It is good to see interest in the representativeness and methodology of the survey. However, such assessments should be based on the evidence and procedures presented in the report, particularly in its methodology section.
Unfortunately, at #GAMAAN, we have become accustomed to criticism that overlooks key details of our research, so let me clarify a few points.
Psiphon, one of the main VPNs used in Iran, is free, as are other VPN services that collaborated in GAMAAN’s sampling, including Lantern and MahsaNet. As noted in the report, research conducted by an Iran-based think tank indicates that approximately 85% of internet users in Iran use VPNs, while internet penetration stands at around 90% of the population. These figures substantially weaken the claim that VPN-based recruitment necessarily restricts the survey to a small, privileged, and unrepresentative segment of society.
The methodology section also includes detailed demographic tables, weighting procedures, and external validation checks. These should be examined before making claims about the survey’s representativeness.
Our research is not without limitations, and we have been transparent about them. Nevertheless, over the past several years, GAMAAN’s findings have often captured the mood of Iranian society more accurately than conventional surveys. This is one reason our work has been recognized by independent scholars and professional organizations such as WAPOR.
Unfortunately, criticism of GAMAAN - from groups ranging from reformists and monarchists to the MEK - too often takes the form of attacks driven by discomfort with evidence that does not fit their preferred political narratives.
Serious methodological criticism is always welcome, but it should begin with a careful reading of the report and a willingness to consider evidence that may challenge our assumptions about Iranian society.
Gamaan gives more weight to under-represented segments of society in their polls. For example, if they have fewer data points from rural areas, they give more weight to their rural sample. To ensure their weighting scheme is correct, they use a benign question like the type of health insurance and compare that to the official stats in Iran.
I still agree that being a VPN user introduces a bias that can’t be corrected by the method above. A VPN-user villager probably has more anti-regime views than a non-VPN-user villager. But we need to note that majority of Iranians are on IG and Telegram and are using VPNs to get there.
As I've said before, Reza Pahlavi has peaked. His undoing has been part self-inflicted, part a consequence of geopolitical events outside his control. This even-handed article does a good job of setting out where his campaign went wrong, while offering Pahlavi and his associates a right of reply
https://t.co/UiZRfUbbNo
Ursula, thank you for your support! Anti-ballistic missiles are the most urgent need right now, especially given that our intelligence has warned of a possible new Russian strike within the next 48 hours.
در مورد ارقام کشتهشدههای دیماه، اینکه یکی میگوید ۴۰ هزار، یکی میگوید ۳۰ هزار، بیاحترامی به جان انسانهاست. یعنی برای ما مهم نیست دههزار نفر بیشتر یا کمتر کشته بشوند.
یک راهحل این است که گروههای مطرح حقوق بشر ایرانی جمع بشوند و براساس تمام اطلاعاتی که دارند، یک عدد یا بازه برای تعداد کشتهشدگان بطور مشترک ارایه بدهند. همه شخصیتهای مطرح اپوزیسیون هم به اون آمار ارجاع بدهند. این سازمانها میتوانند جداگانه گزارشهای خودشان را منتشر کنند ولی عدد اعلام شده توسط گروه مشترک مورد ارجاع قرار گیرد. از اینکه عدد از ۳۰ یا ۴۰ هزار هم کمتر باشد نباید ترسید. جمهوری اسلامی حتی نباید چند ده نفر از معترضان را میکشت چه برسد به هزاران نفر.
In the midst of the wars in Gaza and Iran, we cannot forget the atrocities in Sudan.
As many as 150,000 killed since 2023
14 million driven from their homes
30 million need humanitarian aid
All of this is fueled by the UAE — one of Trump's closest allies.
We cannot be complicit in genocide.
"Seeing the corpses of your people never becomes normal."
We spoke to Iran's national taekwondo star, who quit the sport in 2022 to stand with the Woman Life Freedom movement.
Today she rescues Iranians caught under the rubble of US-Israeli airstrikes
New in The Atlantic this morning: an extraordinary cover story by @rosehorowitch.
If you’re generally only reading tweets, emails, texts, and machine-generated sentences, you should really, really read this story (and after that, a novel!):
https://t.co/izCxIr0MW2
Should Canada re-establish diplomatic ties with Iran like Mark Carney suggested?
My fellow anti-regime Iranian-Canadians often say NO. But I think the answer should be YES.
I wrote why. Let me know what you think!
Iran has been eliminated from the World Cup in heartbreaking fashion, narrowly failing to advance past the group stage in a politically charged tournament where the team played its matches amid tight restrictions imposed by the United States. https://t.co/3SxGDP1EOO
#Iran’s goal vs #Egypt was ruled offside by VAR.
At 30 fps, 1 frame=.033 sec
Distance=Speed×Time
If the player moves 2 m/s:
2 × .033=6.6 cm
Just 1 frame can change the player’s position by 6-7 cm.
@FIFAcom should show a few other frames to confirm the exact ball-release frame
Iranians invented trigonometry and the postal system whereas Algerians invented nothing and Austrians invented Hitler. But the latter two advance, make it make sense
The Islamic Republic’s propaganda should never prevent us from speaking the truth.
The children killed in Minab deserve accountability. So do the thousands of Iranians killed, tortured, and disappeared by the regime.
Human rights mean defending every innocent life equally, not deciding whose suffering matters based on who pulled the trigger. Universal principles disempower propaganda.
https://t.co/DuSauG4Sue