@teortaxesTex Problem with discounting ASI is it assumes that in your future, fully automate states/elites won’t be incentivized to start focusing on self improving systems to get an advantage over their competitors.
@vtchakarova Mearsheimer’s whole deal is “offensive realism”— dominating your region of the globe. Yet, in his most recent appearance he was critical of US actions in Venezuela bc it “violated international law” and “they’re no threat to us”
I don’t get it. Isn’t he supposed to be a realist”
Okay once more, AI needs actual engg, not doomerism. People assume it's an alien thatll grow too intelligent and agentic too fast and in secret and affect all of humanity.
That is an assumption! Relax even one part of it, and the doomerism collapses.
https://t.co/M80zMBm9v2
@Noahpinion@toko_testudo The idea that the mongols were conducive to starting the early modern period is refuted by the fact that every mongol territory was slow to modernize.
The early modern period came from capitalism, the enlightenment, and advances in navigation.