Joe Duarte

Arizona native, son of immigrants.
PhD Social Psychology – dissertation on envy & antisemitism.
Data science, media reliability, bias in academic research.

[Joe Duarte @ValidScience]

Political Diversity Will Improve Psychological Science
https://t.co/DiywrQ8YwY

[Joe Duarte @ValidScience]

I've never seen him present scientific evidence for his claims about the COVID shots, just hypothesized mechanisms of harm. Very few people appear to have been harmed, though there did seem some bias against reporting or acknowledging side effects.

Weinstein doesn't approach scientific questions with rigor. He doesn't answer simple questions like what percentage of people were harmed, and to what extent, and weigh that against the benefits. It's always cryptic conspiracy stuff. How hard is it to read the literature and present a case? (Well, I don't want to encourage him because he'll waste everyone's time ignoring all the evidence against his thesis and citing low quality studies. He's never rigorous.)

[Joe Duarte @ValidScience]

For some reason I read that as Roy Orbison the first time. Moore is the guy that DiResta created that fake Russian disinfo campaign against?

I'm still floored by the whole idea of trusting the NYT. I guess if there was no other way to get the story out, and it was important to you to get it out. Otherwise, eesh... See how they covered up torching and burying a baby.

https://t.co/rKPpDxOJFa

[Elon Musk @elonmusk]

The car that used to be in my garage is currently in an Earth-Mars elliptical orbit and will be there for at least 10 million years

[Joe Duarte @ValidScience]

@lsanger By the way, why are the user talk pages so awful? I don't understand how anything could be built that poorly from a UX standpoint at any point after 2008 or so. A simple thread/discussion UI would be a huge improvement.

[Joe Duarte @ValidScience]

I read @jmechner's Karateka journal, and I discovered that it ran on 48 KB of RAM on the Apple II.

Not only is this beyond comprehension, but it highlights how wrong it is that PCs with 16 GB of RAM are so slow. It's unacceptable that computing isn't instant at this point.

I mean that everything short of video transcoding should be instant, should happen in 250 ms or less. Apps should open, fully ready for interaction, in that time. Anything you do in an app, as far as clicking, tapping, opening, etc. should be instant.

Whatever the excuses are, they should be engineered away. I'm convinced we could have instant computing with existing hardware and protocols – PCIE 4.0 SSDs, NVMe version whatever, DDR4 or 5, standard CPUs and their caches, etc.

[Joe Duarte @ValidScience]

Jimmy Dore sprays a firehose of nonsense – he's a truly deranged caricature of a conspiracy theorist.

Por ejemplo, he claims Robinson's rifle was found on property owned by Palantir...

I looked it up and it's completely made up and false. It was not found on Palantir property.

There's also a profound stupidity problem here: Why would any conspirator arrange for or allow the rifle to be found on their property?

This is what I call a Self-Vaporizing Conspiracy – it's too stupid to remain a solid.

This is just Jew hatred – the play here is aimed squarely at Jews.

[Jesse Arm @Jesse_Leg]

In the latest episode of his podcast, Tucker Carlson and his guest go all in on a rambling, incoherent conspiracy theory alleging that Israel, Palantir, and Erika Kirk—not Tyler Robinson—were involved in Charlie Kirk's murder.

He also suggests that the attempted assassination of President Trump in Butler, PA was staged.

[Joe Duarte @ValidScience]

"decided to fully trust the Times journalists."

I'm honestly stunned. Why would anyone trust the NYT?

Why does this keep happening? Is there some confusion about who the NYT and other legacy outlets are?

These people claimed Israel magically trained dogs to rape men.

They claimed COVID had a 3% CFR.

They called the COVID lab origin theory "racist".

They manipulate data and graphs all the time.

This headline is still up. Look at how the NYT lies to its readers, compared to the NBC headline.

The woman killed, then burned and buried the corpse of her viable 7+ month fetus/baby. (Yes, she used abortion pills at 7+ months.) The crime for which she was sentenced was illegally burning and disposing of human remains, not having a homebrew abortion.

This is how the NYT reported it. Note that most people will only see the headline.

[Lyndsey Fifield @lyndseyfifield]

I bucked all advice from my friends (and resisted my conservative bias) and decided to fully trust the Times journalists.

As they left my home they asked that I not talk to any other outlets and I insisted then and repeatedly over the following weeks that I would keep my word and only share this story with them.

But then the weeks dragged on. They kept coming back to us saying the editors needed more. I needed to go on the record (okay). We need more screenshots (okay). I met every bench mark they set, eager to provide more sources or evidence as needed.

After the story went up I began to ask them … wait, where are the stories from the other women? Where are their accusations of sexual assault? Why am I the focus? Why are there 11 paragraphs dedicated to detailing my work history (more than has been published about Graham’s by far)?

Why does it say “nobody could corroborate” when I offered them sources that COULD corroborate?

Why did they include an out of context quote from a friend joking “do not call Graham” after I called off my wedding? (Because she knew I would never).

Where were the screenshots they’d said they would use? Or the mention that I’d supported local democrats and that most of my family (and husband) are liberal?

The editors said it was too much, they explained.

The Times also failed to include any mention that I DID confide in multiple friends through the years that Graham had been abusive — long before he was running for office. Those friends confirm they told the Times so.

It dawned on me that this really was a set up all along. The journalists I trusted who convinced me to share a story I never wanted to tell methodically delayed and twisted this into a gift to the Platner campaign. Violating the trust of his victims. Shattering the trust I placed in them with the most vulnerable story of my life.

And at the end of my call with them I reluctantly accepted their insistence that this was still a powerful story and that I had done a brave thing. And I thanked them for all the hard work they had put into it.

Still fawning after all these years.

[Joe Duarte @ValidScience]

@mtracey Scammy? What's going on man? Amy is a widely respected policy analyst on 2A issues.

[Joe Duarte @ValidScience]

@ChrisMartzWX Likely of interest. Also, @ClimateAudit, @PatrickTBrown31, @RyanWeather.

[Joe Duarte @ValidScience]

New article. It features a climate scare that qualifies as the dumbest thing I've ever read in major media. I've used it as an applied intelligence test. You should too.

And we get to solve an exponential equation, in manly fashion. Fun!

"There’s no such thing as “the odds of every month from 1985 to 2012 remaining above the 20C average by simple chance”. The earth is a planet – its surface temperature and energy balance are physical, empirical realities, it doesn’t randomly reset every month, and his span starts at a temperature that is already well above his arbitrary 20C baseline. The earth won’t shed such massive amounts of energy in a month.

"It’s like asking for the odds that the earth remains a planet from 1985 to 2012, as opposed to turning into a dog or something, “by simple chance”. This string of words has no meaning."

[Joe Duarte @ValidScience]

A version was published on Watts Up With That? last year. This update includes a spreadsheet of the NOAA monthly GMST data from 1901 onward, with the month-to-month deviation added.

Link: https://t.co/bweaz26GOc

[Joe Duarte @ValidScience]

@boringbunny What was he? I don't know about his past.

[Joe Duarte @ValidScience]

And she let him get away with imprisoning her, that story of him forcing her into a room, closing the door on her and blocking her from opening it, whereupon she just decided to sleep and left the following morning...

No cops, no report? What is this? Why would a young conservative woman let some leftist dirtbag treat her like trash? @asymmetricinfo? Is this a DC dynamic?

[Joe Duarte @ValidScience]

@AllisonPearson @Telegraph It was the same issue with the Manchester concert bombing in 2017. The security guard clearly made the suicide bomber, but was afraid to escalate because he didn't want to be called racist.

Nothing changed. There was no reflection or course correction.

[Joe Duarte @ValidScience]

Relatedly, one of the oh-so-wise policies these researchers are trying to trick people into supporting is a **tax on meat and dairy**. They're super committed to coercing people into meatless lives.

They use false claims, like the bogus 99% climate science consensus claim, to try to persuade participants to freak out about "the climate crisis" and support their favored policies.

(Examples of journal articles that were counted in the 99% "climate science" consensus include "Business model challenge: Lessons from a local solar company" and "Assessment of Green Practices in Residential Buildings: A Survey-Based Empirical Study of Residents in Kazakhstan". Completely unrelated to climate science or attribution.)

https://t.co/QU2c7ArE8y

[Joe Duarte @ValidScience]

The issue I had with the Terminal List was that it was so extreme, so far beyond anything that ever happens in this universe or could happen, that I couldn't enjoy it.

Admittedly, that's an issue I have with so much modern fiction – it's fake, and it's fake in a way that I don't think fiction is supposed to be or needs to be. For example, all the ridiculous novels about private detectives solving murders and kidnappings – no private detective has solved a murder in the US in the last 50, probably 100 years.

In the Terminal List, a pharma company and the US military secretly drug SEALs, accidentally killing them with tumors, then orchestrate not only their murder, but even murder the main guy's wife and little girl.

Navy brass are in on it. I think the SecDef is implicated. It's ridiculously extreme and beyond the bounds of our world. His own teammate betrays him for money – when has that ever happened in the SEALs or similar units? They're brothers.

So all this extreme fantasy behavior makes the characters feel inhuman for me, and it makes the world feel like Earth 2, not our planet. You get what I'm saying? Why can't fiction be realistic?

[Joe Duarte @ValidScience]

@clairlemon I wouldn't trust any investigation by British authorities. There's something fundamentally broken over there, something Orwellian. See that Home Office report on the Muslim rape gangs. It's like the whole country are mice with toxoplasmosis, turning them into easier prey.

[Joe Duarte @ValidScience]

I think many of these journalists are clinically deranged.

They're certainly pompous to a degree we very rarely see in a typical human life. Most of us have never met anyone in real life as pompous and arrogant as Pelley, Moran, Acosta, and Couric. They're maniacs.

I think their grasp of reality is fundamentally compromised. Being leftists is a big part of this. They have this worldview built on false beliefs and delusions that it's the other side that's swimming in "misinformation".

We could walk through all their beliefs and cleanly debunk most of them, in a controlled laboratory setting. It would be historic.

[Ben Mullin @BenMullin]

Scott Pelley on being fired: “I have been in combat in Afghanistan. I have been in combat in Iraq. I have been in the war zone in Ukraine multiple times, risking my life and the happiness of my family because of my devotion to the broadcast.”
https://t.co/LYNUy96E8l

[Joe Duarte @ValidScience]

@feelsdesperate Reminds me of this:

[Joe Duarte @ValidScience]

@Theo_TJ_Jordan That ad was amazing, with the motorcycle shop and the huge, effeminate fat guy, and then Mr Tailgate with his ridiculous manner.

They literally opened with "I'm a man". And then they took turns saying they weren't afraid of women... Holy sh*t.