Joey Dunning

Meteorology student at @OUSoM | Content creator for @TeamVortexWx | Data Quality Analyst and Research Assistant for @CIWRO_ | (25🌪️)

[Joey Dunning @VortexProdWx]

@PettusWX Fix forecast master

[Joey Dunning @VortexProdWx]

@RAE_147 Mid

[Joey Dunning @VortexProdWx]

@ConvChronicles you’re welcome

[Joey Dunning @VortexProdWx]

@andrewjustinWX @Osterhout1993 @hardcastlewx Wondering how many “landspouts” were actually dust devils today lol

[Joey Dunning @VortexProdWx]

Insane chase today!!! Violent tornado in Nebraska!

#wxtwitter #newx

[Joey Dunning @VortexProdWx]

@CameronJNixon Do you think we’re gonna cap bust another 5 times in Oklahoma or are we actually gonna get dryline storms this time?

[Joey Dunning @VortexProdWx]

@scr0sX @cassiefrey_wx @NWSNorman @MaxVelocityWX @ryanhallyall Holy cope

[Joey Dunning @VortexProdWx]

@PettusWX @ReedTimmerUSA That’s cool, but when you gonna fix forecast master?

[Joey Dunning @VortexProdWx]

@scr0sX I kind of doubt that, the couplets were incredibly persistent. They persisted for more than 10 radar scans and could be seen on multiple radars. That’s some pretty intense contamination if so

[Joey Dunning @VortexProdWx]

Am I crazy or is this tornado emergency warned storm been producing twins for a hot minute??? The weaker north twin even began to fujiwara around the stronger southern twin.

#wxtwitter

[Joey Dunning @VortexProdWx]

The radar vs the actual tornado

#wxtwitter

(Not a real photo)

[Joey Dunning @VortexProdWx]

Chased a tornado warned supercell in Texas today! Despite multiple attempts, the storm failed to produce a tornado and I had to watch Oklahoma go nuts again 😭

#wxtwitter

[Joey Dunning @VortexProdWx]

@ReedTimmerUSA Felt 😭

[Joey Dunning @VortexProdWx]

I also want to emphasize that day-of observations will always be a stronger tool than any model run. Models can be heavily biased and a true picture of the environment will give you a much better idea of where to position day-of.

[Joey Dunning @VortexProdWx]

Haven’t posted thoughts on a forecast in a while so I thought I’d share (a thread):

Today presents an incredibly complex forecast with 2 main targets for the southern plains, that being southern Kansas on the triple point and southwestern Oklahoma along the dryline.

#wxtwitter

[Joey Dunning @VortexProdWx]

This setup is still largely conditional and hinges on there being enough daytime heating and upper level divergence to initiate and maintain supercells. While initially it looked very unlikely, there is a significant trend across the board towards convective initiation.