A man spends 50 years teaching at MIT.
He knows his time is running out.
So he records one last lecture — everything he knows, distilled into a single hour.
He died 5 months later.
This is that lecture.
The most important hour you'll watch this week. 👇
Bookmark it for later
Bayes’ theorem is probably the single most important thing any rational person can learn.
So many of our debates and disagreements that we shout about are because we don’t understand Bayes’ theorem or how human rationality often works.
Bayes’ theorem is named after the 18th-century Thomas Bayes, and essentially it’s a formula that asks: when you are presented with all of the evidence for something, how much should you believe it?
Bayes’ theorem teaches us that our beliefs are not fixed; they are probabilities. Our beliefs change as we weigh new evidence against our assumptions, or our priors. In other words, we all carry certain ideas about how the world works, and new evidence can challenge them.
For example, somebody might believe that smoking is safe, that stress causes mouth ulcers, or that human activity is unrelated to climate change. These are their priors, their starting points. They can be formed by our culture, our biases, or even incomplete information.
Now imagine a new study comes along that challenges one of your priors. A single study might not carry enough weight to overturn your existing beliefs. But as studies accumulate, eventually the scales may tip. At some point, your prior will become less and less plausible.
Bayes’ theorem argues that being rational is not about black and white. It’s not even about true or false. It’s about what is most reasonable based on the best available evidence. But for this to work, we need to be presented with as much high-quality data as possible. Without evidence—without belief-forming data—we are left only with our priors and biases. And those aren’t all that rational.
It would be illogical to scrap the betting tax while maintaining the E-levy.
A country like Ghana, which is perceived to hold religious sentiments, should act in a way that discourages the youth from engaging in lazy ventures.
Maintain Betting Tax
Scrap off E-levy
#Budget2025
@renoomokri As you step into this new year, I sincerely pray that Almighty Allah blesses you with good health and a long life. May you and your entire family always be in abundant of your Lord praises.
Happiest birthday to you, sir Reno Omokri
@renoomokri Gratitude is truly one of the best ways to honor our creator. You have been an incredible inspiration to many of us, especially the younger generation. As a devoted follower from Ghana, I want to express how much you've changed my perspective on finance, faith, and humanity.
•Spread peace.
Your religion is not superior than the other
Your political party is not superior than the other
Your TRIBE is not superior than the other.
Your color is not superior than the other.
•Our unique differences are what make us beautiful.
Modifying your diet can help manage or prevent kidney stones. Take control of your health by making healthy lifestyle choices to prevent kidney stones. Hydrate, limit salt intake, skip the processed foods, be mindful of oxalate and a lot more!
#NNM2024#KidneyHealth
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