What Scotland Thinks

This is the official Twitter account for run by @ScotCen. Tweets by John Curtice.

[What Scotland Thinks @WhatScotsThink]

Report of new @norstatukpolls @sundaytimesscot poll is at

https://t.co/55N1ujGYN3

[What Scotland Thinks @WhatScotsThink]

Still little sign of the @andyburnham bounce or of significant @theSNP revival north of the border.

https://t.co/tLRj0wB1my

[Survation. @Survation]

NEW: Scottish Independence Voting Intention

Yes 52% (+7)
No 48% (−7)

Change vs the 2014 referendum result

F/w 18th September - 12th October 2026

[Survation. @Survation]

NEW: Scottish Westminster Voting Intention on behalf of @theSNP

SNP: 34% (+4)
Labour: 20% (-15)
Reform UK: 18% (+11)
Conservative: 12% (-1)
Lib Dem: 8% (-2)
Green: 6% (+2)
Others: 3% (+2)

Changes since the 2024 General Election

F/w 18th September - 12th October 2026

[electionmapsuk @electionmapsuk]

Holyrood Voting Intention:

Constituency:
SNP: 37% (-1)
RFM: 18% (+2)
LAB: 17% (-2)
CON: 11% (-1)
LDM: 10% (-1)
GRN: 5 % (+3)

Regional:
SNP: 31% (+4)
RFM: 18% (+1)
LAB: 17% (+1)
CON: 12% (=)
LDM: 11% (+1)
GRN: 9% (-5)

Via @Survation, 13-24 Aug.
Changes w/ 2026 Election.

[Survation. @Survation]

NEW: Scottish Westminster Voting Intention on behalf of Diffley Partnerships

SNP 34%
LAB 19%
RFM 18%
CON 11%
LD 8%
GRN 5%
RB 4%

F/w 13th-24th August 2026

[The National @ScotNational]

If a snap Westminster General Election was called tomorrow:

🟡 29% of voters in Scotland would back the SNP
🔴 18% of voters would vote for Scottish Labour

See the full poll results 👇 https://t.co/irvg0YGvxY

[NatCen @NatCen]

𝗦𝗶𝗿 𝗥𝗼𝗴𝗲𝗿 𝗝𝗼𝘄𝗲𝗹𝗹 𝗠𝗲𝗺𝗼𝗿𝗶𝗮𝗹 𝗟𝗲𝗰𝘁𝘂𝗿𝗲 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲 - 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗚𝗲𝗻𝗲𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗠𝘆𝘁𝗵: 𝗦𝗲𝗽𝗮𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗳𝗮𝗰𝘁 𝗳𝗿𝗼𝗺 𝗳𝗶𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗶𝗻 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗱𝗲𝗺𝗼𝗴𝗿𝗮𝗽𝗵𝗶𝗰 𝗱𝗲𝗯𝗮𝘁𝗲

𝗝𝗼𝗶𝗻 𝘂𝘀 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘆𝗲𝗮𝗿'𝘀 𝗮𝗻𝗻𝘂𝗮𝗹 𝗹𝗲𝗰𝘁𝘂𝗿𝗲 𝗶𝗻 𝗺𝗲𝗺𝗼𝗿𝘆 𝗼𝗳 𝗼𝘂𝗿 𝗳𝗼𝘂𝗻𝗱𝗲𝗿, 𝗦𝗶𝗿 𝗥𝗼𝗴𝗲𝗿 𝗝𝗼𝘄𝗲𝗹𝗹.

This year's lecture will be delivered by Professor @BobbyDuffyKings, Director of the Policy Institute at King's College London, and chaired by @LovisaMoller, Director of Innovation and Analytics at NatCen, who will lead the discussion and audience Q&A.

📅 Thursday 10 September 2026
🕕 18:00-19:30
📍 Bayes Business School, London, and online

Organised in partnership with @CityStGeorges, the Social Research Association and NatCen.

🔗Register here: https://t.co/mypA0KFyqJ

[The National @ScotNational]

Scotland would vote to become independent from the UK if a second referendum were held tomorrow, according to the first poll on the issue of Andy Burnham’s tenure 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿

See the exclusive poll results on our website 👇

[NatCen @NatCen]

📢 𝗘𝘃𝗲𝗻𝘁: 𝗕𝗿𝗶𝘁𝗶𝘀𝗵 𝗦𝗼𝗰𝗶𝗮𝗹 𝗔𝘁𝘁𝗶𝘁𝘂𝗱𝗲𝘀 𝟰𝟯

🗓️ 9 September: NatCen is hosting the launch of our latest #BSA findings on welfare and the NHS – with analysis from Sir John Curtice and Dr Robert de Vries, alongside speakers from IPPR and Nuffield Trust.

Register now, in-person or online 👇
🔗 https://t.co/441vAp7cje

[ScotCen @ScotCen]

New Scottish Social Attitudes findings on discrimination and prejudice in Scotland.

➡️ Positive attitudes towards same-sex relationships have continued to increase, just 10% would be unhappy about a close relative marrying someone of the same sex, down from 33% in 2006.
➡️ However, the proportion saying there is "sometimes good reason to be prejudiced" has risen from 22% (2015) to 31% (2025).

Four groups remain at particular risk: trans people, Gypsy/Travellers, people with severe mental illness, and older people.

Read more👉: https://t.co/19Hhk6dhn0

#ScottishSocialAttitudes #Equality #Discrimination #Scotland

[ScotCen @ScotCen]

📑 New data published from the #ScottishSocialAttitudes survey

➡️Trust in the Scottish Government to act in Scotland's best interests has dropped from 72% in 2015 to 46% now.

➡️Trust in the UK Government is even lower, at 18%.

Read more of the key findings here: https://t.co/6LpjA5eGQx

[YouGov @YouGov]

🧵/ How Scotland voted at the 2026 Holyrood election: our new study breaks down how Scottish voters cast their ballots in last month's seismic election by all the key demographic and political divides

[What Scotland Thinks @WhatScotsThink]

Most Scots doubt Sturgeon’s claims in embezzlement scandal

https://t.co/WTDtTuuH6a

[What Scotland Thinks @WhatScotsThink]

On how the electoral system operated in #SP26. https://t.co/X4ENshGoMa

[Ipsos Scotland @IpsosScotland]

New @IpsosScotland post-election poll findings, out today, show a third of Scottish voters only made their minds up in the final week of the campaign, with 1 in 10 deciding on polling day itself. For more findings, see https://t.co/GXEWzF93bU

[Survation. @Survation]

NEW: Survation Holyrood MRP

Survation’s final Holyrood poll indicates that the SNP is almost certain to form the next government, albeit without an overall majority. Our MRP estimates that the SNP are likely to win 59 seats - six short of the 65 needed for a majority, with a tight race for second place between Reform UK and Labour.

https://t.co/qmKKCSyidM

[Find Out Now @FindoutnowUK]

Find Out Now Scottish Parliament voting intention

Constituency:
🟨 SNP: 41%
🟦 Reform UK: 17%
🔴 Labour: 15%
🟠 Lib Dems: 12%
🔵 Conservatives: 10%
🟢 Greens: 1%

Regional:
🟨 SNP: 26%
🟦 Reform UK: 18%
🟢 Greens: 17%
🔴 Labour: 12%
🟠 Lib Dems: 11%
🔵 Conservatives: 11%

[Luke Tryl @LukeTryl]

Final Holyrood voting intention on the eve of the election. SNP still lead but their vote share has dipped in the final week of the campaign - and Labour making last-minute gains.

Fieldwork: 30 April - 4 May

[Ipsos Scotland @IpsosScotland]

NEW Holyrood voting intention from @IpsosScotland and @STVNews

🟡The SNP are comfortably ahead on 35%, -4 from 26-31 March

🔴Second place is too close to call: Labour on 20% (+5), Reform UK close behind on 18% (+3) while Conservatives trail on 11% (N/C) tied with Lib Dems (+1)