Zahid Khan

An oilfield professional,Learner, PSX,trader,investor and TA enthusiast

[Zahid Khan @ZahidPSX]

Knowing when to sell a winning stock is just as imp as knwng when 2 buy. While fundamentals help u enter a trade, its the technical signals tht guide ur exit.
Don’t let emotions or greed eat ur gains learn 2 sell with discipline & protect ur profits. #StockMarket #psx #investing

[Zahid Khan @ZahidPSX]

@YounisK75 Legend..!

[Shen Shiwei 沈诗伟 @shen_shiwei]

#Pakistan in the past 24 hours.

Who made this meme video? Genius!

[RedZone Wanderer @RedZoneIsb]

Everyone who sold Pakistani stocks last month because of the Iran war is waking up to a ceasefire brokered by Pakistan itself. Oil prices down 12-14%. The Strait of Hormuz is open for two weeks.
Here is the part that will sting for those who panic sold.
The stocks they exited at 52 week lows will gap up today.
They will watch the same shares they dumped climb 3 to 5% in a single session. And most of them will not buy back because the price will be higher than where they sold.
This is the psychology trap that destroys retail wealth. You sell during fear at the bottom.
You watch the recovery from the sidelines. You buy again only when prices are higher than where you started.
Every war, every crisis, every panic in market history has followed this exact script.
The people who held through the noise will be rewarded. The people who sold based on headlines just paid the most expensive tuition of their investing life.
#PSX #KSE100 #IranCeasefire #OilPrices

[Zahid Khan @ZahidPSX]

History will remember the Islamic Republic of Pakistan for this remarkable diplomatic achievement 🤲🇵🇰
We thank ALLAH Almighty for this success. May ALLAH Almighty bless the entire world with peace, stability, and prosperity. Ameen.

#ceasefire
#pakistan #IranWar‌

[Zahid Khan @ZahidPSX]

Sazgar #sazew has attributed this extension to “unprecedented response and exceptionally high demand” for the Tank 500 models, which has impacted delivery capacity and timelines, deliveries are now expected in 6-9 #HEV #PHEV
#SAZEW #PSX
https://t.co/4wDngd5TBX

[Startup Pakistan @PakStartup]

Just a week after the official launch of the locally assembled Tank 500 HEV and PHEV on January 20th,

Sazgar has announced a significant increase in delivery timelines. Initially set at 3–4 months, the wait has now doubled:

Tank 500 PHEV deliveries are expected in 6–8 months, while Tank 500 HEV deliveries may take 7–9 months.

The company attributes the delay to “unprecedented response and exceptionally high demand.”

To compensate, all current and future PHEV bookings will include a complimentary 7kW charger.

Image is Ai generated and is just for reference

#Sazgar #Tank500 #HEV #PHEV #CarLaunch #AutoNews #PakistanCars #EV #HighDemand

[Zahid Khan @ZahidPSX]

@Wisdom_HQ 116

[Zahid Khan @ZahidPSX]

If you want to seriously level up your stocks investing knowledge, you absolutely need to check out Shayan's YouTube channel. He can provide incredibly valuable, easy to understand content tht will help u make smarter financial decisions. Highly recommended.
#investing #kse100

[Shayan Baig @BaigShayan1234]

Dear Brothers and Sisters,

Here is the very first lecture on the basics of the Stock Market in Video format.

I need your honest and constructive feedback because it is important that you must understand the concepts I teach.

With time, things will improve, but please let me know about my shortcomings if I was unable to explain the topic properly. Besides, if you feel there is a need to bring further clarity and depth, let me know about this too.

If you have any questions, feel free to ask in comments.

I prepared an introductory Video which However, I intend to retake as there is serious need to understand importance of investments in detail. It is available on the link https://t.co/xHAklpx7M9. Please subscribe on it as I will be posting over there.

For now, please watch Lecture #1 on X below (This same will be available on You tube tomorrow).

[Zahid Khan @ZahidPSX]

@arafayzafar @SECPakistan @pakstockexgltd looks like its typo in the newspaper.. 11 A.M it is..

[OSINT_PK @osintPk]

🚨 If you see the flight radar data the Indians already cleared there airspace across border at 11pm on 6th May while Pakistan diverted all the flights at 12am 7th May that clearly shows Pakistan knows what's coming and at 1:05 airstrike happened.
#PAF #IAF

[Zahid Khan @ZahidPSX]

@RoymukhtarRoy چند تھیلے سیلابی علاقوں میں بانٹ کر فوٹو سیشن۔۔اور موازنہ مفتی اعظم سے۔۔؟ آپکو مفتی صاحب کی دینی اور دنیاوی خدمات کا سرے سے علم ہی نہیں ہے شاید ورنہ ایسا موازنہ کرنے کا سوچتے بھی نہیں۔آپ زرا مفتی صاحب کی پروفائل پر تحقیق کریں پھر کوئی بات کریں۔

[Fidato @tequieremos]

Capt Amarinder Singh writes in his book ‘Monsoon War’ that PAF shot down 75 IAF aircrafts in total during the 1965 war. Total number of aircraft lost in Air and ground were 38 and 37 respectively.

Here's a clip of those brave pilots while giving an interview to BBC.

#DefenceDay

[Zahid Khan @ZahidPSX]

Finally, they have come to their senses. But as a nation, why do we always wait until losses occur? Why can’t we consider such matters in advance, or have our priorities always been elsewhere?
Anyway better late than never!

[Mansoor Ahmed Qureshi @MansurQr]

PM Shehbaz calls for urgent water storage projects.

[Zahid Khan @ZahidPSX]

A surge ahead of a board meeting often reflects market optimism perhaps due to expectations of strong results dividends, bonus split or other positive developments.
Wait and watch
FY25 EPS Estimate: ~PKR 280–290
TTM EPS: ~PKR 270-280
#SAZEW
#psx
#KSE100 #investing

[Zahid Khan @ZahidPSX]

@FarhatHussainC1 4 a lady I wld suggest Instead of investing in individual stocks a low cost diversified ETF may be wiser.
If she is very risk averse mixing in bond ETFs or fixd incme fnds would gve stability & income
A simple “set & forget” ETF strategy avoids stress, rebalancing, and high risk

[Zahid Khan @ZahidPSX]

such as profit margins, capacity utilization, and market demand will improve. At present, earnings continue to erode, so it’s best to wait for clear signs of a turnaround, like consistent profitability or margin recovery. 3/3
#PSX #epcl

[Zahid Khan @ZahidPSX]

#epcl
The stock is technically in oversold territory, but oversold conditions don’t always signal a bottom.
If u hve confidence in the company’s recovery and can wait patiently, a cautious hold may be reasonable.
1/3
#PSX #epcl

[Nasir Dar @Nasir_dar101]

You see:
Now every one will try best to be smarter.
he could do this, he could that or he should do this or that.
Like they were never in this situation.
He should have exited with 6-8% Loss,he did not, ok, fine., BUT
1, EPCL is not a kachra company,
2, which fundamentaly strong stock was never in this situation.
3, selling with 50% loss & entering in other stocks, what is guaranty he will make profit, None.
4, All the negative factors in epcl are already almost priced in.
5, Technically one of the Pattern is about to have an end.
if i was him: MY STANCE WILL BE HOLD.
#epcl #kse100 #psx

[Zahid Khan @ZahidPSX]

However, if ur priority is capital growth or stability, a partial or complete exit could free up funds for stronger opportunities instead of keeping them tied up.Any decision 2 hold shld be based on an expectation tht key fundamentals..
2/3
#PSX #epcl

[Zahid Khan @ZahidPSX]

Worth reading,this post seamlessly blends technicals,fundamentals & sentiment into a clear, insightful view. The focus on risk control, asymmetric opportunities,and institutional behavior is precisely the kind of guidance retail traders can benefit from. #sazew #PSX

[Hamza Khalid @HamzaKhalid95]

Fake us out the first time so we don't believe it the second time. Well played #SAZEW

Before reading the post, just want to emphasize that I might be wrong and you will most likely lose money if you act on borrowed conviction.

Here is a little post on how institutions play with weak hands i.e., emotional retail investors like me.

After a huge move up, SAZEW went quiet for MONTHS. But the structure didn't break down. It just started forming a huge base (a base is just a period of sideways consolidation where demand is being met with adequate supply (those who want to build positions can buy within a range from those who want to book profits and allocate capital elsewhere. Participants also wait for new information to come to market (earnings, sales, free cash flow, margins, new product announcements and bookings, etc). The stock goes higher when supply is exhausted within a range and bids are raised in order to get filled because the collective wisdom of the market believes the stock is still undervalued and has room for growth.

AHL published a pessimistic report on the company a few months back that probably made people think the top was in. But what happened in subsequent quarters was the fundamentals kept getting better while the stock continued to go sideways. There was a lot of doubt in the minds of rookies like me because there are many moving parts in the story. On one hand removal of incentives and increasing competition in the auto space potentially leading to a price war while on the other hand new product pipeline and growing demand in the economy for high end vehicles contributing to future growth (after all we are in a phase of monetary expansion). It was all a question of whether one thing would more than offset the other. Uncertainty like this creates the perfect environment for smart money to build a position. Notice how the structure / base didn't even break down amidst the Pakistan India war scare or the Iran conflict.

What happened in the midst of all this uncertainty is Sazgar broke out of this base on above average volume after earnings, but immediately got sold off probably making people panic sell (especially the ones who may have chased the breakout). This probably triggered a wave of liquidity that big players absorbed.

A few weeks later, the stock stealthily broke out again, but this time the chart printed a red hammer candle. This was likely a retest of supply (read: big players probing whether they can grab any more supply. Below average volume in that week suggests there were few people interested in selling at those levels and that bids would likely have to be raised to get filled. What followed in the next two weeks was a rally on above average volume suggesting institutional accumulation. I personally started a position again in SAZEW when it printed that red hammer candle. NOT because I am certain price will continue to rally higher.

But because of a few things:

The risk to reward was good 2 weeks back. Price was above a clearly defined pivot point which it retested on low volume. If wrong, I would end up taking a 5% loss on a 10% position in my account, translating to less than 1% of my total equity which is nothing in the grand scheme of things if the money to be made if I'm right is many multiples higher than my risk.

Fake outs can be bullish in the right context because it allows big players to flush out weak hands who probably lost money in the process thus leading them to not believe the rally the second time.

I saw some momentum in the sector recently, with other stocks forming a base right above all time highs with good fundamentals, new product pipelines, and positive social sentiment. Again, there is always uncertainty surrounding competition, government policy, which is why it only makes sense to risk money when the reward is assymetric. Interestingly stocks that seem to be too high appear look risky when in reality they are at all time highs for a reason.

I might be wrong but the point is not to obsess over being right all the time rather make many multiples more money when you're right than when you're wrong, and never impose your opinion on the market.

[Zahid Khan @ZahidPSX]

@BaigShayan1234 @Hassan20Usman @WealthWise15992 No doubt #GWLC is a cost efficient company with clean balance sheet,Punjab aur KPK main cement demand high huee hai recently so it will get benefit of that,moreover if export activity in the North increases (to Afghanistan), GWLC will do wonders.

[Zahid Khan @ZahidPSX]

If cement demand continues to rise and macro conditions stabilize (like lower interest rates or improved FX reserves), cement stocks could outperform. Monitor quarterly earnings, export trends, and infrastructure related govt policies
Focus: #LUCK #DGKC #FCCL #KOHC #MLCF #CHCC