Davie - It's never too late

Engineer, Father, Husband

[Le Shrub🌳 @agnostoxxx]

- “They” ramp the Market into Friday’s option expiry
- “They” cash out their calls
- “They” switch to puts
- Reality kicks in over the weekend
- “They” cash out their puts at Globex open
- Monkeys get destroyed

Rinse and repeat.

Hope it helps

🌳

[The Rabbit Hole @TheRabbitHole]

Capitalism creates so there’s more for everyone.

Socialism is the weaponization of greed and envy making everyone worse off.

[Davie - It's never too late @UltraDavie]

@Adaamset Seems like a rug pull coming

[Davie - It's never too late @UltraDavie]

@kiddowstuff @hajiyev_rashad Million dollar question is if and when do we short silver?

[KAZ @ralphkaz]

Borrowed this chart from my friend @SaharasCharts Too good not to share for longer term metal bulls. Checkout his substack!

[TrendSpider @TrendSpider]

Weekly Bollinger Band width is back at the five-year floor.

Every time volatility compresses like this, expansion follows.

$SPY ticking time bomb. 💣

[Cheds Trading @BigCheds]

$SLV Silver ETF $XAGUSD

[Davie - It's never too late @UltraDavie]

@Adaamset Any hope for SI/GC?

[Davie - It's never too late @UltraDavie]

@Adaamset Wee...

[Davie - It's never too late @UltraDavie]

@Adaamset

[Davie - It's never too late @UltraDavie]

@Adaamset LOL, I was scared that it was red

[French OG | Your Dating and Relationship Guide @FrenchOG3]

One of my introverted friends thought I was a fake extrovert because I like deep introspection, and to him, it felt like I put on a show when I was out.

And I asked him:

"Do you think I think much, if at all, when I am talking to people?"

"No"

"Exactly. That is how I know I am not an introvert, because to me interacting with people has no costs, and when there is one, such as watching what I say or analysing what is being said, I dodge that shit, cuz I don't like it."

I don't feel drained when I go out and speak to people; however, I know how extenuated it feels to my more introverted friends.

To know for sure which side you lean toward, ask yourself whether you feel more or less energetic after your average interaction. It either feeds you or drains you.

Dealing with a lot of introverts, and becoming more like them over the years, this is what I have learnt from them and how to use their strengths.

[Gregorian Charts @GregorianCharts]

The Definitive SPX Market Crash Indicator: Here's a new indicator that is a meta-ratio of SPX ÷ (30y Yield / 2y Yield), pricing equities directly against the curve of bond market. It melds the equity price structure into the bonds market term structure.
It's well known that the debt markets are the largest and most institutionally dominated on Earth, dwarfing that of equities, and given those structures, is the only adult in the room. The bond market doesn't trade on narratives, it simply prices risk. As such, when equities are added into a ratio with the term premium, it generates the purest measure of how expensive equities are relative to the shape of the yield curve at any given point in time.
So, when this ratio rolls over it means the term structure is in its final leg of re-steepening and the bond market is thereby withdrawing permission for equities to remain elevated...And that's where we were in 2000, 2008, and 2019 before those crashes, and now again, here we are...the ratio rolled over at the end of '25 while SPX has continued to rise, opening the crash window and sending the starkest warning signal the market has to offer - that the party is coming to an end.
Looking at the chart, I've highlighted the areas in pink which are the crash windows following each signal, where the ratio rolls (red line) over while $SPX (green line) continues rising. The lag from rollover to correction onset since 2000 has ranged from 1-4 months.
The prior rollover points where the ratio peaked and declined each preceded a major crash: 2000 (-49%), 2007 (-57%), 2018 (-20%), 2020 (-34%). And as mentioned, a new signal formed at the end of 2025 that bad things for equities are imminent.

[Adam Set @Adaamset]

Market is undergoing a severe shift.
Can you taste it creeping in?

I think once this bid lets go, we can sell freely.
It will be in free fall.

You will need orderflow more than ever, here.

[Davie - It's never too late @UltraDavie]

@ShortSeller @yuriymatso has a bunch

https://t.co/ZsKv0MQCpC

[Davie - It's never too late @UltraDavie]

@Adaamset Is this the HOD?

[Davie - It's never too late @UltraDavie]

@AdamMancini4 @IsshoKnows @PermaFader @TomSanchez02 @traverse1401 Interesting the last 3 post OPEX were gap ups

[Davie - It's never too late @UltraDavie]

@Adaamset So the 6850 creature is back from hibernation and seems to slow things down?

[Davie - It's never too late @UltraDavie]

Interesting that $SPX gapped up after OPEX for the last 3 months. Maybe a gap up on Tuesday.