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Still think this US list from $MRVL to $ARM to $INTC was goated.
Just as a recap if new followers were wondering what US equities I like.
Especially because I've been talking about international companies recently.
SemiAnalysis calling MU bearish in 2026 has basically gone beyond “bad analysis.”
At this point, it is becoming low-grade, amateur-hour counter-signal material.
Just look at the numbers.
Early January
They said Micron’s HBM4 sample pin speed looked weak and was falling behind SK Hynix / Samsung.
MU was around $430 at the time. Now it is $920+. Up more than 114%.
January 28
They said Nvidia Rubin’s first-year HBM4 orders showed “no Micron visibility.”
MU was $435.28 at the time. Now it is $920+. Up more than 111%.
February 6 — the big one
They claimed Micron’s HBM4 share in the first 12 months of Rubin was basically cut to zero.
MU was $394.69 at the time. Now it is $920+. Up more than 133%.
From the March low of $321, MU is up more than 186%.
June 4–5
Now they are pushing another narrative: NVDA allegedly cut Vera CPU-side SOCAMM DRAM from 55TB to 28TB, implying memory demand is cooling.
MU closed at $996 on June 4 and dropped to $920+ on June 5, down 7.5% in one day.
But even after that drop, MU is still 133% higher than when they published the February “Micron has no share” piece.
This is no longer just “getting one call wrong.”
This is repeatedly using a very confident tone, dressing up supply-chain storytelling as deep industry research, and then getting slapped in the face by the stock price, fundamentals, and the AI memory supercycle.
The problem with SemiAnalysis is not that they are bearish.
Being bearish is fine. Being skeptical is fine.
The problem is that they keep framing Micron as if it is being pushed out of HBM4, while MU has gone from the low $300s to over $900.
With that level of accuracy, maybe stop branding it as “deep research.”
To put it bluntly, this looks more like a low-grade amateur counter-indicator wearing a professional costume.
Every time SemiAnalysis comes out to trash MU, the market gets scared for a minute.
Long term, it has basically been free shares handed to us.
@SemiAnalysis_
Oh look… $NVDA CEO warned memory shortage is expected to persist for many years, due to massive scaling demand of AI infrastructure.
With further announcements tomorrow.
$MU and $EWY (Samsung/SK Hynix) operating profit projections aren’t looking too crazy anymore?
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