WarrenLeaks

Public data. Hidden conclusions. Intrinsic value, Leak Score and 12 signals for thousands of US stocks, from their own SEC filings. Re-valued every night.

[WarrenLeaks @WarrenLeaks]

3/ Since this thread (Oct 12 close to Oct 16) all ten are down, 4% to 31%: $CIFR -31, $AAOI -25, $RKLB -23, $IREN -22, $NBIS -21. "Buy the dip" lasted four days. Dossiers, free, built from each company's own SEC filings: https://t.co/6T0yeI7MXr https://t.co/gPQHmTIpSa https://t.co/FjmBGzOn5i https://t.co/X6Td4iPuqe

[WarrenLeaks @WarrenLeaks]

2/ What the filings say instead: $VST needs 16% revenue growth a year for 5 years to be worth $152; it has sustained 7.7%. $ALAB trades at 40x revenue, $ARM 46x, $RKLB 38x, $AVGO 18x. Free cash flow is real at VST, AVGO, ALAB and ARM. $IREN: current assets don't even cover what it owes.

[WarrenLeaks @WarrenLeaks]

The full file on $BDL, with every Piotroski test and the filings behind every number.
An analysis tool, not an advisor.
https://t.co/5u4HboNrQl

[WarrenLeaks @WarrenLeaks]

$BDL: 1,858,647 shares in August 2021. 1,858,647 in August 2026.
At $47.62, the model puts intrinsic value at $90.50, a 47% margin of safety; Piotroski 8 of 9.
What the 47% does not say: a Leak Score of 57, on 12 evaluated signals.

[ETF Investments @ETFInvestmentsX]

Here are 27 factor ETFs grouped by investing style 👇

Value:
$VTV: Invests in large US value stocks like JPMorgan and Micron
$AVLV: Invests in cheaply priced large caps that are also highly profitable
$PVAL: Invests in a concentrated, actively managed group of large value stocks

Growth:
$SPYG: Invests in the growth half of the S&P 500, led by Nvidia, Microsoft, and Apple
$QGRW: Invests in large growth companies that also score high on quality
$FBCG: Invests in established blue chip growth companies, actively managed by Fidelity

Quality:
$GARP: Invests in quality companies growing at a reasonable price
$JQUA: Invests in US companies with strong profits and healthy balance sheets
$QLTY: Invests in high quality US companies picked by GMO’s team

Momentum:
$SPMO: Invests in the S&P 500 stocks with the strongest recent price gains
$FMTM: Invests in a focused, roughly equal weight group of US momentum stocks
$SEIM: Invests in large US companies with strong momentum, actively managed by SEI

Low Volatility:
$LVHI: Invests in international dividend stocks that move less than the market
$QLV: Invests in high quality US companies with smaller price swings
$SMLV: Invests in US small caps that move less than the broader small cap market

Equal Weight:
$RSP: Invests in every S&P 500 stock at the same weight
$GSEW: Invests in large US companies at equal weight for a 0.09% expense ratio
$QQQE: Invests in the Nasdaq-100 with each company at about 1%

Small Cap Value:
$AVUV: Invests in cheap, profitable small US companies
$DFSV: Invests in small US value stocks spread across a long list of names
$XSVM: Invests in small cap value stocks that also show strong momentum

Free Cash Flow:
$VFLO: Invests in large US companies with high free cash flow yields
$COWZ: Invests in the 100 Russell 1000 companies with the highest free cash flow yields
$DSMC: Invests in small and mid-size companies that produce a lot of cash

Shareholder Yield:
$SYLD: Invests in US companies returning the most cash through dividends, buybacks, and debt paydown
$EYLD: Invests in emerging market companies with high shareholder yield
$PKW: Invests in US companies that cut their share count by at least 5% over the past year

[WarrenLeaks @WarrenLeaks]

Your first verdict is free. Start with any company in the sector, with the filings behind every number.
An analysis tool, not an advisor.
https://t.co/l2WlqkHha7

[WarrenLeaks @WarrenLeaks]

Miners, mostly: the top five in Basic Materials by Leak Score, among 191 companies with a published verdict.
$FSM 95 · $KGC 95 · IAG 92 · MAKO 92 · CF 90.
All five sit below the line; the widest margin of safety is 68%.

[WarrenLeaks @WarrenLeaks]

The full file on $YOU, with every signal, the load line and the filings behind each number.
An analysis tool, not an advisor.
https://t.co/RZKuF1knok

[WarrenLeaks @WarrenLeaks]

On October 16, $YOU traded at $43.93; the model puts intrinsic value at $90.63, a 52% margin of safety.
Below the line, with a Leak Score of 100 on 9 evaluated signals. What the 100 leaves out: five insiders sold $40.5 million in 90 days, and none bought.

[WarrenLeaks @WarrenLeaks]

Rankings for every sector, with the filings behind each score. Your first verdict is free.
An analysis tool, not an advisor.
https://t.co/l2WlqkHha7

[WarrenLeaks @WarrenLeaks]

Filed under Communication Services: the top five by Leak Score, among 163 companies with a published verdict.
$NRDS 98 · $BZ 91 · CRTO 91 · EVER 88 · CARG 88.
All five sit below the line, by 28% to 63%, on numbers taken from their 10-Ks and 20-Fs.

[WarrenLeaks @WarrenLeaks]

@grok Our count from the 10-Qs: $CNSY had 158,823 shares outstanding in August 2025 and 7,589,625 in the August 2026 filing. Can you check those two figures against EDGAR?

[WarrenLeaks @WarrenLeaks]

"Dilution" undersells it: $CNSY had 158,823 shares in August 2025 and 7.6 million in its August 2026 10-Q, 48 times as many. A 1% stake then is 0.02% now without selling a share, and the price chart, reset by reverse splits, never shows it.

[WarrenLeaks @WarrenLeaks]

The full file on $CNSY: every share count from the 10-Qs, the reverse splits and the load line.
An analysis tool, not an advisor.
https://t.co/19KxiCSNpW

[WarrenLeaks @WarrenLeaks]

The full file on $YELP: every signal, the load line and the share count history, with the filings behind every number.
An analysis tool, not an advisor.
https://t.co/6vnA8toHtT

[WarrenLeaks @WarrenLeaks]

Missing from the $YELP price chart: Leak Score 100 on 11 evaluated signals, and 14% fewer shares than 12 months ago.
At $20.41, the model puts intrinsic value at $56.94, a 64% margin of safety. That is a long way below the line.

[WarrenLeaks @WarrenLeaks]

The full file on Bumble: the Piotroski tests, the insider record and the filings behind every number.
An analysis tool, not an advisor.
https://t.co/tZd3Hlzmrz

[WarrenLeaks @WarrenLeaks]

Insiders buying the run? $BMBL up 131% in a week. Six insiders sold $94.5 million in 90 days. None bought.
What the run does not say is what the business is worth; for now, the model has no verdict to give.

[WarrenLeaks @WarrenLeaks]

Every sector ranked the same way, rebuilt from the filings. Your first verdict is free.
An analysis tool, not an advisor.
https://t.co/l2WlqkHha7

[WarrenLeaks @WarrenLeaks]

And in Consumer Cyclical, the top five by Leak Score, among 408 companies with a published verdict:
$RAVE 95 · $BKNG 92 · HRB 91 · PLNT 91 · BBWI 89.
All five trade below the model's value, with margins of safety from 40% to 64%.