Anticipating the future to improve policy today: #Foresight is a valuable method, but with its hype comes a fatigue for scenarios. This is why we @dgapev focus on learning lessons – also from others – to make it a more useful tool.
This 🧵 highlights some of the work we did 👇
@ToriserVictoria & @weberv_ had their participants go beyond past experience which is a notoriously bad predictor of the future. They created what Hermann Kahn once dubbed “ersatz experience”.
https://t.co/1ncB8urfmp
Arrived in our office today!👉The Print version of our new #ISFB Report 2021 is here! Take a look on our website: https://t.co/HcvgKJkYV1 and discuss with us!
@MaxSchranner@HSSde@Cassis So happy to finally meet you in person too @MaxSchranner and discuss foresight issues - with real face to face coffee 😊👌 See you soon!
We're proud to announce that our ISFB 2020 Report is now available! Check out commentaries and discussion results on our ISFB 2020 https://t.co/bbm5ulecsW
Special thanks to our partners:@KASonline@AICGS @AmerikaHausNRW @DAGATAGermany @dgapev@FNFreiheit@HSSde@IF_Bonn@landnrw
The conference report covering the main findings of the workshop on #hybrid threats in the #financial#sector organized by @HybridCoE and @Bruegel_org is out now. I a most grateful for the authors' reference to the #FlowControl concept
See https://t.co/PKzIr7pKou
If you are analyzing with the #future of #warfare you might be interested in this six-volume study by @RANDCorporation
1 The #future of #warfare in 2030. Source: https://t.co/cfnmtySX9v
"Die #Pandemie war permanent ein Thema, (doch) als die Krise (kam), fehlte es trotzdem an Elementarem." Guter Beitrag von @lukasmaeder zur Diskrepanz zwischen frühem Erkennen und frühem Handeln im Rahmen der #Sicherheitsvorsorge.
https://t.co/jTgg7UKpzp
Vieles was Hr Röttgen sagt, gilt für🇦🇹,u.a:"..Damals haben wir gesagt: Wir sind nur noch von Freunden umzingelt. Wir haben auch abgerüstet und uns eine Friedensdividende ausbezahlt. Aber in den letzten fünf Jahren hat sich die Welt um uns herum radikal verändert.." @DiePressecom
++Hear, Hear++ The #US#DoD is concerned about the #Commerce#Departments proposed regulation on #Huawei as this could negatively affect the #revenues of #US companies, "thus depriving them of R&D #money needed to maintain a #tech edge," @WSJ reports
https://t.co/Zh3DeDvKrE