Nfld Accordioneer

Political fan, Red tory, Staunch Rural Newfoundlander, opinions are my own, beware use of sarcasm.

[Nfld Accordioneer @YQXFan]

@rcbstormpost How much rain did we get off that storm? Seems like the longest thunderstorm I'd ever seen in NL.

[Nfld Accordioneer @YQXFan]

@williamtheearl @M1ckM1k3y @MarkJCarney I'm a liberal voter I know exactly what he's suggesting and I can't say i disagree. It's certainly not universal but a very apparent trend. Watch an episode of Andrew Younghusband's "Don't Drive here" and drop them off in middle of Saskatoon

[Nfld Accordioneer @YQXFan]

@M1ckM1k3y @MarkJCarney I know what you're suggesting.

[Nfld Accordioneer @YQXFan]

@LeighCl68689106 @CanadianPolling Translate: "it supports parties I don't therefore it's a conspiracy"

[Nfld Accordioneer @YQXFan]

@ray_vautier Still poisoned they shut down the south coast marine reserve... im a lifelong PC and it gets me fuming. I have never been so disappointed in a government; certainly not one of my own party. I'm so ashamed

[Hamidreza Azizi @HamidRezaAz]

A Day 3 recap of the war (with focus on Iranian strategic narrative):

🔹CENTCOM confirms that U.S. strikes on Iranian missile bases used B-1 bombers. The U.S. is trying to dismantle Iran’s fortified underground missile facilities.

🔹Iranian reports suggest Tehran has rejected multiple mediation attempts. Tehran’s apparent assessment is that it can sustain high-intensity conflict for 60-90 days, making early ceasefire acceptance strategically disadvantageous.

🔹Ali Larijani explicitly framed the war as a contest of endurance, stating Iran – unlike the United States – is prepared for a prolonged conflict. The objective appears to be altering Washington’s cost-benefit calculations over time.

🔹Iranian strategic discourse increasingly describes the conflict as a “war without rules” or a “game without red lines,” signaling deliberate unpredictability intended to reshape deterrence dynamics after leadership decapitation failed to halt Iran’s response.

🔹A related concept emerging in Iranian messaging is operating “one level above” adversary actions, i.e., delivering escalatory responses even to indirect threats in order to redefine escalation thresholds.

🔹This logic appears reflected in Iranian strikes toward British facilities in Cyprus, interpreted domestically as retaliation for London allowing U.S. access to Diego Garcia despite not joining offensive operations.

🔹One of the most consequential developments was the loss of three U.S. F-15 aircraft, initially claimed by Iran as shootdowns but later attributed to friendly fire from Kuwaiti air defenses, highlighting the growing risks of coalition battlefield congestion.

🔹Analysts close to Iranian security circles describe a layered missile strategy: first targeting radar systems, then launching low-cost drones and missiles to exhaust air-defense interceptors before deploying advanced weapons later.

🔹Iran’s continuous missile launches therefore appear designed less for immediate damage and more for attritional depletion of U.S. and Israeli defensive systems over time.

🔹Uncertainty over the size and dispersal of Iran’s advanced missile stockpiles may explain intensified U.S. and Israeli strikes against underground facilities and missile infrastructure.

🔹President Pezeshkian expanded emergency authorities across ministries and provincial administrations to ensure continuity of governance, deepening wartime decentralization already initiated before the conflict.

🔹Israel’s targeting pattern has become clearer: strikes now heavily focus on intelligence ministries, police headquarters, IRGC district bases, and internal security institutions, suggesting systematic erosion of regime coercive capacity.

🔹Parallel strikes against western border regions and Kurdistan province have fueled Iranian fears that external actors may seek to enable insurgent infiltration as an alternative to direct ground invasion.

🔹Iran has responded by striking areas in Iraqi Kurdistan while increasing pressure along its borders, indicating concern about a potential indirect ground dimension to the war.

🔹Iran-aligned Iraqi resistance factions – including Kataib Hezbollah, Harakat al-Nujaba, and Kataib Sayyid al-Shuhada – continue their operations on a limited scale, opening another attritional front against U.S. forces.

🔹Hezbollah formally confirmed its participation, firing rockets toward Haifa, though involvement remains limited due to degraded capabilities and domestic political constraints in Lebanon.

🔹Iranian sources claim prewar coordination between the Quds Force and regional partners defined phased entry into the conflict, suggesting activation of the “axis of resistance” is proceeding gradually rather than simultaneously.

🔹The IRGC has reportedly begun enforcing a de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz, warning commercial vessels against transit and threatening missile strikes. This is a major escalation targeting global energy flows.

🔹Simultaneous attacks on Gulf energy infrastructure, including an Aramco facility near Ras Tanura and gas infrastructure in Qatar, indicate an effort to raise global energy prices and increase economic pressure on Washington.

🔹Iranian authorities signaled zero tolerance for dissent. IRGC intelligence warned that actions undermining stability during wartime would be treated as collaboration with the enemy, implying harsh internal repression.

🔹Negotiation signals remain contradictory. While Trump suggested a potential deal was possible, Larijani publicly rejected negotiations, reinforcing Tehran’s view that talks can occur only after strategic calculations shift.

🔹Iran’s sustained missile tempo against Israel appears designed to impose psychological as well as military pressure, keeping populations under prolonged shelter conditions while conserving firepower for a longer conflict.

🔹Overall, Day 3 shows the war evolving into simultaneous military, economic, psychological, and regional escalation far beyond bilateral confrontation.

🔹The key question now is whether expanding proxy involvement and energy warfare will force external powers into deeper participation or instead accelerate pressure for negotiated containment.

---
P.S: Not sure how long I can keep doing this!

[Nfld Accordioneer @YQXFan]

@RealAlbanianPat @VesnaSertic I'll take 25 bucks I'm poor as fuck since loblaws unduly fired me with unjust cause (I was shop steward)

If you're throwing money around I'll happily take charity it wont be forgotten

[Nfld Accordioneer @YQXFan]

@Simmer_29 @CanadianPolling Not to mention Newfoundlanders helped to build your oil industry. Christ alive I spent years up there myself. Nice to know you hate us filling your labour shortages. At least we're white, should be happy we're able to move back and forth

[Nfld Accordioneer @YQXFan]

@Simmer_29 @CanadianPolling Yes because NL's 7 seats wield vast power. We are partners in confederation too. Watch out for PEI's 4 out of 343 seats. Unlimited power lol. As a bloc, I think Atlantic Canada having 32 seats is quite fair. You as a single province have more seats. How greedy can you get

[Nfld Accordioneer @YQXFan]

@RealAlbanianPat Oh shit I thought this was just some right wing fanatical drivel didn't realize this was an NDP candidate. Jack was the best. A true Canadian.

[Nfld Accordioneer @YQXFan]

@Simmer_29 @CanadianPolling So the 37% of Albertans who voted for Liberal or NDP their opinion on this means nothing? They're fed up too are they?

I'd be fed up.They're probably fed up that the elec. sys means ~37% voted other than CPC but they certainly never got ~37% of AB seats. It goes both ways yknow

[Nfld Accordioneer @YQXFan]

@Kauron288852 @Debb_D @CDNprojections I am a lifelong Conservative, I've even ran for the NL PCs in the past.

I didn't vote for Pierre. They could have found literally anybody else and I would have voted Conservative.

[Nfld Accordioneer @YQXFan]

@CDNprojections You fucked up the Labrador border. The constitutionally guaranteed Labrador border. There is no opinion, Quebec's claims were rejected a century ago.

[Nfld Accordioneer @YQXFan]

@jkenney @tylermeredith God thats refreshing to hear

[Nfld Accordioneer @YQXFan]

@random_user1969 @Christi79494602 @jkenney SO SING THE SONG BOTH LOUD AND LONG TILL ROCKS AND FORESTS QUIVER!!! GOD SAVE OUR QUEEN AND HEAVEN BLESS THE MAPLE LEAF FOREVERRRRR!

If you have no nationalistic pride from that the word is probably treason.

[Nfld Accordioneer @YQXFan]

@random_user1969 @Christi79494602 @jkenney You're an equal partner in confederation why the fuck wouldnt they see eye to eye with you

As a ex NL separatist I know when a cause is forlorn. At least NL has legal precedent to leave, Alberta does not.

https://t.co/HSerKgSHdT

[Bricktop_NAFO @Bricktop_NAFO]

In England, you can probably get away with smashing a car window with a Machete without people kicking off.

But if you try attacking the windows of a bar where people are watching Football your gonna get fucked up son.

[Nfld Accordioneer @YQXFan]

@rcbstormpost Is Gander in for much snow for tomorrows storm?

[Nfld Accordioneer @YQXFan]

@Christi79494602 @jkenney If you think you will get to negotiate eye to eye with Trump's America if you all get your way, I have a bridge to sell you

[Nfld Accordioneer @YQXFan]

@BugofWeek @TonyWakehamNL @LtGovNL @BarryPetten This is british sovereign territory and in intrinsic link to our cultural heritage.