According to ESPN Analytics, in the 4 games the Spurs lost in the NBA Finals, they had a...
โ 91.6% chance of winning Game 1 up 13 points midway thru the 3rd
โ 72.8% chance of winning Game 2 up 2 points with 1 minute left in the 4th
โ 99.6% chance of winning Game 4 up 20 points with 9:33 left in the 4th
โ 95.4% chance of winning Game 5 up 10 points with 7:54 left in the 4th
The ODDS of the Spurs losing the NBA Finals 4-1, when taking into account the following sequences:
- They held a double digit lead in all 5 games
- Held the lead at some point in the last 2 minutes of every game
- Blew a 29 point half time lead + 20 point 4th Q lead
Are ~1 in 250,000. Virtually impossible odds.
*This is using a high P value (early leads in some games), which actually lowered the odds.
Basketball is a simple game.
Mitch Johnson over complicated it, the entire series, in three ways:
1. Exotic coverages: Brunson canโt beat you from the mid range, much like Shai couldnโt last series. Way too many traps, matchup zones, blitzes, etc. leading to the Knicks attacking long closeouts all series long.
2. Transition to build the lead, and then walk the ball up the floor and play not to lose, with the lead. There was a clock in every single game of the series where you could see the Spurs shift from fast to slow.
3. The Kornet minutes. Mitch chose a guaranteed negative 10 minutes on a game by game basis versus getting creative with his personnel.
Weโve never a series more negatively impacted by a coaching staff than this Spurs squad in the NBA Finals. And it was all EXTREMELY predictable and preventable.
Mike Brown was INCREDIBLE. No coach more deserving of a title than him.
๐ง๐ฅ๐๐ก๐๐๐ก๐: New footage has surfaced of Karl-Anthony Towns asking Knicks fans courtside to move closer to Dylan Harper as he tried to inbound the ball on the final play of the game.
Harper threw a bad pass and the Knicks won because of it.
This should be illegal.
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@lirishfwanime@okcamars Healthy ant is a much better scorer than Luka, not sure about Luka honestly. Though I have a feeling 2027 Luka is about to be an insane peak even though Iโm heavily low on him in general.