18 months ago I started tracking every bet I placed on Pikkit. Couple months ago I got tired of doing promo math by hand and built a tool to do it properly.
The hockey stick on the right is when I started using it.
Currently in private beta. All bets public. Link in bio.
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We're adding $500 to the pot for every goal the USMNT scores today against Australia.
10 followers will split the final prize pool.
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1๏ธโฃ Follow us @Underdog
2๏ธโฃ Quote this post with ๐บ๐ธ
@EVBettors Crazy how little traction a genuinely excellent video like this gets compared to people spamming their bet slips and nuke plays on this app.
@PlusEV Line shopping before building the slip is the step most people skip. The discount creates the room for EV. Picking legs without checking the market is how you give it back.
@Amonahan These are all solid individual legs but you just get slaughtered by the vig on a platform like Pick6 if you aren't combining this with a discount or profit boost.
@EVBettors Great thread. To add to what you said: if you are using DFS Pick'em platforms with wide vigs (PP, UD, Betr, P6, etc.) and betting without boosts or significant line discounts you will almost certainly lose money in the long term.
@ChillyBets 40% boost makes this +EV. JWill over 17.5 pts is -103 sharp, Wemby over 24.5 is near a coin flip. Without the boost it's slightly negative. With it, around +11% EV.
@PrizePicksTacos 46-14 on tacos makes sense when you look at the discount sizes. AT's over 28.5 was around -296 on alt lines. Brunson 21.5 was even heavier. The free legs are real, the question is always what you pair them with.
@PlusEV 2,971 people voted for this taco. 41% picked McLean because 6 to 4 K's looked like the biggest number. Roupp at 4.5 to 2.5 had a bigger relative discount and got 18% of the vote.