Yakush Burudzh

Crypto and travelling ❤

[Bull Theory @BullTheoryio]

🚨 INSANE WIPEOUT

$400 BILLION has been wiped out from the US stock market in the last 10 minutes.

[Yakush Burudzh @Yakush0]

Finally 🥰🥰🥰

[Rockstar Games @RockstarGames]

Grand Theft Auto VI is now only one week away!

Thank you to everyone in the community for your incredible support.

There’s still time to pre-order and pre-load so you’re ready on launch day.

Code-in-box versions are also available now for pick-up at retailers worldwide.

[DeFi_Machine @DeFi_Machine]

🚨 BLOODBATH: CPI 0.4% VS 0.3% EXPECTED. CORE 0.3% VS 0.2%. MARKETS START TO BLEED.

October CPI rose 0.4% MoM, above the 0.3% forecast. Core CPI rose 0.3%, above the 0.2% forecast.

Both numbers came in hotter than expected, and the market is already selling.

A Fed governor warned today that if core inflation runs hot, a bigger move than 25 basis points could be considered. The odds of a December hike were near 97% before this data.

Hot inflation. A Fed ready to hike. A market that was already under pressure.

This is the mix that keeps the red candles coming.

Over 12 years in these markets.
Do not miss the next big move. Follow me and turn notifications on.

[DeFi_Machine @DeFi_Machine]

🚨 BREAKING: US JOBLESS CLAIMS FALL TO 189K. THE LABOR MARKET IS STILL TOO STRONG.

Initial jobless claims came in at 189K vs 196K expected.

Job openings jumped to 7.523M and ADP printed 86K this week. Very few layoffs keeps the Fed hawkish, and payrolls come tomorrow.

Over 12 years in these markets.
Do not miss the next big move. Follow me and turn notifications on.

[CZ 🔶 BNB @cz_binance]

Bitcoin is resilient.

[PlayStation @PlayStation]

Get ready for Grand Theft Auto VI by pre-loading the game on PS5 beginning November 10. Also be sure to clear 212GB of storage space.

Pre-orders available now: https://t.co/nZRb9fP6pe

[DeFi_Machine @DeFi_Machine]

🚨 TRUMP FAILED TO MOVE OIL. THE SENATE DEMOCRATIC LEADER DID IT WITH FOUR WORDS: "THIS WAR MUST END."

Before the midterms, Trump kept pushing Iran peace talks to bring oil prices down. It did not work. Brent hit $116.72 on October 23 and stayed above $100.

Then Democrats won control of Congress. Senate Democratic Leader Schumer said those four words, and warned Democrats will launch investigations and take Trump to court. Brent fell about 5% right after, from about $99 to $94, and is down about 9% on the day.

Reuters says the market expects Trump may move on from Iran after the vote. An Iranian official still says a deal is far away.

What comes next: if peace talks hold, cheaper oil helps cool inflation and takes pressure off the Fed. If talks fail, oil can jump back fast. My base case is high volatility until a deal is signed.

Over 12 years in these markets.
Do not miss the next big move. Follow me and turn notifications on.

[DeFi_Machine @DeFi_Machine]

🚨 SERVICES ARE THE BIGGEST PART OF THE US ECONOMY. TWO PMI READS HIT TODAY.

Today at 14:45 UTC (9:45 AM ET): S&P Global Services PMI (Oct, final)
Expected: 57.9

IF PMI > 57.9 → MARKET DUMPS
IF PMI = 57.9 → NOTHING CHANGES NEAR-TERM
IF PMI < 57.9 → MARKET PUMPS

Last month the ISM services prices index hit 74, the highest since 2022. Strong services data with high prices keeps the Fed hawkish.

Also today at 15:00 UTC (10:00 AM ET): ISM Services PMI.

Over 12 years in these markets.
Do not miss the next big move. Follow me and turn notifications on.

[Rockstar Games @RockstarGames]

Grand Theft Auto VI pre-load begins on November 10. There’s still time to pre-order and ensure you're able to experience Grand Theft Auto VI when it launches on November 19.

Details: https://t.co/FthhVn574j

[Yakush Burudzh @Yakush0]

Why US people vote for Trump ?

[DeFi_Machine @DeFi_Machine]

🚨 BREAKING: US JOB OPENINGS JUMP TO 7.523M. THE LABOR MARKET IS NOT COOLING.

JOLTS job openings came in at 7.523M vs 7.1M expected. In August it was about 7.1M, so openings rose by more than 400K in one month.

A hot labor market keeps the Fed hawkish and the rate hike on the table. Good news for the economy is bad news for stocks and crypto right now.

Midterm results come tonight and payrolls on Friday. Stay alert.

Over 12 years in these markets.
Do not miss the next big move. Follow me and turn notifications on.

[DeFi_Machine @DeFi_Machine]

🚨 BREAKING: US MANUFACTURING PMI MISSES. 54.9 VS 56.0 EXPECTED.

S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Oct, final) came in at 54.9. The previous reading was 55.9, and the flash reading was 56.0.

Manufacturing is still growing, but it is slowing. Softer data takes some pressure off the Fed, and oil is falling at the same time.

ISM Manufacturing PMI comes at 15:00 UTC (10:00 AM ET). Midterms are tomorrow.

Over 12 years in these markets.
Do not miss the next big move. Follow me and turn notifications on.

[DeFi_Machine @DeFi_Machine]

🚨 NOVEMBER WILL BE THE BLOODBATH MONTH. HERE IS WHAT THE MARKET IS IGNORING.

Most people think November is just another month. Look at what is stacking up at the same time.

The US midterm elections are on November 3. Prediction markets give Democrats about 85% to flip the House, and the Senate is close to a coin flip. The market has to price a divided Washington from zero, and it hates doing that.

The Iran war is still not over. Brent hit a four-year high of $116.72 on October 23, and the IEA has called this the largest oil supply shock ever. Oil above $100 hits every company and every household.

The Fed already hiked in September to 3.75%-4.00%, and a December hike is priced near 80%. The 10-year yield is above 5%, near multi-decade highs. Stocks were built on cheap money, and the money is not cheap anymore.

Inflation is not cooling. CPI is 3.7%, PCE is 3.6%, and producer prices jumped 1.3% in one month. At the same time, September payrolls were only 29K and real wages are falling. Prices go up, hiring slows down. The Fed cannot fix both.

Crypto just took its own hit. Binance was hacked for about $6.3 billion, the biggest crypto theft in history. About $3 billion was frozen, deposits and withdrawals were suspended, and BTC dropped about 5% below $77K. Binance says it will cover all losses, but trust in exchanges and crypto apps is under pressure too.

Earnings are starting to crack. Meta raised its capex plan to $135-145 billion and missed on profit. Amazon and Intel both fell after their reports, and Intel lost almost 30% in one day.

The AI trade is under pressure. Nasdaq had a -2.6% day on October 22, its worst since June, and CoreWeave fell about 30% in the first half of October. Even the biggest AI IPO is being repriced. Anthropic is reportedly heading to a listing before late November, and talk of its valuation has moved down from about $2 trillion toward $1.5 trillion after growth slowed.

Elections, war, rate hikes, high inflation, a crypto exchange hack and a cracking AI trade. All in one month, with the market already bleeding.

Everyone is watching the Fed. Almost nobody is watching the whole picture. Protect your capital and watch your leverage.

Over 12 years in these markets. I post the risks before they hit the screen.
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[DeFi_Machine @DeFi_Machine]

🚨 BREAKING: CHICAGO PMI MISSES THE FORECAST AS STOCKS ALREADY BLEED.

Chicago PMI came in at 55.3 vs 56.0 expected. The previous reading was 58.8.

Manufacturing is still above 50, so it is still growing. But it is slowing for the second month in a row after the September jump.

Stocks are already falling today: S&P 500 -1.25%, Nasdaq -2.3%. A December hike is priced near 80%, and the market is not getting relief from the Fed.

Stay alert.

12 years in these markets. This is what I do.
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[DeFi_Machine @DeFi_Machine]

🚨 BREAKING: THE BANK OF JAPAN HOLDS AT 1.25%, BUT ONE BOARD MEMBER JUST VOTED TO HIKE. THE DECEMBER BOMB IS TICKING.

The BoJ kept rates unchanged. The vote was 8-1. Takata wanted 1.50% right now.

Tokyo core inflation is 2.6%, in line with the forecast and well above the 2% target. A December hike is priced near 80%.

The BoJ also more than doubled its ETF selling pace from January 2027. That is extra pressure on Japanese stocks.

When Japan hikes, the yen carry trade can unwind fast. Global markets can feel it.

12 years in these markets. This is what I do.
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[DeFi_Machine @DeFi_Machine]

🚨 BREAKING: THE FED HOLDS AT 3.75%-4.00%. WARSH HAS 30 MINUTES TO MOVE THE MARKET.

The Fed left rates unchanged, as the market expected. The hike odds were only about 10%.

But a hold is NOT a green light. A December hike is priced near 80%, and the Fed has not taken it off the table.

Warsh press conference starts at 18:30 UTC (2:30 PM ET). One wrong sentence from him can turn this hold into a selloff. On September 16 the hike was fully priced, and stocks still fell because of his tone.

Stocks and crypto, stay alert.

12 years in these markets. This is what I do.
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[DeFi_Machine @DeFi_Machine]

🚨 BREAKING: US CRUDE STOCKS FELL AGAIN, AND OIL IS ALREADY CRUSHING THE ECONOMY. THIS IS BAD NEWS FOR THE MARKET.

EIA Crude Oil Inventories: -1.892M barrels. Expected: +0.1M. Previous: -3.06M.

That is the fourth draw in a row. US stocks fell by about 16.7 million barrels in four weeks. Supply is getting tighter, while oil is already near $100.

And oil is already hurting:
→ US gasoline rose 9.1% in September alone
→ US CPI is at 3.7%
→ Producer prices jumped 1.3% in one month
→ Euro area energy prices are up almost 19%
→ Consumers expect 6.1% inflation over the next year

Every barrel that leaves storage keeps the price high. And a high oil price hits everything: transport, food, factories and your wallet.

Stocks and crypto do not like this.

12 years in these markets. This is what I do.
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[DeFi_Machine @DeFi_Machine]

🚨 CONSUMER CONFIDENCE JUST EXPLODED TO 91.7. THE FED MEETS TOMORROW. BLOODBATH WARNING.

Conference Board Consumer Confidence (October): 91.7. Expected: 81. Previous: 81.9.

Almost 10 points above the forecast. The consumer is NOT scared, even with high prices and fuel costs. And that is exactly the problem.

A strong consumer means the Fed has no reason to go easy. The December hike gets harder to stop, and yields stay high.

The Fed decides tomorrow at 18:00 UTC (2:00 PM ET).

Stocks and crypto, be careful.

12 years in these markets. This is what I do.
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[DeFi_Machine @DeFi_Machine]

🚨 JOBLESS CLAIMS CAME IN AT 194K. THE FED JUST GOT ANOTHER REASON TO KEEP HIKING.

US Initial Jobless Claims: 194K. Expected: 200K. Previous: 199K.

Fewer people lost jobs than expected. Layoffs stay low, so the Fed can focus on inflation. After last week hot CPI, PPI and import price data, this is bad news for risk assets.

Hike odds go up. Stocks and crypto feel the pressure.

12 years in these markets. This is what I do.
Follow me and turn notifications on.

[Yakush Burudzh @Yakush0]

@DeFi_Machine Do you thinks it's not good time to buy SP500 or tech companies ?