Ville Satopää

Professor @INSEAD. Ph.D. @Wharton. @Thinkers50 Radar. Researching Bayesian statistics and forecasting. Teaching operations management, statistics, and AI.

[Ville Satopää @VSatopaa]

AI transformation isn’t about technology. It’s about identity.
We don’t just deploy models — we redefine how humans think, decide, and create value.
🔗 https://t.co/gAmRXN56jT
#AI #Leadership #Transformation

[Ville Satopää @VSatopaa]

My friend Nathan Benaich is running the open-source State of AI Report survey on AI usage trends. His team does amazing work tracking where AI is headed. Add your voice here: https://t.co/NYhVbEm5jd #AI #StateOfAI

[Ville Satopää @VSatopaa]

Just out! 🎉 Our Variational Galton Machine turns expert point predictions into full probability distributions — even in one-off, data-scarce settings. Closed-form, no tuning, beats benchmarks on real & synthetic data. 📄 https://t.co/DSZWmoK6LF

[Ville Satopää @VSatopaa]

🚀 INSEAD’s AI for Business program is one of the longest-running, most impactful, and highest-rated in the world!
✅ 1,445+ participants (45% senior execs)
✅ 7 years of AI leadership education
✅ 4.85/5 satisfaction score
Ready to lead AI? 📩 [email protected]
#INSEAD

[INSEAD Knowledge @INSEADKnowledge]

Here's something airlines could learn: One size doesn't fit all when it comes to points.

Some travellers need an 8% sweetener to use their miles, others 12%, according to research by @INSEAD professors So Yeon Chun and @VSatopaa.

#loyaltyprogrammes
https://t.co/ovqn1jf36l

[Ville Satopää @VSatopaa]

@thatMikeBishop @ciphergoth @NathanpmYoung @NunoSempere Thanks Mike! You've said it very well. This paper https://t.co/wT2LmOpz9d makes it precise. The results are rather general and apply to probability predictions of binary outcomes, point predictions of a continuous outcome, or any other type of univariate point predictions.

[Thinkers50 @thinkers50]

Learn to improve forecasting accuracy with insights from @Wharton’s Barbara Mellers & @INSEAD’s @VSatopaa: https://t.co/BX3brLvqmb

Hear more from Ville during our #Thinkers50Radar LinkedIn Live on Wednesday – sign up right here: https://t.co/rWztjPduj8

[INSEAD @INSEAD]

Join Prof. @VSatopaa on 24 April in this LinkedIn Live series by @thinkers50, as he shares more about his #research on judgemental and statistical forecasting, modeling crowdsourced predictions, and more!

https://t.co/MPR31tDFJ9

#faculty #inseadmoments

[Thinkers50 @thinkers50]

Excited to be sharing with you the #Thinkers50Radar Class of 2024. Meet an applied Bayesian statistician, @VSatopaa of @insead: https://t.co/B7QkSSH2fo

[INSEAD @INSEAD]

We are excited to announce that Prof. @VSatopaa has been selected by @thinkers50 as one of the top 30 thinkers-to-watch for in 2024!

Learn more: https://t.co/qOiDlqNst1

#inseadmoments #faculty #research #academicexcellence

[INSEAD Knowledge @INSEADKnowledge]

In #forecasting, is averaging predictions good enough?
Instead of simply averaging, combining many predictions into a “super” consensus can provide a true reflection of all the information from the crowd.

@VSatopaa
https://t.co/I36Z850Bnh

[Ville Satopää @VSatopaa]

@balintte @AnthropicAI Seems interesting. Thanks for the tip, @balintte

[Ville Satopää @VSatopaa]

Happy to share that, this Fall, we will start our recruiting journey to hire for a tenure-track position in our Technology and Operations Management area INSEAD starting in Sept 2024. Applications will be managed via Interfolio.

[Francisco Veloso @f_veloso]

I have officially started my mandate as Dean of @INSEAD! I am excited to build on INSEAD’s remarkable success and look forward to working with the entire global community to take the school to new heights. Watch this video to learn more about my 1st day: https://t.co/UqwGm3k4SU

[Yael Grushka-Cockayne @grushkay]

Upcoming Decision Analysis Society of INFORMS Webinar:

Prof. Enrico Diecidue
June 16 2023
BETWEEN-PROSPECTS COMPARISONS: REGRET THEORY AND PROBABILITY DOMINANCE
12:00 PM EST

Duration: 1 hour
Register: 

Enrico Diecidue is a Pr…https://t.co/JaDeWbthJN https://t.co/yYhlqFAC6l

[Ville Satopää @VSatopaa]

Greatest news today: I was promoted to Associate Professor with Tenure @INSEAD. It really took a village to make this happen. Thanks to letter writers, colleagues, co-authors, family, and friends for all the support and guidance you have given me over the years.

[Historic Vids @historyinmemes]

Moomin, the beloved 1990s show, captured the hearts of audiences with its enchanting tales and whimsical characters. Based on the Swedish-Finnish comic strip by Tove Jansson, the animated series transported viewers to the magical world of Moominvalley. The show followed the adventures of the Moomin family, led by Moominmamma and Moominpappa, alongside their curious and kind-hearted son, Moomintroll. Together with their friends, such as Snufkin, Snork Maiden, and Little My, they embarked on imaginative journeys, encountering fantastical creatures and overcoming various challenges. Moomin exuded a timeless charm, blending gentle life lessons with a sense of wonder, making it a treasured show that continues to captivate audiences to this day.

[Ville Satopää @VSatopaa]

This means that we can now check the predictions and study experts' abilities to make long-range predictions. For our insights, see the published paper at https://t.co/o6qnT6LSdQ or the SSRN version at https://t.co/tvj5gbLwyd (2/2)

[Ville Satopää @VSatopaa]

In this new Futures & Foresight Science paper, we consider experts who, in the late 90s, made predictions about events 25 years in the future. Finally, the 25-year wait is over, and we have observed the true outcomes of those events. (1/2)

[Ville Satopää @VSatopaa]

I will be talking tomorrow Wednesday 10 May at 4:00pm CET about the roles of Bias, Information, and Noise in judgmental forecasting. To join in, register here for the talk: https://t.co/Juz6IrhI1w