I wish everyone a peaceful and merry Christmas, and a good start into the new year. Hope everyone is doing well! Plot shows $GEX vs. next-day S&P 500 return. Dates of largest $DIX readings marked π΄ (all-time) and π‘ (pre-2022) for more π. Data by @SqueezeMetrics (π)
@TheStockGuyTV I appreciate them reaching out, and you helping a brother out! In this case it's simple maths (which people are afraid of trying themselves)
@VolatilityVIX Classic roulette martingale: double your bet after each loss, reset vet amount after win. Chance to double 10000$ with 10$ bet size is on order of 1%. Much better odds when flipping a 50:50 coin (please dont)
@VolatilityVIX If you plot this in logarithmic y-axis scale, then equally long red/green bars will exactly cancel each other out (i.e. -50% and +100% in a row equals zero movement and the bars will have same length in logscale if that makes sense). π€
@ZeeContrarian1 You will learn a very hard lesson when you short at 30 and vix continues to 60 and far beyond. I hope you make some money know, and realize the threat before blowing up your portfolio.
@matt_levine has a beautiful way of explaining complex topics in easy-to-understand prose.
His take on #Coinbase $COIN is a bitting and a total bullseye π―.
Brian Armstrong is in over his head.
H/t: @investingnick
Took the liberty to back-test the strategy mentioned in @VolatilityVIX's most-recent blog post based on the Cash VIX Oscillator (CVO). Here is the result: π§΅1/3