The Tennis Trader

Professional tennis trader & former Head of Tennis at PlayNow Sportsbook | Real insights from a sportsbook manager.

[The Tennis Trader @TradingTennis]

@Gagoo__ That's why you bet matches live.

If Ofner's heel doesn't bother him, he wins easily. If he can't walk, you bet against him.

These tipsters rather guess than win money.

[The Tennis Trader @TradingTennis]

@Gagoo__ Sakamoto was already injured in the Vukic match, had nothing left against Tiafoe and then flew to China.

People need to remember these are human beings too.

[The Tennis Trader @TradingTennis]

@JiggaJohnson3 @nishikoripicks Gorzny is the best college tennis player, it's equal to Challenger level at least.

Borges also won the ITA Player of the year and is ranked 30. Rankings don't mean anything.

[The Tennis Trader @TradingTennis]

@Jcdt_PR @nishikoripicks They believed him, gave him like 10 mins of medical attention and gave him an MTO for 5 minutes.

After that, he has to decide if he wants to continue or not and he tried.

[The Tennis Trader @TradingTennis]

@misterpatohere No need for line locking, it's a free market.

Also, things like this is what punishes people running bots based on sportsbook algos.

Even with Ymer unconscious on court, bots were still putting in orders for him.

[The Tennis Trader @TradingTennis]

@Jcdt_PR @nishikoripicks He actually looked decent there for a moment. Was hard to see when he went to serve at 5-5 and his body just cramped up.

[The Tennis Trader @TradingTennis]

Big difference between betting against somebody that took an MTO for a sore back but gets treatment and gets better (like Virtanen last week in qualies) and somebody blacking out for 5 mins.

I do agree though that most bettors overreact to smaller injuries and jump on opponents just because of an MTO

[The Tennis Trader @TradingTennis]

@iStayWinning711 Nothing fake about those cramps

[The Tennis Trader @TradingTennis]

Scary scenes at ATP Challenger Zhangjiagang as Elias Ymer blacked out on the court.

Polymarket instantly went wild with people buying up Hsu positions all the way to 98 cents with over 23k traded while Ymer was down for ~5 minutes.

He's now up & playing after medical attention

[The Tennis Trader @TradingTennis]

Ymer was actually able to play two more games before retiring when he was cramping so bad that he couldn't stand anymore.

After play resumed, Polymarket trading actually went as low at 75 cents on Hsu.

[The Tennis Trader @TradingTennis]

@ActionNetworkHQ @ActionNetTennis I would say that anybody that knows about Landaluce trying to finish matches wouldn't be surprised.

[The Tennis Trader @TradingTennis]

@KidPoker04 I love the US Open because all the people who have never bet on tennis in their lives come out to drop the fixing accusations

[The Tennis Trader @TradingTennis]

@MoneyyMeLo You sound mad. Keep blaming the players for you not knowing about the sport.

[The Tennis Trader @TradingTennis]

@MoneyyMeLo I've been a tennis bettor since 2010 and a sportsbook manager, my friend.

Don't go whining all over X because you haven't done your homework on a player who lost a bet for you.

[The Tennis Trader @TradingTennis]

@MoneyyMeLo You should learn about tennis if you're going to bet it

[The Tennis Trader @TradingTennis]

@scoopmalinowski Navone did not play that well, it was his normal level. He was down 2-1 and a break to a 39 year old that was vomiting on court.

He was just able to stick around until Nole's body completely failed him.

[The Tennis Trader @TradingTennis]

@pavyg It's father time because he didn't have this illness a few years ago.

It's not physical in terms of being stiff or tired, it's physical in terms of his body not being able to handle playing in the heat anymore.

[The Tennis Trader @TradingTennis]

@RufiEnLancha 50%

If he's healthy, he should be the overwhelming favourite. If his wrist gives him issues, then Zverev maybe be able to beat him over 5 sets.

[The Tennis Trader @TradingTennis]

@SoyChristian @1 @2 @3 @8 Virtanen can beat a guy like Pinnington Jones just with his serve and FH.

Dimitrov is another story.