Bruce X

Interested in AI, politics, and the future.

[Bruce X @_BruceX_]

@LukeGromen But the 6/8/12% gdp spent to fight a recession is temporary while the cuts to spending permanents lower future deficits.

[Bruce X @_BruceX_]

One shortcoming of playlists is that I can't include just a portion of a song, particularly for songs with big vibe transitions.

[Bruce X @_BruceX_]

@macpheeeee @ESYudkowsky @tszzl Norms against clear communication prevent good ideas from spreading.

[Bruce X @_BruceX_]

We all collectively collapsed the wave function. Feels better not to live with the tension of living in political superposition.

[Bruce X @_BruceX_]

We're lucky to be on a path where our strong narrow AI can plug security holes before AGI arrives. The alternative is dangerous.

[Chubby♨️ @kimmonismus]

"Google Claims World First As AI Finds 0-Day Security Vulnerability"

An AI agent has discovered a previously unknown, zero-day, exploitable memory-safety vulnerability in widely used real-world software.

It’s the first example, at least to be made public, of such a find, according to Google’s Project Zero and DeepMind, the forces behind Big Sleep, the large language model-assisted vulnerability agent that spotted the vulnerability.

https://t.co/qRYjUJ4zy3

[Bruce X @_BruceX_]

@elidourado Right you need a model. Like suppose polling error in each state has std dev s, then from the price we can calculate an implied poll. Then estimate correlation of polling error based on corr of poll changes over time. It's not perfect, but much better than independence.

[Bruce X @_BruceX_]

@8teAPi at least 2 oom too high

[Bruce X @_BruceX_]

@deliprao Unless you suspect you are stupider and more ignorant than the median voter.

[Bruce X @_BruceX_]

Love him or hate him, you've got to admit Trump's been an absolutely Shakespearean character. A modern Hamlet, endlessly entertaining and maddeningly open to interpretation. Can't wait to see what the next act holds!

[Bruce X @_BruceX_]

@goblinodds My rationale is that I like to set a goal where I can comfortably achieve a decent win rate without stressing too much over small choices. I've beaten A20H with all of them but something like A15 is more relaxing.

[Bruce X @_BruceX_]

@lgrammel Multi-agent systems help when the org context (list of available tools/subagents and all their strengths/quirks/interactions/etc) gets too big. You could extend the router approach with a hierarchical directory, but a multi-agent ecosystem can organically organize a structure.

[Bruce X @_BruceX_]

@AndrewCritchPhD 22 and your estimation of each candidate's likely response seem like they outweigh the others by a lot.

[Bruce X @_BruceX_]

Minor AI Use Case: I have a script that asks an AI to make a playlist based on a description of a mood or example songs. It uses the Spotify API to make the playlist and save it in my account.

[Bruce X @_BruceX_]

@AskYatharth Depends if "fair" means "following the rulings of the relevant authorities/institutions" or "following an idealized process that hews as close as possible to the letter of the law".

[Bruce X @_BruceX_]

@joshclinton Without the methodology used here, this chart is meaningless.

[Bruce X @_BruceX_]

@nickcammarata I don't even know how I would go about evaluating the truth value of this claim.

[Bruce X @_BruceX_]

Nobody in the world has as much ability to steer the future of humanity as Xi Jinping and it's not even close.

He could start WW3, derail AI worldwide, and cause maybe 100m deaths on a whim.

[Bruce X @_BruceX_]

With a week until the election, this is the maximum concentration of propaganda we feel coursing through our feeds. Huge negative value epistemically and emotionally.

[Bruce X @_BruceX_]

@eigenrobot i had millstones from legends for the black bordered flex