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Bitcoin AO 📍 signaled every top + bottom since 2011
$BTC
Last bull cycle, 80% of peak metrics were never hit. I believe we could see something similar with the bottom metrics aswell.
The Long term holder supply sitting in a loss has already surpassed the FTX levels and is close to the 2018 levels.
Realized price sits around 50K, we’ve tested the LTH realized price every cycle, so a revisit is in the realm of possibilities. But, I wouldn’t marry that, many top cycle metrics never triggered last cycle, and the same could happen with bottom metrics in the future.
Either way, the market is already sitting at loss levels comparable to FTX/2018.
That should tell you alot.
#Bitcoin
$BTC managed to hold above 200 weeks moving average, despite the escalation in ME.
this is good, not a bottom call but to keep in mind that WMA200 is always GOOD area to buy for long term.
wall street sharks know this very well.
#BTCUSDT
$BTC
Consolidation after a leg up is a form of pullback.
It’s an opportunity for altcoins to run.
I don’t think you get bearish unless we close a daily below 75k.
Focusing only on $BTC here = EV-
Focusing on altcoins = EV+
$MSTR fractal from 25th November 2025 seems to be playing out, discussed on the Elite Live Strategy call
We run these Live Strategy calls every Tuesday in Elite for both crypto & stocks
Learn more about Elite here:
https://t.co/2Pc78hobkt
#MSTR#BTC#Crypto
Oops.
I was told the silver bubble burst two months ago and that it was never coming back.
That view failed to understand a simple reality:
Commodities never peak when structural demand is rising while both current and future supply remain heavily constrained.
Classic misunderstanding of a long neglected sector of the market.
Game on.
https://t.co/nAGNGVOt7p
Demand for global equities is skyrocketing:
Global equity funds have attracted +$210 billion in inflows over the last 6 months, the best 6-month stretch in history.
This represents ~10% of the total assets under management of these funds.
Inflows have QUADRUPLED over the last year and surpassed the meme stock frenzy peak of 2021 by +100%.
Emerging Markets ETFs alone have attracted +$35 billion in inflows year-to-date, on track for its strongest annual intake on record.
Meanwhile, the South Korean ETF, $EWY, has been one of the most actively traded ETFs, accounting for 10-14% of total volume across all 688 global equity ETFs over the last 3 months.
This percentage has more than TRIPLED since the beginning of the year.
Investor appetite for global equities has never been stronger.
S&P 500 IS SETTING UP FOR A SIGNIFICANT DROP
Let me show you exactly what I see:
Price rejected at $7110 resistance - that was point 1
Now it's grinding lower inside the wedge - and every bounce is getting sold into
Main cause: Smart money
They're distributing into every relief rally while retail convinces itself the worst is over
Here's my roadmap:
Point 2 - flush to $5860 support
Point 3 - dead cat bounce toward $6630
Point 4 - final breakdown below support
RSI is already rolling over and confirming every step
$6630 is the level I'm watching most closely
Once it breaks - the move to $5860 will be fast and uncomfortable for anyone still holding
Get ready!
FOLLOW + NOTIFS ON!
I’m still in the same $BTC short position.
No celebrating yet, price is still slightly above my entry.
I’ll be looking to reduce some risk on the portion I added to improve my average from 74.6K to 76K while price was trading at 78.4K. This isn’t because I’ve lost confidence, but simply to manage risk properly in case we see another sweep into FOMC.
This is a method I use on most swing positions: look for signs of exhaustion, add to the trade, then close the added size at breakeven. In effect, I maintain the same core short exposure, but with an improved average entry.
Until we accept below 75K, there’s nothing particularly bearish from a surface level PA perspective, as we’re still trading above the range. If we move back into the range, then a move below 70K becomes more likely.
Nothing has changed regarding my overall thesis or plan, just a small update on how I’m managing the position.
the real traders on social media are the ones that tell you their trades
if they get one wrong, they move on to the next one
clip from wednesday's stream with @wmd4x
Aggressive Whale Accumulation at the $0.83 Price Floor
“This aggressive accumulation by @Nexo whales at the bottom provides a strong bullish baseline for the asset’s mid-term price action, showing that large entities are highly confident in this valuation.” – By @CryptoOnchain
what if bitcoin shrugs off the negative geopolitical news in the same way as the s&p500? maybe this is the bottom
clip from last night's stream with @bitcoinjack