Kinez

public/acc
demographics, electricity

[Kinez @_Kinez_]

@leonardgeo50694 Ahmetov has a billion dollar of debt still unresolved in metinvest that he has to pay so of course he will try to squeeze out more out of kametstal and zaporizhstal if he can
But with a couple more of attacks those are gone too
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It's sad but nothing unrealistic

[Kinez @_Kinez_]

Ukraine
Electricity Supply Situation
12/11/2026
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Although RU studied UA grid more and increased both amount and frequency of strikes + started early, situation remains quite tame & repairs continue
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As for the capital, main difference is unlike last year is heating works

[Kinez @_Kinez_]

@leonardgeo50694 How is steel critical to defense industry that primarily consists of fire point and antonov that make their uavs in European Union out of components they order from eu mfgers? Nothing else remains after fedorov
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Arcelor is biggest steel mill and decided to quit till war end

[Kinez @_Kinez_]

@leonardgeo50694 Losing zaporizhstal arcelor poltava mines etc opens up dozens of thousands of men out to mobilization, lowers electricity consumption etc etc it's a beautiful sight
That is if you disregard post-war aspect of the countries existance
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Which all westerners+some ukrainians do

[Kinez @_Kinez_]

@leonardgeo50694 In terms of electricity itself, it's better than last years January for eg (when the campaign hit)
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As for industry, ports etc
I believe that's benefitial to ukraine (since their goal is to last as long as possible in war, and those can be just be substitute funded from eu)

[Kinez @_Kinez_]

@leonardgeo50694 Meeeh
Nothing ever happens
Breaking people in a country fully digitalized with a sauron eye watching over all them just frees more of them to be mobilized to hold frontline so drone and missile slinging can continue unabated
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Never said it wasn't bad for people or country

[Kinez @_Kinez_]

@leonardgeo50694 Campaign was started earlier this winter than last, doesn't mean anything because say in 2022-3 it was also started earlier
Also much of population either has no restrictions or very little

[Kinez @_Kinez_]

@ainporram Of course there will still be some manual back breaking jobs to be paid for
Plus some new ones (like letting them test experimental drugs on you)
And some older ones like prostitution (just on newer, even bigger factory-like scale)
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Also more wars like ukraine, gaza, iran etc

[Kinez @_Kinez_]

Wealth redistribution stupid people think we will get: UBI automated luxury communism for everyone instead of bullet or fpv drone to the skull
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Wealth redistribution we will actually get: 3T$ in market cap from $NVDA each 1.5T$ to $ANT and $OAI

[Faytuks Network @FaytuksNetwork]

BREAKING: Nvidia board preparing to oust CEO Jensen Huang - WSJ

[Kinez @_Kinez_]

@ainporram Well yes i don't think they'll obviously like come and shoot everyone everywhere
That would be too easy to resist by armed insurgencies
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Pay very little + better contraception ===> low tfr leads to population decline
1/2

[Kinez @_Kinez_]

@ainporram Nah
In general, people assume basically all work gets automated out and then everyone gets a monthly payment for no reason at all (since their labor isn't needed, isn't it easier to just kill them?)
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I am unfortunately far too cynical to believe in fairy tales tho :(

[Kinez @_Kinez_]

@PalmyrPar @wotancore Retirement is funded by those people anyway thru taxes and shifting the economy to care jobs (which all suck)

[Kinez @_Kinez_]

@Osteraly Utterly meaningless as means of defeat of a country (getting them to capitulate) during the war
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Extremely good at ensuring ukraine and it's regions bleed out and stop existing as functional units post war (no workplace, no births->kids, -> no future)

[Kinez @_Kinez_]

@Osteraly The effect is there and has been every year, it's just not collapse of grid nor anything spectacular as many expect
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Having to repair (rebuild) TPPs, stock up on parts (money+time+people)
Electricity Price rise (money)
Industry shutting down // not coming back (money+people)

[Kinez @_Kinez_]

@archohon @BereIKAberezIKA Pretty much all of them are bullied by 100x more people than support them
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Hence it doesn't matter what they think, you need overwhelming majority for anything and that ain't happening

[Kinez @_Kinez_]

left ualosses
right the rosstat / whatever leak
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tale of 2 capitals
kiev 4M pop: 22878
moscow 22M pop: 22169

[Kinez @_Kinez_]

Assume true, add 20% to be sure
~550k men
Less than boys born in 2026
With ever increasing automation and less need for men, women are far more precious as they give birth
All i can conclude both sides can prosecute this war for another 5 years easy
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Good news for war watchers

[Kinez @_Kinez_]

@JanH665 @sfrantzman Kosovo? No cuz we can defeat them
Unied States of America? Sure, in fact we did in 3 months
If they demanded to occupy belgrade we'd have accepted that too lol

[Kinez @_Kinez_]

Ukraine
Zvyangel Territorial Community, Zhytomyr oblast
1/11/2025
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~16200 men 18-59
3010 mobilized (~18.6%)
426 KIA+MIA (~2.63%)
758 disabled (~4.67%)
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Source: https://t.co/x1ms99UO2A
If i keep finding these we can have a clean extrap of mob/losses soon enough

[Kinez @_Kinez_]

Ukraine
Rozdorska Territorial Community, Dnipropetrovsk oblast
1/1/2026
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504 men 18-59
128 mobilized (25.4%)
31 KIA+MIA (6.15%)
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5 KIA, 6 MIA in 2025
Source*: https://t.co/8MihTKBSck
*need ukrainian vpn

[Kinez @_Kinez_]

@BereIKAberezIKA @archohon It has been obvious that this must end even years ago as you said say 2024
But they just don't give a shit and will squeeze the corpse of the country and demand gibs to keep being able to sling missiles and drones
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Relatively depressing
Also quite funny&insane

[Kinez @_Kinez_]

@BereIKAberezIKA @archohon If one looks at trajectory of destruction of railway (biggest company, backbone of the country), all the industry getting destroyed, majority of shopping centers burning down, warehouses, births dropping like rock, electricity demand bending toward 4th world per capita