence to predetermined stop-loss levels prevents cascading declines and preserves capital for future opportunities
5. Diversification :
While having a well-diversified portfolio is crucial in bull markets, it’s equally vital during bear phases. A mix of different asset classes, such as staking stablecoins or venturing into traditional markets, can provide a buffer and mitigate risks. There are many areas to focus on such as #Defi #DEX #Yield #AI #RWA and more
6. Passive Income Strategies :
Explore avenues that yield passive income. Engaging in staking, yield farming, or lending through decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms can generate returns, even in a sluggish market
7. Rebalancing :
Periodic portfolio rebalancing ensures that your asset allocation remains in line with your investment goals and risk tolerance. Use price declines as an opportunity to reassess and realign your holdings
8. Community Engagement :
In times of downturns, engaging with the crypto community can provide emotional support, insights, and potentially lucrative tips. Networking within these communities can also present opportunities that might be overlooked during bullish chaos
9. Always Keep an Eye on the Long-Term Picture :
Bear markets are temporary. History indicates that after every bear phase, markets have recovered and, more often than not, soared to new heights. A long-term perspective might provide the patience required to navigate through the tough times.
REMEMBER 👇
Bear markets are challenging, but they forge experience and wisdom. Utilizing this period to refine strategies, research, and reinforce emotional resilience not only ensures survival but poises you for robust success in subsequent bullish waves
$INJ / $USD - Update
This would be a perfect entry and range play, if this came to light in the next few months. Many say it cannot happen, i say it certainly can 👊