Cymru Election Maps

Mapping Welsh election polls! 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 || Impartial || #Senedd21 #SeneddElection

[Election Maps UK @ElectionMapsUK]

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 All of Wales is up in this years' council elections, on new boundaries. Here's how the country voted in 2017 (by 1st placed candidate).

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Mae Cymru gyfan i fyny yn etholiadau cyngor eleni, ar ffiniau newydd. Dyma sut y pleidleisiodd y wlad yn 2017 (gan yr ymgeisydd 1af).

[Election Maps UK @ElectionMapsUK]

Current polling projected onto the Provisional 2023 Boundaries*

LAB: 296 (+101)
CON: 259 (-119)
SNP: 55 (+7)
LDM: 17 (+9)
PLC: 4 (+2)
GRN: 1 (=)

Changes w/ notional 2019 result.

*subject to several reviews and changes yet hence why they're not used in my regular projections

[Cymru Election Maps @WalesMaps]

Rob Roberts, Alun Cairns, Jamie Wallis, Sarah Atherton, Virginia Crosbie, Simon Baynes, Robin Millar and James Davies are the MPs projected to lose their seats.

[Cymru Election Maps @WalesMaps]

Westminster voting intention:

LAB - 39% (-2)
CON - 26% (-10)
PC - 13% (+3)
REFUK - 7% (+2)
GRN - 6% (+5)
LD - 3% (-3)

Via @YouGov, 13-16 Dec.
Chgs. w/GE2019

[Cymru Election Maps @WalesMaps]

Seats:
LAB - 30 (+8)
CON - 6 (-8)
PC - 4 (+0)

Seat changes:
Delyn - 🌳➡️🌹
Bridgend - 🌳➡️🌹
Clwyd South - 🌳➡️🌹
Vale of Clwyd - 🌳➡️🌹
Ynys Môn - 🌳➡️🌹
Wrexham - 🌳➡️🌹
Aberconwy - 🌳➡️🌹
Vale of Glamorgan - 🌳➡️🌹

[Election Maps UK @ElectionMapsUK]

Here they are in full, the first draft of the 2023 Boundaries for Great Britain:

(2019 Equivalent Seat Projections from New Statesman for England, and Electoral Calculus for Scotland/Wales).

[Cymru Election Maps @WalesMaps]

Who do you trust to make the right decisions on Covid-19?

Mark Drakeford - 54%
Boris Johnson - 28%

via @YouGov, 13-16 September

[Cymru Election Maps @WalesMaps]

Should there be a Welsh-specific public inquiry into the decisions taken during the pandemic?

Yes - 43%
No - 15%

via @YouGov, 13-16 September

[Cymru Election Maps @WalesMaps]

Thinking generally, do you prefer the approach to the pandemic that has been taken in Wales or the approach that has been taken in England?

Wales 60%
England 14%
Neither / don’t know 26%

via @YouGov, 13-16 September

[Cymru Election Maps @WalesMaps]

@leighsus @ElectCalculus @FindoutnowUK Changes w/ GE2019

[Cymru Election Maps @WalesMaps]

MRP Result (Wales):

LAB: 30 (+8)
PC: 5 (+1)
CON: 5 (-9)

Via @ElectCalculus & @FindoutnowUK, 6-8 Sep.
Changes w/ GE2019

[Election Maps UK @ElectionMapsUK]

Initial proposals for the new Welsh constituencies has been leaked a day early by Guido, here's the first look at the new 32 seat Welsh electoral map (down from 40):

[Cymru Election Maps @WalesMaps]

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland:

Don’t care - 38%
Denmark - 38%
England - 21%

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England:

England - 66%
Don’t care - 26%
Denmark - 3%

[Cymru Election Maps @WalesMaps]

⚽️🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Who will the Welsh be supporting in the England v Denmark game tonight?

Don’t care - 50%
England - 34%
Denmark - 13%

Via @YouGov

[Cymru Election Maps @WalesMaps]

🤨🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿❓

[YouGov @YouGov]

56% of Brits will be cheering on England in their match against Germany this afternoon

But 37% of Scots say they’ll be supporting Germany

https://t.co/bAtChCZ8d7

[Cymru Election Maps @WalesMaps]

What a performance Cymru❤️🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿

[Cymru Election Maps @WalesMaps]

@nikita_romanovs @PoliticsForAlI I’ll still do the poll stuff if I do decide to post news

[Cymru Election Maps @WalesMaps]

South Wales police and crime commissioner result:

R1
LAB - 41% (+0.1)
CON - 23.7% (+5.8)
PC - 19% (+1.1)
IND - 8.6% (-8.5)
LD - 4.6% (-1.6)
PROPEL - 3.1% (+3.1)

R2
LAB - 64% (-4.1)
CON - 36% (+4.1)

Labour HOLD

[Cymru Election Maps @WalesMaps]

@BleddwganMiaren Abolish got 1.6% in the constituency vote, I don’t think they stood in any constituencies in 2016. UKIP got 13% of the regional vote in 2016 & 1.6% this time (-11.4)

[Cymru Election Maps @WalesMaps]

Incredibly, despite appearing on the main BBC debate and being considered by many as one of the main parties, Abolish the Welsh Assembly’s regional vote share has gone DOWN from 2016.

2016 - 4.4%
2021 - 3.7%

[Cymru Election Maps @WalesMaps]

Gwent police and crime commissioner result:

R1
LAB - 41.8% (-4.6)
CON - 28.8% (-2)
PC - 16.2% (-6.7)
IND - 7.5% (+7.5)
LD - 4.2% (+4.2)
GWLAD - 1.4% (+1.4)

R2
LAB - 60.5% (-1.1)
CON - 39.5% (+1.1)

Labour HOLD