Ya

Just observing

[Luckshury @Luckshuryy]

good discussion i had with @follis_ here, also I discuss in detail:

- why my session times are what they are
- risk tolerance
- my daily routine
- marking charts in general

worth checking it out

[フ ォ リ ス @follis_]

$ZEC – what do we call this pattern?

[Sean trades @SRxTrades]

The easiest part about trading is the charts

What's hard is discipline and accepting losses

[LP @LP_NXT]

$BTC

This bear market was precisely 29.6% faster than the previous one.

As cycles evolve, this bull market could follow the same pattern and play out faster than the previous one.

That would put the bull market top around 740 days from the bear market lows, leaving roughly 650 days until the macro top.

If the pattern holds, the next bull market top could occur around July/August 2028. ⏳

[Morin @TraderMorin]

$BTC

This would line up with previous cycle bottom.

Retest mid-range -> Weekly 12/25 EMA's -> Fib 0.618

[Morin @TraderMorin]

The only breakout patterns you need: 👇

P.S. These patterns don't mean shit if you don't get the market context right.

[Popeye @SailorManCrypto]

BTC just did something it hasn't done since the downtrend started last October.

3 different methods, one conclusion: my HTF bias is now bullish. And I'm already setting up the trade.

Full multi time frame breakdown + trade setup below 👇

[Punk（2898 🙌💎） @punk2898]

有哪些适合 1000w 以上的理财项目？💰

市面上很多 APY 很高的理财，但是容量就那么一丢丢，有没有哪些真正容量非常大的呢？

以下为全部实践，但是仅供参考，无广（广告位招租）：

SATA：

- APY：13%
- 容量：10M没啥问题吧，但是不建议这么多，后面还有其他的
- 原理：类似于微策略，但是因为 BTC 的暴涨导致他利息可以发 16 年（他们赌的就是 BTC 在 5 年这个维度会一直涨）
- 方法：这是美股股票，有一丢丢门槛就是需要美股券商账号
- 工具：我做了一个监控，毕竟我有持仓 （因为风险在那里，所以分散投资😂）https://t.co/iAynZ02WnD

U：

- APY：7.66%
- 容量：一个 VIP4 账号 50w，可以多账号拓展
- 原理：说白了就是营销推广费用（他的由来之前也写过）
- 方法：打开币安 APP，理财记得顶部 Banner（这个我之前解释过，币安打一下广告费😂）

USDG：

- APY：11%
- 容量：好像是 70M，这期结束了，盯着下期冲进去
- 原理：循环贷，安全在于是 OKX 推的，他们非常谨慎，把USDG 价格写死了所以循环贷不会崩，所以放心玩
- 方法：在 OKX 钱包，DeFi 里的 XLayer 理财即可，他们官方提供了循环贷工具（他们这是被逼的让步了，安我理解的 OKX 以前绝对不做这件事）

RWUSD：

- APY：5.4%-7%左右
- 容量：无限😂
- 原理：买入 RWUSD 会有3.36%收益，而他可以作为保证金所以可以做跨所套 BTC 资金费
- 方法：在币安买入 RWUSD，然后放到合约账户，在合约做空一倍 BTC，在 OKX 买入等额 BTC 现货，而 OKX BTC 现货又可以作为保证金，你可以在合约里小机会玩玩（收益看你币安这边的杠杆和OKX合约这边的其他收益）

价差套利：

- APY：10%左右
- 容量：理论无限，我们只跑了几十M
- 原理：量化程序根据各个交易所的合约价差和资金费价差套利，但是核心靠 API速度、VIP 等级、风控策略、套利算法决定，门槛极高（不建议大家自己做）
- 方法：如果你有熟悉的团队可以考虑，但是没有第三方介绍的不靠谱，保证20% 以上的可以统一作为便宜处理，这个回撤1%以内

房租：

APY：7%左右
容量：无限
原理：日本东京和英国伦敦的刚需房出租可以获得 4% 以上收益，然后再抵押贷款出来币圈理财估计 7%左右，核心是底层资产非常稳，而且日本房价拉垮了几十年这些年还在涨
方法：这个操作复杂度较高，涉及很多线下的具体步骤，大家参考，日本小户型 4%以上租金，东京部门区域 8%左右，这个内容太多根本写不完

这也是为什么日本加息全世界跟着动荡的根本原因，日元太太太太便宜了，所以在日元的基础上可以套很多层（像不像 DeFi 套娃？我们币圈领先世界好几个版本）

当然不要把理财都放在一块，这才是核心，房产（伦敦、东京）、生活、股票、数字货币理财、BTC、高风险投资都要有，但是前面的更加重要

“以末致财，以本守之”

[フ ォ リ ス @follis_]

If $BTC pulls back -20%

CT will lose its collective mind

Bears will start running victory laps

But it would be a normal bull market pullback

Exactly like we saw several times in 2023

Not saying it has to happen

But if it does, you should have a plan

If X, then Y

[Ya @Yafncuk7]

@hazenlee 能不能这样走哈哈哈哈

[Jelle @CryptoJelleNL]

Nearly 10 years inside this channel, and it doesn't look like its failing anytime soon.

Time for $BTC to push towards the upper half of the channel again.

Higher.

[LP @LP_NXT]

$BTC

I predicted the bottom...

4+ months of price action.

I nailed it.

Swing long from 59.4K & 76.2K.

[比特肥 || Bitfatty (🍀,🍀) @Bitfatty]

这个版本人声鼎沸 特别敏感
今天有点fomo
附送简要口诀一份：
买横买坑不买竖
卖点就在人声鼎沸处
连续小涨是真涨
连续大涨要离场
急跌无量是洗盘
急跌放量立马撤
大幅冲高要回踩
不挖深坑不建仓

[Mayne @Tradermayne]

$BTC

Every single major swing low of the last bull market had a bullish SFP.

These are great inflection points to build out additional exposure around.

[LP @LP_NXT]

$BTC

1 month later...

Mini range. 81–73K ✔️

Deviation. 72–68K ⏳

Expansion. 90–100K ⏳

If given the opportunity, any deviation below the range lows should be viewed as a buying opportunity. I will not short, and if this deviation comes, I will add to my swing long.

This range will eventually break to the upside, with the next expansion toward the 90–100K region. 🎲

[Killa @KillaXBT]

The “Everything Is Priced In” chart.

It documents the biggest catalysts and news events throughout each cycle, and more importantly, what tends to happen shortly after them.

During every bear market, $BTC gets hit with endless bad news that fuels downside. But once the HTF trend starts shifting, that same negative news becomes what I call FUD through the bull cycle.

People become so conditioned to shorting bad news because throughout the bear cycle, negative headlines usually led to lower prices. But when BTC enters a bull cycle and begins doing the inverse, (absorbing the bad news and moving higher), they get caught completely off guard.

The headlines still create panic. People still expect lower. But instead of continuing the downtrend, BTC begins absorbing the fear and trending higher regardless.

There is usually one major catalyst that confirms the continuation. Last cycle, it was the ETF approval. This cycle, I believe it will be the Clarity Act.

We have already seen the early signs of it. The rate hike, Clarity Act speculation and then the failure of the Act were all treated as reasons for BTC to sell off further. Instead, BTC swept the lows and showed strength.

That is the difference between a bear market and a bull market. In a bear market, bad news pushes price lower. In a bull market, bad news is used to make people capitulate before price moves higher.

Now we have had the rate hike, the Clarity Act failure, and even World War 3 narratives trending. Yet BTC is starting to react positively to the fear rather than negatively.

To me, that resilience is one of the clearest signs that the trend has changed. I see no reason these catalysts should play out any differently to previous bull cycle FUD events.

Likes/RTs are appreciated, spent a while creating this.

[DiscusFish @bitfish]

趋势是反馈的数学形状，交易中的圣杯在寻找凸性结构

[Ya @Yafncuk7]

发现一个生成境外地址的网站，留着备份，万一之后需要

☕️ 示例文档 2U / 16元，PDF 转实拍图 1U / 10元 👇 点击立即获取： https://t.co/BPNVUCnFPB

#示例文档 #KYC

[shinigamiXBT @shinigamiXBT]

only 4 entries out there. everything else is bait

SFP — price sweeps a level, closes back inside, LTF confirms w delta absorbing the sweep
MSB — market structure break on the timeframe ur trading, followed by a retrace into origin
continuation — pullback into HTF trend, LTF trigger fires at fib/OB/prev high or low
consolidation break — range compression into HTF POI, resolution w volume expansion

thats the whole taxonomy

if ur "setup" doesnt fit one of those four ur jsut gambling with candles and calling it edge

every failed trade i took in 2021 was a 5th setup that i made up in the moment

will be posting a youtube video on https://t.co/UJy62ElI65 soon, stay tuned

[RamenPanda @IamRamenPanda]

这些年我交易踩过坑总结，新人防亏钱指南：

1. 22年以后多炒股票少炒币
2. 炒股票只做多
3. 炒股票拒绝任何杠杆，包括杠杆ETF。杠杆放大亏损，不是收益
4. 一只股票大赚卖掉之后，不抄底，删除自选，禁止二次入场
5. 什么波动率赚的，抄底什么。低波动上涨赚的，就抄底低波动股票，不要抄高波动股