昨晚思考了很久,做了一个操作,止盈 20% Google 仓位,换仓到 Meta。
我实在很难想象一个年营收 2000 多亿美元、同比增长 33%、净利润同比增长 61%、拥有近 40 亿用户的社交媒体巨头,Forward PE 只有 20倍。
这种估值在大科技股中几乎是最便宜的。
我感觉市场有些短视,只是盯着 Meta 的 Capex ,盯着 Meta 没有云业务,忽略了很多客观事实。
推荐大家去听听这次 Meta 的财报会议,传达了很多不同于市场的正面信号,起码我相信 Meta 现在被严重低估,真正爆发的时候也会很恐怖。
市场分歧最大的时候,也是最赚钱的时候,可以对比一下去年上半年和现在的 Google。
my guess is that it's not a crypto-focused trading firm but someone large outside of crypto, likely based in Asia, with very few crypto-native counterparties.
hence why no one has sniffed them out on CT.
comfortably leveraged & market-making on Binance --> JPY carry trade unwind --> 10/10 liquidity crisis --> ~90-day reprieve granted --> backfired attempt to recover on gold/silver trade --> desperate unwind this week.
a reasonable sequence of events.
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