Elliot Wave Theory historically, all bear market cycles have formed an ABC with the C wave heavily capitulating with slight relief rallies.
The bear market is far from over.
Disagree with me all you want.
We're heading to well under $50K ranges.
I was 19kg overweight, had a huge belly & double chin, and I wanted to reach 13% body fat in 2026. I achieved it with these 25 rules:
RULE 1. STOP RUNNING.
A father told his daughter, "Congrats on your graduation. I bought you a car a while back. I want you to have it now."
Before I give it to you, take it to a car dealer in the city and sell it. See how much they offer.”
The girl came back to her father & said: "They offered me $10,000 dollars because it looks very old"
Father said: "Ok, now take it to the pawn shop".
The girl returns to her father & said: "The pawn shop offered $1,000 dollars because it's a very old car & a lot of work done".
The father told her to join a passionate car club with experts & show them the car.
The girl drove to the passionate car club.
She returned to her father after a few hours & told him, “Some people in the club offered me $100k because its a rare car that's in good condition.”
Then the father said, "I wanted to let you know that you are not worth anything if you are not in the right place. If you are not appreciated, do not be angry, that means you are in the wrong place. Don't stay in a place where no one sees your value ."
The moral of the story : Know your worth and know where you are valued. A diamond doesn't shine on the bottom of a cave.
Most traders lose money because they break these 5 simple rules. Mark Minervini turned $250,000 into $2.7 million in 15 months by following them religiously.
This one-pager breaks down the exact framework that separates winning traders from everyone else - just the core principles that actually work.
Most people are trying to call a major top on commodities right now.
But if you understand the business cycle, that’s often looking in the wrong place.
As you can see from the cycle map in the image, we’re in Stage 4:
bonds are going down, equities are going up, and now commodities are going up.
So what comes next?
If the rotation continues into Stage 5, the playbook is usually:
Bonds stay weak
Equities roll over
Commodities keep pushing higher
That’s the part that traps people.
They see strength in commodities — gold, silver, platinum— and assume it must be a major top. But historically, commodities are often a late-cycle leader. They don’t typically top first.
Equities usually top first.
That’s why the bigger question right now isn’t “is gold topping?”
It’s “are equities topping?”
Because equities are the discounting mechanism. They roll over before the economy “officially” slows, and before the headlines catch up. Late-cycle commodity strength is often a warning that the cycle is maturing and that equity risk is rising.
And this is where the sports analogy matters:
There are times to play offense, and there are times to play defense.
If 2026 is the window for a major macro top, then 2026 shapes as the strongest defense you’ll play in your life because if you don’t know how to pivot when conditions change, you don’t just miss opportunity…
You give back everything you worked hard for during the offense phase.
Markets love making you look left from why they go right.
And right now, too many people are looking left at commodities…
when they should be watching equities.
As a man,
You're nobody without money
You're nobody without status
You're nobody without a business
You're nobody without a loving family
You're nobody when no one respects you
You're nobody until you fix yourself.
Take responsibility.
Take risks.
Win.
That's the only way.
@Ashcryptoreal Also, for the Alt season to start, BTC dominance should fall near 50%, which is possible based on the attached chart, but it could be, not so soon. We will see.
@Ashcryptoreal The chart works for the 1st quarter of 2026 as well. We could see BTC fall further and then a short-term rebound during the 4th quarter of 2025 before before the altseason begins.