Ty Hutson

#WhoDey
#BBN
VISION MMA / Car Enthusiast / Mediocre Golfer
Cincinnati ➡️ Tampa

[Tristan Pharis @TristanUda]

Will Stein's halftime speech in Kentucky's win over LSU.

"They don't want to play with you. They don't like getting hit in the f**king mouth. I like it f**king gritty and f**king dirty."

🎥: UK Athletics

[Ty Hutson @TyHutson4]

This is a perfectly placed back shoulder fade where only Jamarr could get it. It’s purposely thrown short to the back shoulder because the only way for the DB to defend it, given his body position, is to go thru Jamarr - which would result in a DPI. If Jamarr had burned past him at the line, it would’ve been thrown over his outside shoulder for the same reason - the only way to defend it given the DBs position would be to commit a DPI.

[Ty Hutson @TyHutson4]

From a PASSER’S perspective, Joe Burrow is at the very top of the sport.

By his own admission, he’s played average compared to his standards this far through the season, and he historically gets better as the season progresses.

I anticipate he’ll continue to separate himself from the rest of the pack even more so post-bye week.

And for those questioning why Mahomes’ rating is higher than Burrow’s if Burrow is the best passer of the football? The 2nd chart helps explain it.

Patrick Mahomes’ currently leads the league in % of passes thrown behind the LOS.

These are mostly uncontested/high completion % throws & of the 4 statistical categories that go into determining Passer Rating, completion % is the most heavily weighted category - allowing for a significant boost to a QBs Passer Rating.

Joe Burrow is towards the bottom of the pack when it comes to % of passes thrown behind the LOS. When you couple this with the amount of drops he’s suffered and total passes thrown - it makes his completion % even more impressive.

[Ty Hutson @TyHutson4]

@SargeWhoDey The tape says no unfortunately… it hasn’t been pretty for BB in 2026.

[Ty Hutson @TyHutson4]

@GrimBurden When you “forget” to take arguably the best RT in football out of the C tier… I can’t the rest of this list seriously. 🤷🏻‍♂️

[Ty Hutson @TyHutson4]

And for those questioning why Mahomes’ rating is higher than Burrow’s if Burrow is the best passer of the football? This chart helps explain it.

Patrick Mahomes’ currently leads the league in % of passes thrown behind the LOS.

These are mostly uncontested/high completion % throws & of the 4 statistical categories that go into determining Passer Rating, completion % is the most heavily weighted category - allowing for a significant boost to a QBs Passer Rating.

Joe Burrow is in the middle of the pack. When you couple this with the amount of drops he’s suffered and total passes thrown - it makes his completion % even more impressive.

[Ty Hutson @TyHutson4]

Joe Burrow Completion %: Ranked 1st (71.4%)

Joe Burrow Passes Dropped: 2nd Most (9)

Joe Burrow on 20+ yd passes: Ranked 1st
-5 TDs / 0 INTs
-137.9 Passer Rating (Best in NFL)

Joe Burrow Avg. Release Time: Ranked 2nd (2.54s)

Do you understand how ridiculous it is to have the HIGHEST Completion %, the 2nd FASTEST Avg. Release Time, with the 2nd MOST DROPPED PASSES, and being the HIGHEST RATED QB when throwing downfield - SIMULTANEOUSLY?!

And the scariest part? It all looks so casual and Joe hasn’t even found his full rhythm yet… This is what playing QB at the most elite level looks like. It’s so good that it doesn’t even look “special” - it just looks automatic.

[Ty Hutson @TyHutson4]

From a PASSER’S perspective, Joe Burrow is at the very top of the sport.

By his own admission, he’s played average compared to his standards this far through the season, and he historically gets better as the season progresses.

I anticipate he’ll continue to separate himself from the rest of the pack even more so post-bye week.

[Ty Hutson @TyHutson4]

I would say that basketball is arguably right in the middle between football & baseball when it comes to the aspect of trying to decipher how good a player truly is on their own vs. in a team environment - with CBB specifically leaning more towards the team environment whereas the NBA would lean slightly to the 1v1 matchups. I believe football is the truest “team” sport which is why it’s so difficult to quantify how good players are.

Now I’ll preface this take by saying I know VERY little about baseball so I could be totally wrong here as well - I stopped playing in middle school because I couldn’t hit 🤷🏻‍♂️😂. I’m much more knowledgeable and better at analyzing basketball, football, and MMA because those are the sports I have experience in competing at high levels in. I don’t with baseball, so it’s hard for me to analyze the data from that sport because I wasn’t very good as a player and that’s where my perspective naturally derives is thru my experience as a player and baseball is less about athleticism and more about skillset & IQ (understanding the strike zone, getting to the pitch you want, etc.) so I don’t think I would have a very educated opinion at all when it comes to analyzing data from baseball. When I look at baseball data - I basically just see a bunch of numbers - I don’t really understand how to interpret them within the game itself. But when I see data from from basketball, football, or MMA - I do know how to interpret that from years and years of experience competing and being around guys that would go on to reach the pinnacle of the sport, so I have a better perspective - if any of that makes sense at all! 🤷🏻‍♂️

[Ty Hutson @TyHutson4]

I like @NFL_Researcher @throwthedamball @FTNFantasy @SumerSports @tejfbanalytics just to name a few. But the issue with PFF is the same issue with your question from a statistical standpoint. There is no blanket grade/ranking that you can assign a player and say “this is how good this player is.” You can have grades/rankings in different categories, but then how do you weight or prioritize those categories is the fundamental question. To expand on your example - Garett Bowles could be grade at run blocking but poor in pass block sets, he may be great against certain type of edge rushers and struggle with others, and so on - and this is why you can’t put just a blanket “PFF” grade on a player. Football is situational and players aren’t robots, they perform differently under different circumstances - statistics allow us to identify those circumstances but they don’t necessarily tell the full story. That’s why guys still have to spend hours watching tape rather than spending hours studying the statistics. Again, PFF is great at collecting raw data - but the way they then analyze and interpret it is often flawed and lacks the situational context needed in a sport like football, being played by human beings, to accurately represent what is also undeniable on film.

[Barstool Sports @barstoolsports]

If you love college football this is 17 minutes and 17 seconds of how great we had it…

[Ty Hutson @TyHutson4]

Yes the data was COLLECTED by PFF and then analyzed, charted, and peer-reviewed by Judah Fortgang, who is an independent sports statistician, before being published. Not all of the hard data by PFF is bad, but the way it is then correlated into a “ranking/grade” is bad. That’s my entire point on why they eliminated these from the broadcasts.

You can still use raw data from PFF, it’s the way that it is interpreted and analyzed is where things go awry.

[Ty Hutson @TyHutson4]

PFF are the “tiktokers” of the stat industry… they’re great at bottling things into a visually appealing & easy to read/understand format, but when it comes down to the actual data - it’s been proven by numerous other stat tracking groups that their data is not accurate. Sometimes stats/data take actual interpretation/analyzation, which often times can be interpreted differently given the circumstances, and can’t just be shown as a concrete “PFF Grade/Ranking”. Essentially, PFF pulls the sheets over everyone’s eyes.

It’s why they stopped showing player PFF grades this year on the broadcasts, it’s been proven as delegitimate and the league no longer wants to have their name tied to them, for good reason.

[Ty Hutson @TyHutson4]

@thecasualbengal @Cincinnati_Son @JoeGoodberry And there’s your issue… PFF. There’s a reason why they don’t show PFF grades on the broadcasts this year… because it’s been proven that their data is horribly inaccurate/skewed.

[Ty Hutson @TyHutson4]

But again, where/how is this data being collected is still my question? All of my data used comes directly from commonly & publicly quoted sources that is readily available to anyone. Professionally collected and peer-analyzed before being published. No offense, but this data looks like it was collected by just one guy on an excel spreadsheet - which is useless because again, much of these categories are subjective.

Stats/data are useless unless you know who it comes from and how it was collected. I’ll say it again, statistics can be a very tricky thing… it’s why people spend years in school for it lol.

[Ty Hutson @TyHutson4]

The problem with this is you’re using data composed from a group of 6 (Rams) & 3 of these data points are outliers because of their diminished sample size vs. data composed from a group of 3 (Bengals) with a higher frequency rate. This alone makes this data skewed & inaccurate. If you want a better picture of a WR to WR comparison, you select the top 3 from each and eliminate the outliers then analyze the data from a frequency standpoint rather than a total sum. Statistics can be a tricky thing… I’d like to know who/how this data was composed as well, as much of these categories are subjective.

Even still, with incomplete data, Sean McVay shows his effectiveness as a play caller by getting guys wide open who aren’t seen as top tier talents at the position at a high frequency rate compared to their snap count. This massively eliminates pressure on the QB to be absolutely perfect within the system, it allows for much more room for error.

[Ty Hutson @TyHutson4]

The chart is less about the WRs ability to get open and more about the offensive scheme they’re in that allow them to be schemed open.

Andy Reid offenses have always been ELITE at scheming their playmakers open. Zac Taylor’s offense is based around the philosophy of giving Joe multiple different options and having faith he’ll make the right read and be pin-point accurate in his delivery. Andy Reid’s offense is more philosophically aligned with scheming designated targets open - therefore allowing a higher separation rate.

[Ty Hutson @TyHutson4]

This is likely due to the offensive schemes they’re in more so than the WR’s ability to get open, along with how separation rate is measured.

The Eagles currently throw a lot of screen passes in their offensive scheme - somewhat skewing the data for Jalen Hurts release time/WR separation rate.

Hope this helps!

[Ty Hutson @TyHutson4]

Surprisingly, very little correlation is shown between average release time & WR separation rate.

The other 2 QBs who have gotten rid of the ball as quick as Joe, or quicker, is Jalen Hurts & Jayden Daniels. Jalen Hurts’ WR separation rate is in the top 80th percentile while Jayden Daniels’ WR separation rate is around league average.

So out of the 3 guys who currently get rid of the ball the fastest - we have 1 with separation rate near the bottom, one in the middle, and one towards the top. So it makes it tough to say there’s any correlation there.

[Ty Hutson @TyHutson4]

@Honcho_WhoDey Yep, but unfortunately he’s WAYYY too much of an Alpha Dog mentality for the Browns/Blackburns & we all know that…