Zeroh

spread love, God is incredible | student of the markets

[Race @multiplanet1]

Elon Musk's first wife once described what it's like to watch him fail.

She said he doesn't react the way normal people react. When a rocket explodes, most people in the room go silent. Some cry. Some start calculating the financial damage.

Musk pulls out his phone and starts making calls. Not emotional calls. Engineering calls. "What failed. When can we fix it. When's the next launch." His voice doesn't change. His face doesn't change. The rocket that just cost $60 million is already in the past. The next one is all that exists.

She said it was the most unsettling thing she'd ever witnessed. Not because he was cold. Because he genuinely wasn't affected. The failure didn't register as failure. It registered as data. An experiment that produced results. Results that inform the next experiment.

This is why he wins. Not because he doesn't fail. He fails more spectacularly than anyone in history. He wins because failure occupies zero psychological space. It enters as data and exits as action.

Most people lose not because they fail but because they spend weeks processing the failure before acting again. Musk spends zero seconds. The gap between failure and next attempt is a phone call.

[Tradestl @Tradestl]

Good message here. The reason I got into trading and I assume most is the unlimited income potential. The sky is the limit when it comes to earnings in the market.

The downside here is trying to realize when enough is enough. For some, the game of chasing profits will never be enough even though they can never spend all that they earn. The never ending chase of $$$ will never lead to happiness

[FEAR GOD @FEARGODMINDSET]

until death, all defeat is psychological

[THE SHORT BEAR @TheShortBear]

$SLV $AGQ $SILVER

The morning opened with a clear regime shift.

Trump nominated Kevin Warsh for Fed Chair. Warsh is widely viewed as a hard-money hawk. At the same time, a U.S. government shutdown was averted at the last minute.

Gold and silver had effectively been propping each other up over the past week. Silver looked vulnerable, but gold’s parabolic move prevented a breakdown, resulting instead in a double-top structure.

This setup has historical precedent, most notably in 2006 and 2011.

Quietly behind the scenes topping macro news added up: Greenland resolution, Tariff step back, FED chair hawk(ish)...

As the macro narrative flipped, the “chaos premium” and “debasement trade” evaporated almost instantly. This came on top of rising margin requirements and billions of dollars in call options being offered throughout the week.

With today being Friday, those call positions became trapped. Market makers were then able to delta-hedge back toward neutral by selling underlying shares.

That’s when the dominoes began to accelerate.

As silver broke below key whole-number levels, where the largest call strikes were concentrated, selling pressure increased exponentially. Billions of dollars in call options rapidly went to zero.

The selloff intensified into the 1:30 PM window, driven in part by the $AGQ rebalancing mechanism.

As a 2x leveraged ETF, AGQ must rebalance daily to maintain its leverage ratio. A 10% drop in silver leaves the fund over-leveraged, forcing it to sell futures into weakness.

The “Kill Zone” (1:00–1:25 PM ET) is where the mechanics turned brutal:

1:00 PM: Order cut-off

1:25 PM: NAV calculation

HFTs and authorized participants knew AGQ would be forced to unload significant volume. They front-ran the 1:25 PM window, stripping remaining liquidity.

Silver didn’t merely decline, it gapped through multiple support levels. Selling pressure peaked precisely at the 1:25 PM NAV print. Once the mechanical rebalancing was complete, price finally found a floor.

[Zeroh @ZerohNetz]

@Deconsecrated2

[Gold Grump Granpa @GoldGrumpGranpa]

This is what a +10.85% day in #silver #futures looks like on a 5-minute chart: look at the slam just before #Comex ghost pit hours, the C&R on the $74.5 stops, and the powerful continuation into the close. 😌

Save it for your grandkids. ☺️
Tell them you saw it live. 🤠

[Marc Randolph @marcrandolph]

One of the best gifts I was ever given.

When I was twenty-one years old, fresh out of college and about to start my first job, my father gave me a handwritten list of instructions.

Here are my dad’s rules for success:

> Do at least 10% more than you are asked.

> Never, ever, to anybody, present as fact, opinions on things you don’t know. Take great care and discipline.

> Be courteous and considerate always— up and down.

> Don’t knock, don’t complain—stick to constructive, serious criticism.

> Don’t be afraid to make decisions when you have the facts on which to make them.

> Quantify where possible.

> Be open-minded but skeptical.

> Be prompt.

I’ve passed these same rules on to my own children and the original copy hangs next to my bathroom mirror.

[GRITCULT @GRITCULT]

One of my favourite stories about Napoleon of all time.

As a young soldier he visits a fortune teller. She reads his palm and says:
“You’re clever. You’re bold. But you’ll never be great.”
“Why not?” He says

She points to his palm and says.

“You lack the line of destiny. The mark of history great leaders.”

So without hesitation. he pulls out a knife. Carves a deep line across his palm. Exactly where the line of destiny ought to be. Blood drips.

He tells the fortune teller.
“Then I shall make my own destiny.”

Stop waiting for fate. Carve your own destiny.

[Zeroh @ZerohNetz]

Confidence without competence is dangerous.
Competence without confidence is useless.

credit: @PivotalProfits

[THE SHORT BEAR @TheShortBear]

$QBTS

$42.71 avg short post adds
->added $41.15 10/16
->added $38.25 10/20
$29.16 avg bought back

Notable: Bigger final leg than $RGTI, 150% from breakout level extension, running into $50, everyoen calling for blowoff.

[THE SHORT BEAR @TheShortBear]

Quantum short:

$RGTI

50.88 avg short post adds.
->added $53.6 10/16
->added $46s 10/20
39.89 avg bought back.

Notable: pattern at top was a H&S, third lefg extension into whole number on volume parabolic.

[THE SHORT BEAR @TheShortBear]

$GOLD short

$GLD
Will draw entry on chart(missing entry chart).

Started gold decent size frontside.

I was looking at the data and it pointed towards Tuesday being a redo of 1980 with a 10% down day post 9 green weeks in a row.

-Added big size Monday (397.36 avg)
-Added more pyramid yesterday
-Added some more today, further to anticipate the 4k gold breakdown, but quickly reversed and covered all.

Notable: We got the 4k retest overnight in the asian session and missed covers because of it. Wanted the breakdown but it now feels like we are late to do it with all eyes on it. Too much size at bad prices for no downside momentum, I would rather have a clean slate and restart should we want a breakdown into the next period.

[THE SHORT BEAR @TheShortBear]

$BYND

Ultra liquid and retail filled liquidation and panic.

-70% from highs into whole number and half number.

free flowing emotions created purity in the price action.

Volume capitulation, bought illimited multi M starter and added as proven right given liquidity was illimited. No problem moving 7fig shares in 1sec.

Kept it simple, PT was stopouts into the next whole number.

[Zeroh @ZerohNetz]

And when you’re fueled by purpose, exhaustion doesn’t stop you.

It just reminds you that you’re still alive and in the game.

credit: @aw_trades_

[Zeroh @ZerohNetz]

Losses teach what profits never can: where strength truly lives. And mine was never in the number - it’s in the will to rebuild

credit: @TheWhiteWhaleHL

[THE SHORT BEAR @TheShortBear]

Selling into strength makes you look like an idiot in a strong bull market, but it makes sure you actually are in the drivers seat.

Especially when it comes to size that is put on through pyramiding and leveraged.

Very easy to get lost in buying 10+ positions and feeling great about it as a mania goes into late stages.

Same players calling for lower prices when the market was down 35%+ in 2022 calling for a never ending bull market in unprofitable growth now.

It always ends the same way.

And the good old 'just ride it up and sell' might sound good but by design if we are going up there is people buying into the highs that will eventually have to face the reckoning.

A good rule of thumb...

-If people around you are doing similar to the same things, its probably time to start moving on.

-If you start to see your portfolio position amount increase fast because there are 'so many plays'... Probably the start of the end of a cycle

-When everyone calls for a parabolic... Probably wont do it

-When we haven't pulled back by one of the longest stretches since the 90s... Probably shouldn't be buying and leveraging up

-When the bull/bear ratio explodes higher and everyone is long...

-When the put/call ratio is near dead lows...

When it starts to look like everyone is on the same side and one side of the market is 'safe', that's when most risk exists.

It's often better to have a more gradual and compounding path than to go somewhat parabolic but pull back a huge percentage amount, destroying your mental capital and creating all sorts of issues.

[Zeroh @ZerohNetz]

@Jaxarooo @Afghanrebel is that true?

[THE SHORT BEAR @TheShortBear]

To follow up further on risk vs value.

The current bid into the FOMC is pushing risk assets strongly.

$ARKK is on the verge of a multiweek breakout, many risk assets e.g $IONQ, $TSLA... are breaking out.

Perhaps this trend will only intensify after FOMC but I am staying conservative ... are breaking out. g value right now and more specifically emerging markets and defensive stocks.

I believe we will eventually see this rate cut cycle as one that will need to be accelerated through a slowdown and that risk will turn into defensive.

Perhaps this is too conservative, but at this specific time, I want to remain with current positions and trail until I get stopped out on oversize following recent initial sells.

I stand at +232.88% on the year today going into FOMC and will simply let the market tell me where we will end the year, while behaving in a conservative stance riding my winners.

No rush but no foolishness allowed at this intersection.

Top drivers this year:
1. Healthcare insurers ( $UNH $CNC $ELV)
2. China ( $BABA $PDD)
3. Latin america ( $MELI $NU)
4. US value & growth ( $UBER $BN)

Lackluster but small: $PYPL $ARGT

happiest to see that I cut size on my losers and added to my winners throughout the year while being extremely aggresive in key areas and during panics.

Contrarian at extremes and trend following this value recovery and expansion.

Steps taken in the past quarters.

1. Latin america appreciates while initiated Chinese positions put me under pressure, leading to a zear of sideways but more and more potential from business growth and value

2. China initial rally on the bazooka stimulus

3. $MELI pullback and China stimulus lacks calrity putting the portfolio back under pressure

4. China shows they can compete with AI and optimism grows that a deal will be reach between the US and China while MELI rallies back into ath.

5. Tariff news hits and tantrum ensues (cut a lot of size and added it back with major luck within 30min of the major bottom in April)

6. Portfolio rallies back and consolidates near ath and I see the healthcare insurers as my next major pitch

7. Current day: China and US healthcare insurers lead the portfolio into a parabolic looking all time high while MELI rests.

The bulk of my growth came from absolute conviction during the darkest times and swinging the bat. A contrarian entry followed by a trend follow and pyramided style.

A combination of low positoning, pessimism, business growth and low multiples as well as technical pattern combining into THE opportunity.

Each time the ideas were hated, each time it was 'too risky', each time the same players ended up chasing way higher.

The path was scary at times, my resolve was tested but having been in this game long enough to go through hundreds of pullbacks helped to numb the emotions and sharpen the objectivity.

I remained focused on staying calm, cool and collected as I now trail and protect, letting the market dictate my final result, while most ramp up exposure.

Result: 232.88% ytd

[THE SHORT BEAR @TheShortBear]

Why does everything have to be about right vs left?

Charlie Kirk might have been a republican but he always emphasized and defended free speech, open debate, and the right of political opponents (including Democrats) to organize and campaign….

Most of us got to know him because of these values he portrayed.

His death and murder is an absolute tragedy and the fact that the opposite of what he worked and fought so hard for is sad to see.

How can the division be so incredibly big in such dark times… especially when we have no suspect, no arrest, no motive…

Using a tragedy to push an agenda is more than sad.

This death hits hard…

[Zeroh @ZerohNetz]

@TheShortSniper keep posting man. lots of followers to like your content but never comment (including me)