the AI bubble will accidentally trigger a human renaissance
here's what will happen between now and 2030:
phase 1 (2026-2027):
> everyone automates everything
> productivity goes through the roof
> we celebrate never having to think again
phase 2 (2028-2029):
> mass digital burnout
> people realize they've outsourced their cognitive abilities
> depression rates spike because nothing feels earned anymore
phase 3 (2030+):
> the pendulum swings hard in the opposite direction
> outdoor experiences become the new luxury
> manual skills and human connection become premium
> we start valuing struggle and effort again
the faster we rush toward full automation, the faster we'll crave what makes us fundamentally human
that's what i'm hoping for anyway
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with sam and greg ousted yesterday
my initial thought yesterday was “shit they have discovered AGI” and the only person who was capable of understanding it was ilya sutskever.
now it’s seems even more an more plausible that is the case. to understand the amount of stress and pressure he must have been under i urge you to watch this short documentary.
this was recorded during the development of chatGPT. but the sincere stream of thought about the greater good AND the bad that will come from AI might put it more clear to why this might have happened.
my thesis, they have had AGI internally for a while, and Ilya, andrej karpathy might have been the first ones to grasp what they have made.
to be clear, geoff hinton regrets his life’s work (the work on AI) due to him worry about all the bad it can be used for.
maybe ilya is under similar pressure. to much for one person to bear.
regardless, we will know more soon.
i feel for all involved parties, and for the community at large. this is not great.
We organize BAYC holder meetup in Tokyo on June25th🥂
🎟️BAYC, MAYC, BAKC, Punks, Koda holders can register for free tickets on Luma.
Let's all have a toast in Tokyo at this JBW timing when web3 people from all over the world gather
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#JBW2023#BAYC