“We spotted nine Polymarket accounts, all connected, who made, collectively,$2.4 million betting almost exclusively on U.S. military operations,” says Nicolas Vaiman, co-founder of the small data analytics firm Bubblemaps.
“And now here's the crazy part: 98% win rate.” https://t.co/T79aYM48ZI
It's our wildest finding on Polymarket so far
Potentially another big military insider
And yet, we do not blame Polymarket
In fact we APPLAUD them
The only reason investigations like this are possible is because @Polymarket chose radical transparency
Everything is onchain:
> every trade
> every profit
> every timestamp
> every connection
> where profits move
> where funds come from
That level of transparency is UNPRECEDENTED in finance
Most other prediction markets are opaque. The only thing you see is what they choose to show you. This keeps them out of the spotlight
Insider trading happens all the time, especially in traditional finance. We're just blind to it
What makes Polymarket different is that anyone can investigate it independently. It's not a bug, it's a feature (as they say)
The conversation should shift from:
“why are there insiders on Polymarket?”
to:
“how do we mitigate insider activity in transparent markets?”
تقدّم Nicolas Vaiman، CEO @bubblemaps، وAlex Svanevik، CEO @nansen_ai، على المسرح لمناقشة رؤية مستقبلية حول كيف تعيد التحليلات المدعومة بالذكاء الاصطناعي، المعلومات اللحظية على السلسلة، ومؤشرات بيانات Alpha تعريف استراتيجيات التداول وميزة السوق، بإدارة @benjamincowen!
@solana@BNBCHAIN 8/ The Intel Desk is live
The first platform built for the ones doing the work – and the ones who want to follow it
Let’s stop rewarding scammers
Let’s start rewarding investigators
https://t.co/RrZEJqsNNC
7/ The Intel Desk runs on $BMT – built on @solana and @BNBChain⚡
$BMT fuels everything:
• Open and vote on cases
• Fund bounties
• Unlock pro features
With Solana and BNB Chain speed/low fees, investigations move at the pace this space demands.
6/ Anyone can contribute. Anyone can investigate.
• Allocate $BMT to the cases you care about
• Climb the leaderboard by sharing evidence on X
• Track the biggest threats across chains in real time
5/ We're building the Wikipedia of investigations
Where independent sleuths get recognized for their work:
> Their findings are highlighted
> Their reputation builds over time
> Their impact is measured, not ignored
4/ The Intel Desk is changing the paradigm
A public platform where investigations are permanent, ranked by impact, and driven by the community.
So the same trick doesn’t win every time
https://t.co/SQViBxUpP5
2/ For years, the same playbook has been running on repeat:
• KOLs promote rugs
• Insiders infiltrate launches
• Celebrities farm their audience
Same cycle, over and over. Still no consequences.